Everton vs Newcastle• League Cup, England

2.5:0.019:45Today · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.311XBX3.60BFR23.22PINMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets98Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.33	3.46	3.22	2.9%
Marathonbet	2.31	3.46	3.22	3.2%
Pinnacle	2.23	3.58	3.25	3.5%
Dafabet	2.26	3.55	3.15	4.2%
Betano	2.20	3.60	3.15	5.0%
BetVictor	2.20	3.60	3.13	5.2%
Betfair	2.20	3.50	3.10	6.3%
Bet365	2.15	3.50	3.10	7.3%
William Hill	2.20	3.30	3.00	9.1%
SBO	2.02	3.16	2.80	16.9%
Best of all books	2.33	3.60	3.25	1.5%
Average	2.21	3.47	3.11	6.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EvertonNewcastle

Last 107Form pts · last 562.5Goals for · last 52.00.0Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating44100Defence rating050Form rating5071H2H rating290Goals model058Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 00:03 UTC

Everton

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Arsenal	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Chelsea	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Hull City	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Ipswich	1-0	W
16 Sep	H	Wolves	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Tottenham	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Manchester United	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Bournemouth	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Preston	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Crystal Palace	2-0	W

Newcastle

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	A	Crystal Palace	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Aston Villa	0-1	L
12 Oct	A	Coventry	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Hull City	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Leeds	1-4	L
8 Sep	A	Millwall	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bournemouth	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Tottenham	2-0	W
26 Aug	H	West Brom	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Liverpool	2-2	D

Head to head

16Everton wins

5draws

10Newcastle wins

31 meetings · goals 50:40 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Everton

12 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Newcastle1-3Everton
28 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Newcastle2-3Everton
29 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Everton1-4Newcastle
25 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Newcastle0-1Everton
5 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Everton0-0Newcastle
2 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Newcastle1-1Everton
7 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Everton3-0Newcastle
27 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Everton1-4Newcastle
19 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Newcastle1-0Everton
17 Mar 2022Premier League	Premier League	Everton1-0Newcastle

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.23X27%3.46230%3.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.77	2.10	4.1%
Betano	1.75	2.12	4.3%
1xBet	1.82	2.01	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.82	2.01	4.7%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
SBO	1.69	2.07	7.5%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.82	2.12	2.1%
Average	1.75	2.06	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Best of all books	1.63	2.30	4.8%
Average	1.61	2.22	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Everton 45%Draw 45%Newcastle 10%

The statistical model rates Everton at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Newcastle at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.46 | 3.09, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Everton win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Everton averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Newcastle averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Everton or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.47	3.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.64	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.74	2.22	3.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.49	2.54	3.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.49	13.6	29.3
HT X	5.59	5.55	7.29
HT 2	24.4	13.8	5.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	11.4	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.24	3.91
2.5	1.75	2.06
3.5	2.83	1.40
4.5	5.32	1.14
5.5	10.3	1.04
6.5	20.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	10.5
1	1.02	8.90
1.25	1.13	5.11
1.75	1.30	3.30
2	1.37	3.02
2.25	1.58	2.36
2.75	1.93	1.84
3	2.27	1.61
3.25	2.56	1.48
3.75	3.35	1.27
4	4.40	1.17
4.25	5.02	1.13
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.55	1.48
-0.5	2.16	1.68
-0.25	1.89	1.89
0	1.61	2.30
+0.25	1.46	2.66
+0.5	1.36	3.09

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.83	1.02
-2	7.80	1.03
-1.75	5.32	1.12
-1.5	4.07	1.20
-1.25	3.70	1.25
-1	3.34	1.31
+0.75	1.24	3.84
+1	1.12	5.59
+1.25	1.10	5.96
+1.5	1.09	6.35
+1.75	1.03	8.40
+2	1.01	12.5
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.10	6.30
2.5	1.28	3.45
3.5	1.62	2.21
4.5	2.28	1.59
5.5	3.15	1.33
6.5	4.70	1.17
7.5	6.80	1.08
8.5	9.25	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.33	3.06
4	1.90	1.87
5	3.09	1.32

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.5
4.5	1.02	14.1
5.5	1.04	9.00
6.5	1.10	5.55
7.5	1.22	3.66
8.5	1.44	2.59
9.5	1.76	1.99
10.5	2.22	1.59
11.5	2.87	1.35
12.5	3.90	1.19
13.5	5.34	1.10
14.5	7.06	1.05
15.5	10.4	1.02
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.04	5.60
6.75	1.06	5.49
7	1.12	4.15
7.25	1.14	4.19
7.75	1.22	3.50
8	1.26	2.92
8.25	1.32	2.92
8.75	1.45	2.47
9	1.59	2.22
9.25	1.62	2.13
9.75	1.85	1.89
10	2.01	1.77
10.25	2.06	1.66
10.75	2.34	1.49
11	2.53	1.40
11.25	2.70	1.36
11.75	3.29	1.25
12	3.25	1.21
12.25	3.98	1.16
12.75	4.82	1.10
13	4.32	1.11
13.25	6.05	1.04
14	5.47	1.05

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