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Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#61.4:0.24-3FT31/10 · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca0.4:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.26DAFX3.30B36523.10DAFMargin at best6.8%Books7Markets44Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 14:44 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.263.153.108.3%
Betfair2.203.253.009.6%
1xBet2.173.143.0310.9%
Betano2.223.053.0011.2%
Bet3652.103.303.0011.3%
Pinnacle2.183.013.0511.9%
Marathonbet2.153.142.9512.3%
Best of all books2.263.303.106.8%
Average2.183.153.0210.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lobos UpnfmGénesis
Last 10#6Table position#91.25Points per game0.9210Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.40.2Goals against · last 51.478Attack rating2288Defence rating1391Form rating971H2H rating2950Goals model5073Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 07:00 UTC

Lobos Upnfm

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

25 OctHCD Olimpia0-1L
18 OctAAtletico Independiente4-0W
11 OctHCD Marathon0-0D
18 SepAPlatense FC2-0W
13 SepHAtlético Choloma1-0W
6 SepAReal Espana0-2L
29 AugAJuticalpa0-1L
22 AugACD Motagua1-4L
15 AugHEstrella Roja2-2D
8 AugHOlancho1-1D

Génesis

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

24 OctAAtlético Choloma1-3L
18 OctHEstrella Roja1-2L
10 OctHCD Olimpia0-1L
19 SepHOlancho0-0D
13 SepACD Motagua0-1L
7 SepAJuticalpa3-0W
29 AugHCD Marathon1-2L
22 AugAAtletico Independiente1-1D
15 AugHPlatense FC3-0W
9 AugAReal Espana0-2L

Head to head

4Lobos Upnfm wins
2draws
6Génesis wins

12 meetings · goals 10:18 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Lobos Upnfm

23 Apr 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-1Génesis
2 Mar 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis0-2Lobos Upnfm
27 Sep 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis2-3Lobos Upnfm
23 Jul 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm2-1Génesis
12 Mar 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm1-1Génesis
25 Jan 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis4-0Lobos Upnfm
20 Oct 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm1-4Génesis
10 Aug 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis3-0Lobos Upnfm
28 Apr 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalGénesis1-0Lobos Upnfm
5 Mar 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-0Génesis

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Lobos Upnfm sit 6th with 15 points from 12 games, while Génesis are 9th with 11 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Olimpia1292126:8+1829
2Real Espana1283122:10+1227
3CD Motagua1281319:9+1025
4CD Marathon1264218:11+722
5Estrella Roja1244421:22-116
6Lobos Upnfm1243515:16-115
7Olancho1127211:11013
8Atlético Choloma1241712:15-313
9Génesis1232715:16-111
10Atletico Independiente1225511:21-1011
11Platense FC1122711:25-148
12Juticalpa12201011:28-176

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.36X27%3.30235%2.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Oct 07:0031 Oct 17:301 2.18X 3.152 3.02
12.19 → 2.18 -0.5%X3.20 → 3.15 -1.6%22.98 → 3.02 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Betfair2.001.737.8%
Pinnacle1.951.768.1%
1xBet1.961.729.2%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
Betano1.931.7210.0%
Best of all books2.001.854.1%
Average1.961.758.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.751.939.0%
Marathonbet1.751.909.8%
Best of all books1.801.956.8%
Average1.771.938.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lobos Upnfm 45%Draw 45%Génesis 10%

The statistical model rated Lobos Upnfm at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Génesis at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.30 | 2.61, which imply roughly 42.4% for a Lobos Upnfm win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Lobos Upnfm are 6th (15 pts, 15-16 goals), Génesis 9th (11 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, Lobos Upnfm averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Génesis averaged 0.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lobos Upnfm or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.183.153.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.551.26

Draw no bet

12
1.592.19

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.93

1st half

1X2
2.822.063.64

2nd half

1X2
2.522.363.32

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5314.130.0
HT X5.485.017.07
HT 224.314.84.99

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.819.052.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.20
1.51.303.14
2.51.961.75
3.53.391.26
4.57.151.07
5.513.51.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.30
1.251.164.15
1.751.362.75
21.462.39
2.251.711.95
2.752.211.55
32.701.37
3.253.011.29
3.753.921.19
45.901.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.551.41
-0.52.161.60
-0.251.891.81
01.582.17
+0.251.422.53
+0.51.322.97
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.601.02
-28.601.01
-1.755.001.13
-1.54.301.14
-1.253.881.18
-13.361.24
+0.751.203.68
+11.085.50
+1.51.056.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.921.81

Latest Liga Nacional results

2 NovOlancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 NovCD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 NovAtlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia
31 OctReal Espana 3-1 Juticalpa
31 OctEstrella Roja 3-1 Atletico Independiente
25 OctLobos Upnfm 0-1 CD Olimpia