El Paso Locomotive vs
New Mexico United• USL Championship, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:10 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.14 | 6.8% |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 6.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.10 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.70 | 4.00 | 10.2% |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.94 | 4.00 | 10.6% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 3.90 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.94 | 3.92 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.77 | 4.20 | 4.14 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 9.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC
El Paso Locomotive
6W 1D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against
| 25 Oct | H | New Mexico United | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Sacramento Republic | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Orange County SC | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Lexington | 1-3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | FC Tulsa | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Phoenix Rising | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Louisville City | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Loudoun United | 4-1 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Colorado Springs | 1-0 | W |
New Mexico United
4W 3D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against
| 25 Oct | A | El Paso Locomotive | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | San Antonio | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Monterey Bay | 3-1 | W |
| 4 Oct | H | Phoenix Rising | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Oct | A | FC Tulsa | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Sacramento Republic | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Colorado Springs | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Birmingham Legion | 4-4 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Indy Eleven | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Las Vegas Lights | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
27 meetings · goals 39:40 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for El Paso Locomotive
| 12 Jul 2026USL League One Cup | USL League One Cup | El Paso Locomotive0-2New Mexico United |
| 7 May 2026USL Championship | USL Championship | New Mexico United2-2El Paso Locomotive |
| 2 Apr 2026US Open Cup | US Open Cup | New Mexico United0-4El Paso Locomotive |
| 28 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | El Paso Locomotive4-1New Mexico United |
| 4 May 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive3-0New Mexico United |
| 17 Apr 2025US Open Cup | US Open Cup | New Mexico United2-2El Paso Locomotive |
| 22 Mar 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | New Mexico United1-0El Paso Locomotive |
| 1 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | New Mexico United2-2El Paso Locomotive |
| 28 Jul 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | El Paso Locomotive1-2New Mexico United |
| 7 Apr 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | New Mexico United3-2El Paso Locomotive |
USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 30 Oct 06:20 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 2.42 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.40 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.51 | 2.34 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.43 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.43 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.43 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.40 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 2.45 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 2.40 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.45 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.51 | 2.39 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated El Paso Locomotive at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and New Mexico United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00, which imply roughly 58.8% for a El Paso Locomotive win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, El Paso Locomotive averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; New Mexico United averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : El Paso Locomotive or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 1.99 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.33 | 3.11 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.51 | 2.39 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 2.42 | 4.32 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 2.77 | 3.97 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.51 | 14.4 | 34.0 |
| HT X | 4.79 | 6.50 | 9.53 |
| HT 2 | 20.8 | 14.9 | 6.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 18.8 | 2.42 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 11.7 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.90 |
| 2.5 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
| 3.5 | 2.26 | 1.57 |
| 4.5 | 3.84 | 1.22 |
| 5.5 | 7.02 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 9.75 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 16.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 11.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 2 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| 2.75 | 1.60 | 2.16 |
| 3 | 1.77 | 1.92 |
| 3.25 | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| 3.75 | 2.51 | 1.45 |
| 4 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| 4.25 | 3.35 | 1.25 |
| 4.75 | 4.61 | 1.13 |
| 5 | 6.30 | 1.06 |
| 5.25 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.76 | 1.39 |
| -1.25 | 2.49 | 1.47 |
| -1 | 2.20 | 1.61 |
| -0.75 | 1.87 | 1.84 |
| -0.5 | 1.70 | 2.08 |
| -0.25 | 1.49 | 2.41 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 9.50 | 1.01 |
| -3 | 8.60 | 1.03 |
| -2.75 | 6.80 | 1.06 |
| -2.5 | 5.33 | 1.11 |
| -2.25 | 4.90 | 1.13 |
| -2 | 4.43 | 1.16 |
| -1.75 | 3.39 | 1.27 |
| 0 | 1.31 | 3.11 |
| +0.25 | 1.25 | 3.55 |
| +0.5 | 1.23 | 4.00 |
| +0.75 | 1.12 | 5.15 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.06 | 5.74 |
| 7.5 | 1.23 | 3.39 |
| 8.5 | 1.51 | 2.37 |
| 9.5 | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| 10.5 | 2.39 | 1.51 |
| 11.5 | 3.11 | 1.29 |
| 12.5 | 4.15 | 1.15 |
| 13.5 | 6.26 | 1.04 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.06 | 5.49 |
| 7 | 1.08 | 5.24 |
| 7.25 | 1.14 | 4.19 |
| 7.75 | 1.23 | 3.38 |
| 8 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 8.25 | 1.35 | 2.78 |
| 8.75 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| 9 | 1.65 | 2.16 |
| 9.25 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
| 9.75 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| 10 | 2.03 | 1.73 |
| 10.25 | 2.11 | 1.64 |
| 10.75 | 2.40 | 1.48 |
| 11 | 2.65 | 1.41 |
| 11.25 | 2.80 | 1.35 |
| 11.75 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 12 | 3.80 | 1.18 |
| 12.25 | 3.98 | 1.16 |
| 12.75 | 4.82 | 1.10 |
| 13 | 5.84 | 1.05 |
| 13.25 | 6.05 | 1.04 |