Liverpool vs Chelsea• League Cup, England

3.0:1.020:00Tomorrow · Anfield, Liverpool4.0:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.381XBX3.95DAF22.81MARMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets97Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L54.8

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.38	3.80	2.81	3.9%
Dafabet	2.33	3.95	2.80	3.9%
Marathonbet	2.36	3.80	2.81	4.3%
Betano	2.32	3.90	2.77	4.8%
Pinnacle	2.30	3.84	2.81	5.1%
Bet365	2.25	3.90	2.75	6.4%
Betfair	2.20	3.75	2.80	7.8%
William Hill	2.25	3.60	2.70	9.3%
BetVictor	2.25	3.70	2.63	9.5%
SBO	2.09	3.33	2.56	16.9%
Best of all books	2.38	3.95	2.81	2.9%
Average	2.27	3.76	2.74	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LiverpoolChelsea

Last 1012Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 54.01.0Goals against · last 51.527Attack rating7375Defence rating2533Form rating6750H2H rating500Goals model046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 17:01 UTC

Liverpool

8W 1D 1L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

25 Oct	H	Brighton	2-0	W
20 Oct	H	Villarreal	4-3	W
17 Oct	A	Brentford	2-1	W
14 Oct	A	Lask Linz	6-3	W
11 Oct	H	Manchester City	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Bournemouth	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Tottenham	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Fulham	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Atletico Madrid	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Ipswich	2-0	W

Chelsea

6W 1D 3L · goals 25:18 · per match 2.5 for, 1.8 against

24 Oct	H	Tottenham	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Everton	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bournemouth	5-1	W
18 Sep	A	Brentford	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Hull City	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	Leeds	6-3	W
6 Sep	A	Arsenal	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Brighton	4-3	W
27 Aug	H	Luton	2-0	W
24 Aug	A	Fulham	3-2	W

Head to head

14Liverpool wins

17draws

12Chelsea wins

43 meetings · goals 57:48 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Liverpool

9 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool1-1Chelsea
4 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea2-1Liverpool
4 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea3-1Liverpool
20 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool2-1Chelsea
25 Feb 2024League Cup	League Cup	Chelsea0-1Liverpool
31 Jan 2024Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool4-1Chelsea
13 Aug 2023Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea1-1Liverpool
4 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea0-0Liverpool
21 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Liverpool0-0Chelsea
14 May 2022FA Cup	FA Cup	Chelsea0-0Liverpool

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.28X25%3.76234%2.74

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.77 → 2.28 -17.7%X3.75 → 3.76 +0.3%22.31 → 2.74 +18.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.67	4.1%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.68	5.8%
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
1xBet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
Best of all books	1.50	2.88	1.4%
Average	1.45	2.63	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betano	1.44	2.67	6.9%
1xBet	1.40	2.77	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.72	8.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.41	2.74	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Liverpool 10%Draw 45%Chelsea 45%

The statistical model rates Liverpool at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chelsea at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.76 | 2.74, which imply roughly 26.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Liverpool averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Chelsea averaged 4 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelsea and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.27	3.76	2.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.42	1.60	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	2.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	2.44	3.11

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.77	2.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.54	13.2	23.2
HT X	6.13	6.49	7.12
HT 2	20.7	13.0	4.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	20.1	1.99

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.8
1.5	1.12	5.63
2.5	1.45	2.63
3.5	2.14	1.69
4.5	3.49	1.28
5.5	6.48	1.09
6.5	13.1	1.03
7.5	22.5	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	14.0
1.75	1.15	4.56
2	1.17	4.23
2.25	1.31	3.10
2.75	1.55	2.34
3	1.70	2.08
3.25	1.92	1.85
3.75	2.43	1.52
4	2.93	1.37
4.25	3.14	1.31
4.75	4.28	1.17
5	5.50	1.09
5.25	5.81	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.63	1.45
-0.5	2.26	1.62
-0.25	2.01	1.79
0	1.73	2.08
+0.25	1.55	2.38
+0.5	1.45	2.70

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.93	1.03
-2	7.20	1.04
-1.75	5.17	1.13
-1.5	3.99	1.20
-1.25	3.72	1.24
-1	3.35	1.29
+0.75	1.31	3.27
+1	1.19	4.38
+1.25	1.17	4.59
+1.5	1.14	5.01
+1.75	1.08	6.59
+2.5	1.03	9.83
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.16	4.85
3.5	1.37	2.95
4.5	1.70	2.08
5.5	2.35	1.55
6.5	3.35	1.30
7.5	4.85	1.16
8.5	7.00	1.08
9.5	9.50	1.04

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	14.3
5.5	1.03	9.25
6.5	1.08	5.77
7.5	1.19	3.91
8.5	1.38	2.72
9.5	1.67	2.07
10.5	2.10	1.67
11.5	2.75	1.38
12.5	3.69	1.21
13.5	5.08	1.11
14.5	6.72	1.06
15.5	9.63	1.02
16.5	11.3	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.51
7	1.10	4.35
7.25	1.10	4.88
7.75	1.17	3.88
8	1.24	3.05
8.25	1.27	3.14
8.75	1.39	2.59
9	1.51	2.38
9.25	1.54	2.21
9.75	1.72	1.93
10	1.91	1.88
10.25	1.94	1.73
10.75	2.22	1.55
11	2.42	1.50
11.25	2.55	1.41
11.75	2.96	1.31
12	3.10	1.23
12.25	3.50	1.22
12.75	4.08	1.15
13	4.10	1.12
13.25	5.03	1.09
14	5.25	1.06

Next League Cup matches

27 Oct	Bradford – Peterborough
27 Oct	Fleetwood Town – Arsenal
28 Oct	Manchester City – Brighton
28 Oct	Fulham – Crystal Palace
28 Oct	Bournemouth – Aston Villa
28 Oct	Sunderland – Brentford

All League Cup fixtures and the table