Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC• USL Championship, USA

#11.4:0.623:30Today · Al Lang Stadium1.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.37PINX5.40PIN28.50B365Margin at best3.3%Books9Markets94Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.37	5.40	7.11	5.6%
Dafabet	1.37	5.20	6.80	6.9%
BetVictor	1.33	5.00	7.50	8.5%
Bet365	1.33	4.50	8.50	9.2%
Betano	1.37	4.55	6.70	9.9%
Betfair	1.30	5.00	7.50	10.3%
William Hill	1.35	4.80	6.50	10.3%
1xBet	1.31	4.90	7.23	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	4.90	6.90	11.8%
Best of all books	1.37	5.40	8.50	3.3%
Average	1.34	4.92	7.19	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tampa Bay RowdiesMiami FC

Last 10#1Table position#82.03Points per game1.2010Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5667Defence rating3353Form rating4771H2H rating2972Goals model2861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 06:02 UTC

Tampa Bay Rowdies

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

24 Oct	H	Sporting JAX	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Detroit City	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Indy Eleven	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Miami FC	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	San Antonio	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Birmingham Legion	4-0	W
12 Sep	A	Hartford Athletic	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Brooklyn	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Detroit City	0-1	L

Miami FC

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

17 Oct	H	Charleston Battery	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Loudoun United	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Tampa Bay Rowdies	2-1	W
30 Sep	H	Sporting JAX	4-1	W
26 Sep	A	Indy Eleven	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Rhode Island	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Brooklyn	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2-2	D
24 Aug	A	Charleston Battery	0-5	L
15 Aug	A	Hartford Athletic	1-2	L

Head to head

15Tampa Bay Rowdies wins

2draws

4Miami FC wins

21 meetings · goals 46:21 · last 10: 8W 1D 1L for Tampa Bay Rowdies

3 Oct 2026USL Championship	USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies1-2Miami FC
25 Jul 2026USL Championship	USL Championship	Miami FC2-3Tampa Bay Rowdies
16 May 2026USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Miami FC1-4Tampa Bay Rowdies
14 Jun 2025USL Championship	USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies2-1Miami FC
26 Apr 2025USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Tampa Bay Rowdies3-3Miami FC
22 Mar 2025USL Championship	USL Championship	Miami FC1-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
24 Aug 2024USL Championship	USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies2-0Miami FC
11 Apr 2024USL Championship	USL Championship	Miami FC2-5Tampa Bay Rowdies
26 Aug 2023USL Championship	USL Championship	Miami FC0-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
8 Apr 2023USL Championship	USL Championship	Tampa Bay Rowdies2-0Miami FC

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 30 Oct 06:20 UTC

In the USL Championship table, Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st with 61 points from 30 games, while Miami FC are 8th with 36 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	52:26	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	56:35	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	34:21	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	51:43	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	33:30	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	35:33	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	42:33	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	39:49	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	35:41	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	38:48	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	40:46	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	34:63	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	32:78	-46	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.34X19%4.92213%7.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.29 → 1.34 +3.9%X5.21 → 4.92 -5.6%27.62 → 7.19 -5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	2.49	5.5%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.50	2.45	7.5%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.49	5.5%
Average	1.50	2.40	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.71	2.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.97	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.74	1.98	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tampa Bay Rowdies 45%Draw 45%Miami FC 10%

The statistical model rates Tampa Bay Rowdies at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Miami FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.92 | 7.19, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (61 pts, 52-26 goals), Miami FC 8th (36 pts, 39-49).

Over their last five matches, Tampa Bay Rowdies averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Miami FC averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.34	4.92	7.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.97	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
1.76	2.62	6.55

2nd half

1	X	2
1.64	3.02	6.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.87	18.3	51.8
HT X	4.16	7.73	15.9
HT 2	19.9	18.8	12.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	17.4	3.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.1
1.5	1.14	4.87
2.5	1.50	2.40
3.5	2.25	1.58
4.5	3.85	1.22
5.5	6.92	1.06
6.5	9.58	1.03
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.13	4.50
2	1.16	4.05
2.25	1.32	2.93
2.75	1.61	2.16
3	1.78	1.93
3.25	2.02	1.70
3.75	2.50	1.45
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.43	1.23
4.75	4.60	1.13
5	6.20	1.06
5.25	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.65	1.42
-1.75	2.20	1.59
-1.5	1.97	1.76
-1.25	1.73	1.99
-1	1.51	2.38
-0.75	1.40	2.73

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	11.5	1.01
-4	11.0	1.01
-3.75	7.10	1.04
-3.5	6.02	1.09
-3.25	5.70	1.10
-3	5.30	1.11
-2.75	3.90	1.20
-2.5	3.17	1.30
-2.25	2.96	1.35
-0.5	1.35	3.14
-0.25	1.22	3.91
0	1.09	5.90
+0.25	1.07	6.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.11	4.60
7.5	1.29	3.02
8.5	1.57	2.22
9.5	1.96	1.75
10.5	2.54	1.43
11.5	3.49	1.22
12.5	5.26	1.08
13.5	7.25	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.13	4.37
7	1.15	4.14
7.25	1.23	3.43
7.75	1.34	2.82
8	1.39	2.66
8.25	1.49	2.38
8.75	1.67	2.07
9	1.76	1.98
9.25	1.87	1.83
9.75	2.12	1.64
10	2.30	1.55
10.25	2.44	1.47
10.75	2.84	1.34
11	3.22	1.26
11.25	3.38	1.23
11.75	4.07	1.15
12	4.86	1.10
12.25	5.06	1.08
12.75	5.51	1.06
13	6.81	1.02
13.25	7.03	1.02

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All USL Championship fixtures and the table

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