Sunderland vs Brentford• League Cup, England

1.0:0.019:45Tomorrow · Stadium of Light, Sunderland4.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.66MARX3.70DAF22.051XBMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets101Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.64	3.60	2.05	4.0%
Dafabet	3.60	3.70	2.03	4.1%
Marathonbet	3.66	3.60	2.03	4.4%
Betano	3.45	3.65	2.05	5.2%
Pinnacle	3.52	3.63	2.03	5.2%
Bet365	3.50	3.60	2.00	6.3%
Betfair	3.30	3.60	2.00	8.1%
BetVictor	3.40	3.50	1.95	9.3%
William Hill	3.50	3.30	1.95	10.2%
SBO	3.13	3.14	1.87	17.3%
Best of all books	3.66	3.70	2.05	3.1%
Average	3.47	3.53	2.00	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SunderlandBrentford

Last 105Form pts · last 581.0Goals for · last 54.00.0Goals against · last 51.011Attack rating89100Defence rating033Form rating6738H2H rating62100Goals model030Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 19:40 UTC

Sunderland

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:14 · per match 0.9 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Leeds	0-0	D
22 Oct	A	Lech Poznan	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Bournemouth	0-2	L
15 Oct	A	Torreense	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Brighton	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Manchester City	3-5	L
16 Sep	H	AZ Alkmaar	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Arsenal	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Hull City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Brentford	1-1	D

Brentford

4W 5D 1L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	A	Hull City	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Liverpool	1-2	L
10 Oct	A	Aston Villa	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Chelsea	3-0	W
15 Sep	A	Reading	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bournemouth	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Sunderland	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Leeds	1-1	D
25 Aug	A	Birmingham	6-1	W
22 Aug	H	Tottenham	3-0	W

Head to head

1Sunderland wins

2draws

2Brentford wins

5 meetings · goals 6:10 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Sunderland

5 Sep 2026Premier League	Premier League	Brentford1-1Sunderland
7 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Brentford3-0Sunderland
30 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	Sunderland2-1Brentford
17 Feb 2018Championship	Championship	Sunderland0-2Brentford
21 Oct 2017Championship	Championship	Brentford3-3Sunderland

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.46X26%3.53247%2.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.58 → 3.46 -3.4%X3.55 → 3.53 -0.6%21.99 → 2.00 +0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.80	2.07	3.9%
1xBet	1.80	2.03	4.8%
Marathonbet	1.80	2.03	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.78	2.04	5.2%
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
SBO	1.76	2.00	6.8%
BetVictor	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.07	3.9%
Average	1.77	2.03	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
1xBet	1.64	2.15	7.5%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.12	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.65	2.14	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sunderland 10%Draw 45%Brentford 45%

The statistical model rates Sunderland at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brentford at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.46 | 3.53 | 2.00, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Sunderland averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Brentford averaged 4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Brentford.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.47	3.53	2.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.76	1.29	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
3.90	2.24	2.55

2nd half

1	X	2
3.63	2.56	2.32

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.74	13.8	22.6
HT X	7.94	5.50	5.17
HT 2	32.1	13.8	3.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.33	12.4	1.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.5
1.5	1.23	3.86
2.5	1.77	2.03
3.5	2.83	1.39
4.5	5.40	1.13
5.5	10.4	1.05
6.5	20.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	10.7
1	1.01	9.10
1.25	1.14	4.87
1.75	1.28	3.31
2	1.36	2.98
2.25	1.56	2.33
2.75	1.97	1.81
3	2.28	1.59
3.25	2.56	1.47
3.75	3.31	1.28
4	4.32	1.16
4.25	4.84	1.13
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.01	1.36
0	2.61	1.48
+0.25	2.07	1.73
+0.5	1.81	2.00
+0.75	1.59	2.28
+1	1.39	2.86

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-1.75	10.9	1.01
-1.5	7.23	1.05
-1.25	7.22	1.06
-1	6.73	1.08
-0.75	4.41	1.18
-0.5	3.41	1.29
+1.25	1.31	3.25
+1.5	1.24	3.62
+1.75	1.16	4.51
+2	1.08	6.37
+2.25	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.05	7.17
+3	1.01	13.5
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.07	7.20
2.5	1.22	4.00
3.5	1.50	2.50
4.5	1.90	1.84
5.5	2.72	1.42
6.5	3.95	1.22
7.5	5.80	1.12
8.5	8.00	1.06
9.5	10.5	1.03

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	11.0
5.5	1.03	8.25
6.5	1.11	5.17
7.5	1.23	3.47
8.5	1.47	2.49
9.5	1.79	1.95
10.5	2.27	1.55
11.5	3.03	1.31
12.5	4.11	1.17
13.5	5.72	1.09
14.5	8.00	1.05
15.5	10.4	1.02
16.5	11.5	1.02
17.5	13.0	1.01

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.57
6.75	1.05	5.90
7	1.13	4.00
7.25	1.12	4.46
7.75	1.25	3.28
8	1.28	2.82
8.25	1.36	2.75
8.75	1.50	2.34
9	1.60	2.22
9.25	1.68	2.03
9.75	1.92	1.82
10	2.01	1.77
10.25	2.16	1.60
10.75	2.47	1.44
11	2.62	1.37
11.25	2.88	1.32
11.75	3.10	1.28
12	3.37	1.19
12.25	3.72	1.19
12.75	4.48	1.12
13	4.47	1.10
13.25	5.58	1.06
14	5.62	1.04

Next League Cup matches

27 Oct	Bradford – Peterborough
27 Oct	Fleetwood Town – Arsenal
28 Oct	Manchester City – Brighton
28 Oct	Fulham – Crystal Palace
28 Oct	Bournemouth – Aston Villa
28 Oct	Liverpool – Chelsea

All League Cup fixtures and the table