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Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto• Primera División, Bolivia

#61.0:1.41-1FTToday · Felix Capriles, Cochabamba1.2:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.90BFR24.20BTNMargin at best5.0%Books8Markets90Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Nov 20:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.863.753.757.1%
Betano1.873.703.558.7%
Bet3651.853.503.6010.4%
1xBet1.783.643.7010.7%
Betfair1.803.603.6011.1%
William Hill1.853.403.6011.2%
Marathonbet1.763.643.6211.9%
Pinnacle1.783.493.2715.4%
Best of all books1.873.753.756.8%
Average1.823.593.5910.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
Last 10#6Table position#141.46Points per game0.887Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 52.045Attack rating5559Defence rating4156Form rating4485H2H rating1573Goals model2763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Nov 00:10 UTC

Aurora

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

3 NovHIndependiente Petrolero3-2W
31 OctAOriente Petrolero1-1D
25 OctHReal Tomayapo1-0W
20 OctAIndependiente Petrolero0-4L
17 OctAReal Oruro0-1L
11 OctHNacional Potosí2-2D
7 OctHABB2-0W
3 OctAReal Potosí1-1D
30 SepHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-2D
25 SepAABB1-0W

Universitario de Vinto

3W 1D 6L · goals 16:22 · per match 1.6 for, 2.2 against

1 NovHAlways Ready1-3L
27 OctABolívar1-2L
17 OctHSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2-1W
10 OctHReal Oruro1-3L
8 OctAOriente Petrolero0-2L
3 OctAThe Strongest2-5L
29 SepHGuabirá3-1W
27 SepHOriente Petrolero3-0W
19 SepAAurora2-4L
17 SepABlooming1-1D

Head to head

6Aurora wins
4draws
3Universitario de Vinto wins

13 meetings · goals 22:16 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Aurora

19 Sep 2026Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalAurora4-2Universitario de Vinto
1 Sep 2026Copa de la División ProfesionalCopa de la División ProfesionalUniversitario de Vinto1-1Aurora
2 Jun 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversitario de Vinto1-2Aurora
7 Feb 2026Torneo Amistoso de VeranoTorneo Amistoso de VeranoAurora2-1Universitario de Vinto
31 Jan 2026Torneo Amistoso de VeranoTorneo Amistoso de VeranoUniversitario de Vinto2-2Aurora
8 Dec 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora2-0Universitario de Vinto
6 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversitario de Vinto1-2Aurora
22 Oct 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora1-2Universitario de Vinto
25 May 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónUniversitario de Vinto2-2Aurora
30 Jul 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAurora0-1Universitario de Vinto

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 9 Nov 03:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Aurora sit 6th with 35 points from 24 games, while Universitario de Vinto are 14th with 21 points from 24.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Always Ready25176261:19+4257
2Bolívar24183360:24+3657
3The Strongest24146446:28+1848
4Real Potosí251010532:18+1440
5Oriente Petrolero24115841:30+1138
6Aurora24811535:31+435
7Nacional Potosí25961037:33+433
8Guabirá25961040:50-1033
9Blooming24710733:26+731
10Real Oruro25941241:58-1731
11Independiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227
13Real Tomayapo25651419:42-2323
14Universitario de Vinto24631531:48-1721
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720
16ABB25621737:57-2020

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.72X24%3.69223%3.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Nov 00:0110 Nov 00:301 1.72X 3.692 3.92
11.74 → 1.72 -1.1%X3.88 → 3.69 -4.9%23.75 → 3.92 +4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.532.407.0%
Betfair1.502.408.3%
Betano1.532.279.4%
1xBet1.512.2610.5%
Marathonbet1.512.2610.5%
Pinnacle1.502.2311.5%
Best of all books1.532.407.0%
Average1.512.309.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.532.387.4%
Betfair1.442.637.5%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.512.368.6%
Betano1.502.378.9%
Marathonbet1.512.329.3%
Best of all books1.532.633.4%
Average1.502.418.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aurora 45%Draw 45%Universitario de Vinto 10%

The statistical model rated Aurora at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Universitario de Vinto at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.69 | 3.92, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Aurora win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Aurora are 6th (35 pts, 35-31 goals), Universitario de Vinto 14th (21 pts, 31-48).

