Monterey Bay vs
Las Vegas Lights• USL Championship, USA
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:10 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.47 | 3.86 | 2.46 | 7.0% |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.47 | 7.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.70 | 2.40 | 10.0% |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 11.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.36 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.36 | 11.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.38 | 11.8% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 3.86 | 2.47 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.42 | 3.67 | 2.41 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:10 UTC
Monterey Bay
1W 3D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against
| 18 Oct | H | Colorado Springs | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | New Mexico United | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Oct | A | Orange County SC | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Lexington | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Charleston Battery | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Phoenix Rising | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Sacramento Republic | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | Rhode Island | 1-3 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Oakland Roots | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | New Mexico United | 2-5 | L |
Las Vegas Lights
3W 1D 6L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against
| 18 Oct | H | Lexington | 3-5 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Phoenix Rising | 2-3 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | San Antonio | 1-0 | W |
| 1 Oct | A | Sacramento Republic | 2-3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Hartford Athletic | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Orange County SC | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | New Mexico United | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Charleston Battery | 0-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Lexington | 0-2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Brooklyn | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 12:15 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Monterey Bay
| 12 Jul 2026USL League One Cup | USL League One Cup | Monterey Bay2-3Las Vegas Lights |
| 29 Mar 2026USL Championship | USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights1-0Monterey Bay |
| 26 Oct 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Monterey Bay1-1Las Vegas Lights |
| 15 Jun 2025USL Championship | USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights2-0Monterey Bay |
| 15 Sep 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights0-0Monterey Bay |
| 14 Apr 2024USL Championship | USL Championship | Monterey Bay3-1Las Vegas Lights |
| 17 Sep 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Monterey Bay3-2Las Vegas Lights |
| 11 Jun 2023USL Championship | USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights1-2Monterey Bay |
| 28 Sep 2022USL Championship | USL Championship | Las Vegas Lights4-0Monterey Bay |
| 8 May 2022USL Championship | USL Championship | Monterey Bay1-0Las Vegas Lights |
USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 29 Oct 06:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 2.60 | 7.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 2.63 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 2.50 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 2.49 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 2.49 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.63 | 3.4% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.52 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 2.60 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.42 | 2.65 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.70 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 2.73 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 2.67 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.73 | 6.1% |
| Average | 1.41 | 2.66 | 8.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Monterey Bay at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Las Vegas Lights at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.67 | 2.41, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Monterey Bay averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Las Vegas Lights averaged 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Las Vegas Lights.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 3.67 | 2.41 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 1.48 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.87 | 1.83 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.41 | 2.66 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 2.42 | 2.88 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 2.71 | 2.66 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.75 | 13.4 | 24.0 |
| HT X | 6.40 | 6.45 | 6.35 |
| HT 2 | 23.8 | 13.2 | 3.73 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 19.3 | 1.90 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 11.7 |
| 1.5 | 1.13 | 5.15 |
| 2.5 | 1.46 | 2.52 |
| 3.5 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 3.63 | 1.24 |
| 5.5 | 6.70 | 1.07 |
| 6.5 | 9.50 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 11.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| 2 | 1.14 | 4.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 2.75 | 1.54 | 2.27 |
| 3 | 1.69 | 2.02 |
| 3.25 | 1.90 | 1.78 |
| 3.75 | 2.42 | 1.48 |
| 4 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 4.25 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 4.75 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| 5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 5.25 | 6.35 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.42 | 1.51 |
| -0.25 | 2.12 | 1.63 |
| 0 | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| +0.25 | 1.64 | 2.11 |
| +0.5 | 1.52 | 2.42 |
| +0.75 | 1.37 | 2.84 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.70 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 5.93 | 1.09 |
| -1.5 | 4.53 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 4.17 | 1.18 |
| -1 | 3.77 | 1.22 |
| -0.75 | 2.86 | 1.36 |
| +1 | 1.23 | 3.74 |
| +1.25 | 1.18 | 4.14 |
| +1.5 | 1.15 | 4.50 |
| +1.75 | 1.09 | 5.90 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 8.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.08 | 5.21 |
| 7.5 | 1.25 | 3.29 |
| 8.5 | 1.52 | 2.34 |
| 9.5 | 1.89 | 1.82 |
| 10.5 | 2.42 | 1.49 |
| 11.5 | 3.16 | 1.27 |
| 12.5 | 4.58 | 1.11 |
| 13.5 | 7.04 | 1.02 |
21 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.09 | 4.97 |
| 7 | 1.10 | 4.72 |
| 7.25 | 1.18 | 3.84 |
| 7.75 | 1.28 | 3.12 |
| 8 | 1.31 | 2.95 |
| 8.25 | 1.41 | 2.60 |
| 8.75 | 1.57 | 2.23 |
| 9 | 1.68 | 2.09 |
| 9.25 | 1.76 | 1.96 |
| 9.75 | 1.97 | 1.75 |
| 10 | 2.16 | 1.63 |
| 10.25 | 2.24 | 1.56 |
| 10.75 | 2.57 | 1.42 |
| 11 | 2.87 | 1.33 |
| 11.25 | 3.02 | 1.30 |
| 11.75 | 3.58 | 1.20 |
| 12 | 4.20 | 1.14 |
| 12.25 | 4.39 | 1.13 |
| 12.75 | 5.36 | 1.07 |
| 13 | 6.61 | 1.03 |
| 13.25 | 6.83 | 1.02 |