Humble Lions vs Chapelton• Premier League, Jamaica

#140.5:3.30-0FT11/100.8:2.5#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.40BVCX3.40B36522.05BTNMargin at best7.6%Books9Markets49Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 17:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.50	3.40	1.99	8.2%
Betano	3.45	3.35	2.00	8.8%
BetVictor	3.40	3.40	1.95	10.1%
Pinnacle	3.35	3.30	1.98	10.7%
1xBet	3.39	3.32	1.95	10.9%
Betfair	3.30	3.40	1.95	11.0%
Bet365	3.20	3.40	1.95	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.30	3.32	1.93	12.2%
William Hill	3.30	3.00	2.00	13.6%
Best of all books	3.50	3.40	2.00	8.0%
Average	3.35	3.32	1.97	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Humble LionsChapelton

Last 10#14Table position#80.40Points per game1.001Form pts · last 550.5Goals for · last 50.83.3Goals against · last 52.540Attack rating6043Defence rating5720Form rating8060H2H rating400Goals model10046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 20:20 UTC

Humble Lions

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:23 · per match 0.7 for, 2.3 against

4 Oct	A	Treasure Beach	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Portmore United	1-4	L
21 Sep	H	Waterhouse	0-5	L
13 Sep	A	Tivoli Gardens	0-3	L
4 May	H	Mount Pleasant Academy	0-4	L
27 Apr	A	Racing United	1-2	L
20 Apr	H	Dunbeholden	1-1	D
13 Apr	A	Waterhouse	0-1	L
6 Apr	H	Portmore United	0-1	L
3 Apr	H	Arnett Gardens	3-1	W

Chapelton

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:29 · per match 1.3 for, 2.9 against

11 Oct	A	Humble Lions	0-0	D
5 Oct	H	Waterhouse	0-6	L
27 Sep	A	Tivoli Gardens	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Molynes United	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Montego Bay United	0-2	L
6 May	H	Arnett Gardens	2-7	L
3 May	A	Waterhouse	0-3	L
26 Apr	H	Spanish Town Police	6-2	W
24 Apr	A	Mount Pleasant Academy	2-5	L
19 Apr	H	Portmore United	0-2	L

Head to head

3Humble Lions wins

0draws

2Chapelton wins

5 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 5: 3W 0D 2L for Humble Lions

20 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Chapelton2-1Humble Lions
19 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Humble Lions1-0Chapelton
16 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Chapelton2-0Humble Lions
16 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Humble Lions4-0Chapelton
15 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Chapelton0-3Humble Lions

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 13:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Humble Lions sit 14th with 2 points from 5 games, while Chapelton are 8th with 5 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Montego Bay United	5	4	1	0	7:1	+6	13
2	Racing United	5	4	0	1	14:6	+8	12
3	Waterhouse	5	3	2	0	15:2	+13	11
4	Tivoli Gardens	5	2	2	1	10:6	+4	8
5	Tru-Juice	5	2	2	1	6:3	+3	8
6	Cavalier	4	2	1	1	7:7	0	7
7	Portmore United	3	1	2	0	6:3	+3	5
8	Chapelton	5	1	2	2	3:10	-7	5
9	Arnett Gardens	4	1	1	2	8:7	+1	4
10	Mount Pleasant Academy	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
11	Dunbeholden	5	1	0	4	2:8	-6	3
12	Molynes United	5	1	0	4	4:12	-8	3
13	Treasure Beach	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
14	Humble Lions	5	0	2	3	2:13	-11	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.35X27%3.32246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.85	1.90	6.7%
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.84	1.87	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Betano	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.69	2.02	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Humble Lions 10%Draw 45%Chapelton 45%

The statistical model rated Humble Lions at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chapelton at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.35 | 3.32 | 1.97, which imply roughly 30.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Humble Lions are 14th (2 pts, 2-13 goals), Chapelton 8th (5 pts, 3-10).

Over their last five matches, Humble Lions averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.3 conceded per game; Chapelton averaged 0.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chapelton.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.35	3.32	1.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.26	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.51	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
3.91	2.14	2.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.33	9.55	1.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.38
1.5	1.25	3.43
2.5	1.84	1.87
3.5	3.09	1.30
4.5	5.83	1.10
5.5	10.2	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.75	1.30	3.02
2	1.39	2.64
2.25	1.61	2.13
2.75	2.04	1.67
3	2.42	1.47
3.25	2.64	1.40
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	4.78	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.86	1.36
0	2.48	1.47
+0.25	2.00	1.71
+0.5	1.78	1.97
+0.75	1.56	2.25
+1	1.36	2.81

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.90	1.06
-1.25	6.40	1.12
-1	6.00	1.08
-0.75	4.08	1.18
-0.5	3.45	1.30
+1.25	1.30	3.15
+1.5	1.25	3.48
+1.75	1.17	4.31
+2	1.08	6.27
+2.25	1.12	6.40
+2.5	1.05	7.07

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.34	2.88
8	1.44	2.50
8.5	1.71	2.02
9	1.94	1.80
9.5	2.19	1.57
10	2.71	1.38

Next Premier League matches

18 Oct	Chapelton – Treasure Beach
18 Oct	Montego Bay United – Arnett Gardens
18 Oct	Tivoli Gardens – Dunbeholden
19 Oct	Molynes United – Cavalier

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

12 Oct	Tivoli Gardens 3-4 Racing United
11 Oct	Cavalier 1-3 Montego Bay United
11 Oct	Dunbeholden 1-0 Molynes United
8 Oct	Portmore United 1-1 Waterhouse
6 Oct	Arnett Gardens 1-1 Portmore United
5 Oct	Chapelton 0-6 Waterhouse