Bolívar vs The Strongest• Primera División, Bolivia

#12.0:0.821:1508/11 · Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz1.8:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75WHX4.20B36523.801XBMargin at best7.3%Books6Markets93Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.75	4.20	3.70	8.0%
Bet365	1.73	4.20	3.75	8.3%
Betano	1.75	4.05	3.65	9.2%
1xBet	1.70	3.92	3.80	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.92	3.72	11.9%
William Hill	1.75	3.60	3.70	11.9%
Best of all books	1.75	4.20	3.80	7.3%
Average	1.73	3.98	3.72	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BolívarThe Strongest

Last 10#1Table position#32.38Points per game2.0012Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 51.453Attack rating4764Defence rating3663Form rating3875H2H rating2560Goals model4063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 02:10 UTC

Bolívar

8W 1D 1L · goals 18:8 · per match 1.8 for, 0.8 against

5 Nov	H	Real Potosí	1-0	W
1 Nov	A	Guabirá	2-1	W
27 Oct	H	Universitario de Vinto	2-1	W
21 Oct	A	Real Potosí	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Nacional Potosí	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Blooming	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	Blooming	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Independiente Petrolero	3-0	W
1 Oct	H	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	3-2	W
27 Sep	H	Blooming	3-0	W

The Strongest

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

5 Nov	H	Always Ready	1-4	L
1 Nov	H	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	4-2	W
25 Oct	A	Oriente Petrolero	1-2	L
23 Oct	A	Always Ready	1-1	D
18 Oct	H	Always Ready	2-1	W
11 Oct	A	Real Potosí	0-1	L
8 Oct	A	Guabirá	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Universitario de Vinto	5-2	W
1 Oct	A	Oriente Petrolero	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Guabirá	2-1	W

Head to head

12Bolívar wins

11draws

11The Strongest wins

34 meetings · goals 60:55 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Bolívar

20 Sep 2026Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	The Strongest1-1Bolívar
30 Aug 2026Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	Bolívar4-2The Strongest
12 Jul 2026Primera División	Primera División	The Strongest1-1Bolívar
6 Feb 2026Torneo Amistoso de Verano	Torneo Amistoso de Verano	Bolívar0-0The Strongest
30 Jan 2026Torneo Amistoso de Verano	Torneo Amistoso de Verano	The Strongest2-2Bolívar
30 Nov 2025Primera División	Primera División	The Strongest2-3Bolívar
9 Nov 2025Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	The Strongest3-5Bolívar
28 Aug 2025Copa de la División Profesional	Copa de la División Profesional	Bolívar1-0The Strongest
22 Jun 2025Primera División	Primera División	Bolívar1-2The Strongest
8 Dec 2024Primera División	Primera División	Bolívar4-1The Strongest

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 6 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Bolívar sit 1st with 57 points from 24 games, while The Strongest are 3rd with 48 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bolívar	24	18	3	3	60:24	+36	57
2	Always Ready	24	16	6	2	58:17	+41	54
3	The Strongest	24	14	6	4	46:28	+18	48
4	Real Potosí	24	10	9	5	31:17	+14	39
5	Oriente Petrolero	24	11	5	8	41:30	+11	38
6	Aurora	24	8	11	5	35:31	+4	35
7	Nacional Potosí	24	9	5	10	36:32	+4	32
8	Blooming	24	7	10	7	33:26	+7	31
9	Independiente Petrolero	24	8	6	10	32:40	-8	30
10	Guabirá	24	8	6	10	35:49	-14	30
11	Real Oruro	24	8	4	12	38:57	-19	28
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	24	8	3	13	27:45	-18	27
13	Universitario de Vinto	24	6	3	15	31:48	-17	21
14	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	24	4	8	12	29:44	-15	20
15	ABB	24	6	2	16	35:54	-19	20
16	Real Tomayapo	24	5	5	14	17:42	-25	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X23%3.91224%3.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.72 -4.4%X3.92 → 3.91 -0.3%23.47 → 3.74 +7.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betano	1.35	2.87	8.9%
1xBet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.92	10.6%
Best of all books	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Average	1.33	2.95	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
William Hill	1.36	2.90	8.0%
1xBet	1.36	2.85	8.6%
Betano	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.79	9.4%
Best of all books	1.40	2.90	5.9%
Average	1.37	2.82	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolívar 45%Draw 45%The Strongest 10%

The statistical model rates Bolívar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and The Strongest at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.91 | 3.74, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Bolívar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Bolívar are 1st (57 pts, 60-24 goals), The Strongest 3rd (48 pts, 46-28).

Over their last five matches, Bolívar averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; The Strongest averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bolívar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.98	3.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.97	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.37	2.82

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.58	3.82

2nd half

1	X	2
2.04	2.96	3.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	13.4	27.5
HT X	5.10	7.35	9.31
HT 2	17.3	14.2	6.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	25.5	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.3
1.5	1.08	6.13
2.5	1.33	2.95
3.5	1.84	1.84
4.5	2.83	1.35
5.5	4.85	1.14
6.5	10.0	1.06
7.5	19.0	1.02
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.08	5.70
2	1.09	5.25
2.25	1.21	3.59
2.75	1.38	2.63
3	1.46	2.38
3.25	1.65	2.03
3.75	2.01	1.65
4	2.30	1.49
4.25	2.57	1.40
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.16
5.25	4.45	1.14
6	7.70	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.46	1.50
-1.25	2.37	1.49
-1	2.13	1.64
-0.75	1.86	1.82
-0.5	1.72	2.04
-0.25	1.52	2.31

17 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.50	1.01
-4	8.90	1.02
-3.5	8.40	1.01
-3.25	5.67	1.10
-3	7.40	1.05
-2.75	5.97	1.09
-2.5	4.73	1.14
-2.25	4.37	1.16
-2	4.04	1.19
-1.75	3.15	1.29
0	1.34	2.92
+0.25	1.27	3.28
+0.5	1.26	3.70
+0.75	1.15	4.55
+1	1.07	6.47
+1.25	1.09	6.10
+1.5	1.06	6.93

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.07	5.30
7.5	1.24	3.34
8.5	1.49	2.38
9.5	1.77	1.96
10.5	2.33	1.52
11.5	3.13	1.28
12.5	4.50	1.12
13.5	6.89	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	5.05
7	1.10	4.81
7.25	1.17	3.90
7.75	1.27	3.17
8	1.30	2.99
8.25	1.40	2.63
8.75	1.55	2.26
9	1.63	2.13
9.25	1.74	1.98
9.75	1.95	1.76
10	2.05	1.73
10.25	2.21	1.58
10.75	2.54	1.43
11	2.83	1.34
11.25	2.98	1.31
11.75	3.53	1.21
12	4.13	1.15
12.25	4.31	1.13
12.75	5.26	1.08
13	6.46	1.03
13.25	6.68	1.02

Next Primera División matches

6 Nov	Independiente Petrolero – Real Tomayapo
7 Nov	Gualberto Villarroel SJ – Real Oruro
7 Nov	Always Ready – ABB
7 Nov	Guabirá – San Antonio Bulo Bulo
8 Nov	Nacional Potosí – Real Potosí
8 Nov	Blooming – Oriente Petrolero

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 Nov	Real Tomayapo 1-2 Blooming
1 Nov	Universitario de Vinto 1-3 Always Ready
1 Nov	Guabirá 1-2 Bolívar
1 Nov	The Strongest 4-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
31 Oct	ABB 2-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
31 Oct	Real Oruro 1-1 Nacional Potosí