Estrella Roja vs Atletico Independiente• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#51.4:1.83-1FT31/10 · Estadio Marcelo Tinoco, Danli1.0:2.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67WHX3.85DAF25.021XBMargin at best5.8%Books8Markets52Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 22:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.64	3.85	4.70	8.2%
BetVictor	1.60	3.80	4.80	9.6%
Betano	1.65	3.65	4.40	10.7%
Betfair	1.55	3.80	5.00	10.8%
1xBet	1.58	3.62	5.02	10.8%
William Hill	1.67	3.30	4.80	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.62	4.90	12.1%
Bet365	1.65	3.60	4.20	12.2%
Best of all books	1.67	3.85	5.02	5.8%
Average	1.61	3.66	4.73	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Estrella RojaAtletico Independiente

Last 10#5Table position#101.33Points per game0.925Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 52.458Attack rating4257Defence rating4350Form rating500H2H rating071Goals model2959Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 07:00 UTC

Estrella Roja

3W 4D 3L · goals 18:20 · per match 1.8 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	A	Olancho	3-3	D
18 Oct	A	Génesis	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Real Espana	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Atlético Choloma	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Platense FC	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	CD Marathon	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	CD Olimpia	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Juticalpa	5-2	W
15 Aug	A	Lobos Upnfm	2-2	D
9 Aug	A	CD Motagua	2-0	W

Atletico Independiente

2W 5D 3L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	H	CD Marathon	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Lobos Upnfm	0-4	L
11 Oct	A	Olancho	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	CD Olimpia	0-4	L
14 Sep	H	Juticalpa	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	CD Motagua	0-0	D
29 Aug	A	Platense FC	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Génesis	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Real Espana	1-1	D
10 Aug	H	Atlético Choloma	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Estrella Roja and Atletico Independiente on record.

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Estrella Roja sit 5th with 16 points from 12 games, while Atletico Independiente are 10th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CD Olimpia	12	9	2	1	26:8	+18	29
2	Real Espana	12	8	3	1	22:10	+12	27
3	CD Motagua	12	8	1	3	19:9	+10	25
4	CD Marathon	12	6	4	2	18:11	+7	22
5	Estrella Roja	12	4	4	4	21:22	-1	16
6	Lobos Upnfm	12	4	3	5	15:16	-1	15
7	Olancho	11	2	7	2	11:11	0	13
8	Atlético Choloma	12	4	1	7	12:15	-3	13
9	Génesis	12	3	2	7	15:16	-1	11
10	Atletico Independiente	12	2	5	5	11:21	-10	11
11	Platense FC	11	2	2	7	11:25	-14	8
12	Juticalpa	12	2	0	10	11:28	-17	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X25%3.66219%4.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.61 -6.4%X3.60 → 3.66 +1.7%24.08 → 4.73 +15.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
BetVictor	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Betano	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.71	2.00	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Average	1.71	1.97	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estrella Roja 45%Draw 45%Atletico Independiente 10%

The statistical model rated Estrella Roja at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Independiente at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.66 | 4.73, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Estrella Roja win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Estrella Roja are 5th (16 pts, 21-22 goals), Atletico Independiente 10th (11 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, Estrella Roja averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Atletico Independiente averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Estrella Roja or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.66	4.73

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.10	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.24	4.86

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.60	4.60

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.52	15.8	41.0
HT X	4.48	5.90	9.83
HT 2	20.7	16.7	7.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	12.1	2.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.6
1.5	1.21	3.80
2.5	1.71	2.00
3.5	2.73	1.37
4.5	5.10	1.12
5.5	11.0	1.04

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.40
1.25	1.14	4.90
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.31	2.92
2.25	1.51	2.30
2.75	1.86	1.78
3	2.14	1.57
3.25	2.41	1.45
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.60	1.16

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.52	1.41
-1.25	2.26	1.51
-1	1.99	1.68
-0.75	1.76	1.93
-0.5	1.73	1.99
-0.25	1.38	2.62

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.00	1.01
-3	8.40	1.01
-2.5	4.70	1.12
-2.25	4.50	1.17
-2	3.98	1.17
-1.75	3.04	1.29
0	1.20	3.68
+0.25	1.16	4.15
+0.75	1.13	5.10
+1	1.02	8.85
+1.5	1.01	9.35

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.82	1.98
9.5	2.01	1.74

Latest Liga Nacional results

2 Nov	Olancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 Nov	CD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 Nov	Atlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia
31 Oct	Real Espana 3-1 Juticalpa
31 Oct	Lobos Upnfm 4-3 Génesis
25 Oct	Lobos Upnfm 0-1 CD Olimpia