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Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans• Premier League, Malta

#22.0:1.018:45Today · Centenary Stadium1.6:1.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.10DAFX3.50BFR22.25WHMargin at best5.3%Books8Markets42Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.103.302.208.0%
Betano3.003.302.228.7%
Pinnacle2.993.182.229.9%
Betfair2.903.402.1510.4%
1xBet3.063.222.1210.9%
Marathonbet2.983.222.1012.2%
Bet3652.903.302.1012.4%
William Hill2.803.102.2512.4%
Best of all books3.103.402.256.1%
Average2.973.252.1710.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans
Last 10#2Table position#41.82Points per game1.559Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4458Defence rating4256Form rating4460H2H rating4070Goals model3058Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 15:09 UTC

Marsaxlokk

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

2 NovAGzira United5-0W
24 OctASliema Wanderers1-2L
21 OctABirzebbuga0-2L
16 OctHBirkirkara2-0W
10 OctHZabbar St. Patrick2-1W
18 SepAHamrun Spartans1-4L
12 SepAFloriana5-2W
5 SepHMosta1-1D
28 AugAValletta FC2-1W
21 AugHHibernians1-0W

Hamrun Spartans

4W 5D 1L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

31 OctASliema Wanderers1-1D
25 OctAValletta FC2-1W
21 OctHBalzan FC1-1D
18 OctAGzira United2-2D
11 OctHHibernians2-2D
18 SepHMarsaxlokk4-1W
11 SepABirzebbuga2-0W
6 SepAZabbar St. Patrick2-1W
29 AugHFloriana1-1D
22 AugABirkirkara0-1L

Head to head

5Marsaxlokk wins
1draws
8Hamrun Spartans wins

14 meetings · goals 16:26 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Marsaxlokk

18 Sep 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHamrun Spartans4-1Marsaxlokk
9 May 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMarsaxlokk2-1Hamrun Spartans
11 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMarsaxlokk3-2Hamrun Spartans
23 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHamrun Spartans2-0Marsaxlokk
14 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHamrun Spartans1-3Marsaxlokk
23 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMarsaxlokk0-2Hamrun Spartans
30 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMarsaxlokk0-1Hamrun Spartans
5 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMarsaxlokk1-6Hamrun Spartans
2 Nov 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueHamrun Spartans2-3Marsaxlokk
6 Aug 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMarsaxlokk1-1Hamrun Spartans

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 8 Nov 14:01 UTC

In the Premier League table, Marsaxlokk sit 2nd with 20 points from 11 games, while Hamrun Spartans are 4th with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Valletta FC1181223:9+1425
2Marsaxlokk1162321:14+720
3Sliema Wanderers1153315:14+118
4Hamrun Spartans1145217:13+417
5Floriana1144322:15+716
6Hibernians1144313:15-216
7Birkirkara1143414:11+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick1142517:16+114
9Mosta1135315:20-514
10Balzan FC1125413:14-111
11Birzebbuga111379:21-126
12Gzira United110569:26-175

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.96X28%3.26242%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 15:058 Nov 02:101 2.96X 3.262 2.16
13.31 → 2.96 -10.6%X3.45 → 3.26 -5.5%21.94 → 2.16 +11.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Pinnacle1.871.886.7%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
Betano1.821.888.1%
1xBet1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.901.915.0%
Average1.841.887.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.702.008.8%
1xBet1.652.078.9%
Betano1.652.078.9%
Marathonbet1.652.039.9%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.662.068.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marsaxlokk 45%Draw 45%Hamrun Spartans 10%

The statistical model rates Marsaxlokk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hamrun Spartans at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.26 | 2.16, which imply roughly 33.8% for a Marsaxlokk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Marsaxlokk are 2nd (20 pts, 21-14 goals), Hamrun Spartans 4th (17 pts, 17-13).

Over their last five matches, Marsaxlokk averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Hamrun Spartans averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Marsaxlokk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.973.252.17

Double chance

1XX212
1.591.311.26

Draw no bet

12
2.161.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.06

1st half

1X2
3.562.142.73

2nd half

1X2
3.272.432.51

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.0613.922.5
HT X7.155.405.38
HT 228.514.33.43

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1710.81.78

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.70
1.51.253.49
2.51.841.88
3.53.021.32
4.55.601.12
5.510.81.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.30
1.751.293.09
21.372.70
2.251.602.15
2.752.021.67
32.401.47
3.252.691.38
3.753.581.21
44.901.11
4.254.801.14

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.921.35
-0.252.531.43
02.191.59
+0.251.831.88
+0.51.682.12
+0.751.442.50
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.401.05
-1.256.001.09
-15.451.08
-0.753.701.20
+11.273.24
+1.251.213.58
+1.51.164.05
+21.027.80
+2.51.018.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.821.98

Latest Premier League results

8 NovBirkirkara 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick
7 NovGzira United 0-3 Balzan FC
7 NovFloriana 0-2 Hibernians
6 NovBirzebbuga 0-0 Mosta
2 NovGzira United 0-5 Marsaxlokk
1 NovFloriana 0-1 Valletta FC