Phoenix Rising vs Lexington• USL Championship, USA

1.6:2.23-3FT25/10 · Wild Horse Pass Stadium3.4:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.18BTNX3.77PIN23.10DAFMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets75Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.13	3.60	3.10	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.10	3.77	3.02	7.3%
BetVictor	2.15	3.60	2.90	8.8%
Betano	2.18	3.70	2.72	9.7%
Bet365	2.10	3.75	2.75	10.6%
1xBet	2.08	3.50	2.94	10.7%
Betfair	2.05	3.60	2.90	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.06	3.50	2.88	11.8%
William Hill	2.05	3.40	2.90	12.7%
Best of all books	2.18	3.77	3.10	4.7%
Average	2.10	3.60	2.90	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Phoenix RisingLexington

Last 107Form pts · last 5111.6Goals for · last 53.42.2Goals against · last 51.232Attack rating6835Defence rating6532Form rating680H2H rating10047Goals model5337Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

Phoenix Rising

4W 3D 3L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Lexington	3-3	D
18 Oct	A	Orange County SC	3-1	W
11 Oct	H	Las Vegas Lights	3-2	W
4 Oct	A	New Mexico United	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Oakland Roots	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	El Paso Locomotive	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	FC Tulsa	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Monterey Bay	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Indy Eleven	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Sacramento Republic	2-2	D

Lexington

5W 2D 3L · goals 27:16 · per match 2.7 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	A	Phoenix Rising	3-3	D
18 Oct	A	Las Vegas Lights	5-3	W
9 Oct	H	FC Tulsa	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	El Paso Locomotive	3-1	W
27 Sep	A	Monterey Bay	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Orange County SC	6-0	W
13 Sep	A	Oakland Roots	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	Sporting JAX	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Colorado Springs	0-1	L
27 Aug	A	New Mexico United	1-2	L

Head to head

0Phoenix Rising wins

0draws

3Lexington wins

3 meetings · goals 0:4 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Phoenix Rising

8 Aug 2026USL Championship	USL Championship	Lexington1-0Phoenix Rising
9 Aug 2025USL Championship	USL Championship	Lexington2-0Phoenix Rising
5 Jul 2025USL Championship	USL Championship	Phoenix Rising0-1Lexington

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 30 Oct 06:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	52:26	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	56:35	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	34:21	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	51:43	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	33:30	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	35:33	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	42:33	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	39:49	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	35:41	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	38:48	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	40:46	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	34:63	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	32:78	-46	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X25%3.60231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.23 → 2.10 -5.8%X3.56 → 3.60 +1.1%22.66 → 2.90 +9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.60	2.26	6.7%
Betano	1.62	2.22	6.8%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.26	6.0%
Average	1.60	2.21	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.34	9.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.52	2.35	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Phoenix Rising 10%Draw 45%Lexington 45%

The statistical model rated Phoenix Rising at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lexington at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Phoenix Rising averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Lexington averaged 3.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lexington and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.60	2.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.62	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.63	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.35

1st half

1	X	2
2.64	2.32	3.40

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.64	3.09

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.35	14.0	28.0
HT X	5.68	5.98	7.08
HT 2	24.3	14.0	4.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	16.5	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.17	4.35
2.5	1.60	2.21
3.5	2.45	1.48
4.5	4.29	1.18
5.5	7.88	1.04
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.50
1.25	1.06	6.05
1.75	1.18	3.91
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.44	2.54
2.75	1.72	1.98
3	1.94	1.75
3.25	2.19	1.58
3.75	2.89	1.32
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.99	1.17
4.75	5.40	1.09
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.47	1.47
-0.5	2.16	1.65
-0.25	1.84	1.86
0	1.61	2.18
+0.25	1.47	2.50
+0.5	1.43	2.74

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.80	1.02
-2	7.00	1.04
-1.75	5.07	1.12
-1.5	3.95	1.20
-1.25	3.52	1.25
-1	3.15	1.30
+0.75	1.25	3.50
+1	1.14	4.77
+1.25	1.12	5.20
+1.5	1.10	5.70
+1.75	1.05	7.47
+2	1.01	9.80
+2.5	1.02	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.12	4.51
7.5	1.35	2.83
8.5	1.68	2.07
9.5	2.09	1.67
10.5	2.60	1.40
11.5	3.60	1.21
12.5	5.37	1.07

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.12
6.25	1.07	5.36
6.75	1.14	4.29
7	1.15	4.07
7.25	1.24	3.38
7.75	1.35	2.79
8	1.42	2.62
8.25	1.51	2.35
8.75	1.69	2.05
9	1.80	1.94
9.25	1.89	1.81
9.75	2.14	1.62
10	2.34	1.54
10.25	2.47	1.46
10.75	2.88	1.33
11	3.28	1.25
11.25	3.44	1.23
11.75	4.14	1.15
12	4.96	1.09
12.25	5.17	1.08

Next USL Championship matches

30 Oct	Louisville City – Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 Oct	Charleston Battery – Rhode Island
30 Oct	Tampa Bay Rowdies – Miami FC
31 Oct	Detroit City – Hartford Athletic
31 Oct	El Paso Locomotive – San Antonio
1 Nov	Lexington – Colorado Springs

All USL Championship fixtures and the table

Latest USL Championship results

25 Oct	Monterey Bay 2-1 Las Vegas Lights
25 Oct	Sacramento Republic 3-2 Oakland Roots
25 Oct	San Antonio 2-1 Orange County SC
25 Oct	Colorado Springs 2-0 FC Tulsa
25 Oct	El Paso Locomotive 0-1 New Mexico United
24 Oct	Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 Sporting JAX