Awassa Kenema vs Mekelakeya• Premier League, Ethiopia

#130-1FT11/10#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.28PINX2.80B36522.38B365Margin at best8.2%Books8Markets38Rating60 · 40

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 23:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.20	2.80	2.38	9.0%
Dafabet	3.20	2.75	2.35	10.2%
1xBet	3.17	2.79	2.30	10.9%
Pinnacle	3.28	2.62	2.36	11.0%
Bet365	3.00	2.80	2.38	11.1%
Betano	3.20	2.67	2.35	11.3%
Betfair	3.10	2.80	2.30	11.5%
William Hill	3.20	2.60	2.30	13.2%
Best of all books	3.28	2.80	2.38	8.2%
Average	3.17	2.73	2.34	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Awassa KenemaMekelakeya

Last 10#13Table position#20.00Points per game3.002Form pts · last 540Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating062H2H rating380Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:10 UTC

Awassa Kenema

1W 4D 5L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Mekelakeya	0-1	L
2 Jul	H	Adama Kenema	2-3	L
28 Jun	A	Mebrat Hayl	1-1	D
21 Jun	H	Bahardar	0-0	D
15 Jun	A	Negelle Arsi	1-2	L
28 May	H	Ethiopia Bunna	1-0	W
20 May	A	Kedus Giorgis	0-1	L
16 May	H	Arba Minch Kenema	0-0	D
9 May	A	Hadiya Hosaena	0-1	L
4 May	H	Sheger Ketema	1-1	D

Mekelakeya

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

3 Jul	H	Hadiya Hosaena	0-0	D
28 Jun	A	Sheger Ketema	0-2	L
21 Jun	H	Ethiopian Medhin	1-0	W
14 Jun	A	Kedus Giorgis	0-3	L
28 May	H	Arba Minch Kenema	1-2	L
19 May	A	Bahardar	1-1	D
14 May	H	Negelle Arsi	4-0	W
9 May	A	Ethiopia Bunna	1-1	D
4 May	H	Adama Kenema	0-0	D
29 Apr	A	Mebrat Hayl	1-0	W

Head to head

7Awassa Kenema wins

6draws

5Mekelakeya wins

18 meetings · goals 28:25 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Awassa Kenema

19 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Mekelakeya0-0Awassa Kenema
7 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema1-1Mekelakeya
31 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Mekelakeya1-3Awassa Kenema
30 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema1-0Mekelakeya
18 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema2-3Mekelakeya
10 Jan 2024Premier League	Premier League	Mekelakeya2-1Awassa Kenema
27 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Mekelakeya1-1Awassa Kenema
7 Dec 2022Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema0-2Mekelakeya
28 Jun 2022Premier League	Premier League	Mekelakeya1-2Awassa Kenema
22 Feb 2022Premier League	Premier League	Awassa Kenema3-2Mekelakeya

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 14:01 UTC

In the Premier League table, Awassa Kenema sit 13th with 0 points from 1 games, while Mekelakeya are 2nd with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ethiopian Medhin	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
2	Mekelakeya	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
3	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
4	Adama Kenema	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
5	Bahardar	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
6	Sheger Ketema	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
7	Kedus Giorgis	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
8	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
9	Halaba Ketema	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
10	Negelle Arsi	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
11	Welayta Dicha	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Fasil Ketema	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
13	Awassa Kenema	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
14	Mebrat Hayl	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Sidama Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
16	Ethiopia Bunna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
17	Hadiya Hosaena	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Gamo Chencha	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.27X34%2.65238%2.36

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
BetVictor	2.90	1.36	8.0%
Pinnacle	3.12	1.30	9.0%
1xBet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Best of all books	3.12	1.40	3.5%
Average	2.85	1.36	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.30	1.53	8.8%
William Hill	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Best of all books	2.30	1.58	6.8%
Average	2.24	1.55	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Awassa Kenema 45%Draw 45%Mekelakeya 10%

The statistical model rated Awassa Kenema at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mekelakeya at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.27 | 2.65 | 2.36, which imply roughly 30.6% for a Awassa Kenema win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Awassa Kenema are 13th (0 pts, 0-1 goals), Mekelakeya 2nd (3 pts, 1-0).

Over their last five matches, Awassa Kenema averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Mekelakeya averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Awassa Kenema or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.17	2.73	2.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.29	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
2.19	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.24	1.55

1st half

1	X	2
4.08	1.81	3.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.40	5.00	1.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.78
1.5	1.60	2.17
2.5	2.85	1.36
3.5	6.13	1.08
4.5	14.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	4.95
1	1.18	4.02
1.25	1.40	2.65
1.75	1.81	1.89
2	2.11	1.62
2.25	2.50	1.45
2.75	3.22	1.27
3	4.45	1.14
3.25	4.86	1.11
3.75	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.20	1.29
-0.25	2.67	1.40
0	2.19	1.58
+0.25	1.75	1.97
+0.5	1.53	2.33
+0.75	1.36	2.83

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.20	1.03
-1.25	6.75	1.04
-1	6.15	1.06
-0.75	3.92	1.18
+1	1.19	4.00
+1.25	1.14	4.45
+1.5	1.11	4.90
+1.75	1.05	6.50
+2	1.01	10.0