Over their last five matches, Aurora averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Universitario de Vinto averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aurora or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Aurora

4-2-3-1

Coach: David Díaz

Goalkeeper

  • 12R. Cordano

Defence

  • 16D. Barro
  • 22J. Velázquez
  • 4I. Vidaurre
  • 21M. Ortiz

Midfield

  • 23I. Huayhuata
  • 5A. Amarilla
  • 7H. Vaca
  • 70J. Torrico
  • 8Leonardo Viviani

Attack

  • 10R. Ramallo
Substitutes (12)
  • 2Miguel Aguada Aguada Tirina
  • 51Cristhian Abastoflor
  • 32S. Altamirano
  • 6S. Carrasco
  • 18S. Rojas
  • 27A. Flores
  • 9M. Rangel
  • 25Alvaro Rios
  • 30S. Suarez
  • 69A. Terrazas
  • 1J. Terrazas
  • 28O. Vaca

Universitario de Vinto

4-4-2

Coach: Thiago Leitao

Goalkeeper

  • 12J. Careaga

Defence

  • 76E. Mendoza
  • 28J. Pinto
  • 34A. Jara
  • 70Julio Lazarte

Midfield

  • 21G. Cuellar
  • 6Marco Gomez
  • 50D. Vargas
  • 7H. Dorrego

Attack

  • 79O. Blanco
  • 22J. Calicho
Substitutes (12)
  • 9A. Llano
  • 27B. Calderon
  • 66A. Cuestas
  • 30M. Cuadiay Fernandez
  • 32F. Pasadore
  • 15P. Postigo
  • 1B. Poveda
  • 24H. Rodríguez
  • 17Didí Torrico
  • 19J. Veizaga
  • 2Gustavo Alexis Visalla Condori
  • 90D. Saavedra

Match Statistics

AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
1.09Expected Goals0.37
299Passes accurate205
11Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots3
9Free Kicks11
8Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves7
6Shots off Goal4
7Offsides2
353Total passes273
18Total Shots10
4Yellow Cards1
8Corner Kicks3
0Red Cards1
11Fouls10
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.823.593.59

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.861.22

Draw no bet

12
1.362.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.502.41

1st half

1X2
2.302.374.01

2nd half

1X2
2.092.713.75

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7313.128.8
HT X4.916.128.77
HT 219.413.96.28

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5816.52.38

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0115.1
1.51.154.64
2.51.512.30
3.52.311.53
4.53.951.20
5.57.141.06
6.517.01.02
7.529.01.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.751.164.10
21.213.58
2.251.362.68
2.751.632.03
31.831.82
3.252.051.62
3.752.631.37
43.281.25
4.253.581.21
4.754.751.12
56.351.06
5.256.601.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.731.41
-1.252.581.41
-12.271.55
-0.751.961.72
-0.51.771.94
-0.251.552.24
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.101.13
-3.255.771.10
-37.971.09
-2.756.601.07
-2.55.501.10
-2.255.031.13
-24.671.15
-1.753.321.28
01.352.84
+0.251.283.21
+0.51.214.25
+0.751.144.88
+11.056.45
+1.251.046.85
+1.51.039.13

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.065.62
7.51.223.51
8.51.442.47
9.51.801.93
10.52.251.54
11.52.981.30
12.54.241.14
13.56.411.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.37
71.085.12
7.251.154.12
7.751.243.32
81.273.14
8.251.362.74
8.751.512.34
91.582.21
9.251.692.04
9.751.891.81
102.021.71
10.252.131.63
10.752.441.47
112.701.38
11.252.841.34
11.753.341.24
123.881.17
12.254.061.15
12.754.921.09
135.991.05
13.256.201.04

Latest Primera División results

8 NovBlooming 0-1 Oriente Petrolero
8 NovBolívar 1-0 The Strongest
8 NovNacional Potosí 1-1 Real Potosí
7 NovGuabirá 5-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
7 NovAlways Ready 3-2 ABB
7 NovGualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 Real Oruro