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Manchester City vs Brighton• League Cup, England

5.0:0.019:30Tomorrow · Etihad Stadium, Manchester3.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.661XBX4.50DAF24.85MARMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets101Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L55.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 03:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.664.404.744.1%
Dafabet1.654.504.704.1%
Marathonbet1.644.404.854.3%
Betano1.654.304.705.1%
Pinnacle1.614.354.855.7%
Bet3651.624.334.755.9%
Betfair1.604.334.756.6%
William Hill1.624.004.509.0%
BetVictor1.574.104.609.8%
SBO1.533.734.0916.6%
Best of all books1.664.504.853.1%
Average1.614.244.657.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manchester CityBrighton
Last 109Form pts · last 5105.0Goals for · last 53.00.0Goals against · last 52.063Attack rating38100Defence rating050Form rating5038H2H rating62100Goals model052Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Manchester City

8W 0D 2L · goals 28:12 · per match 2.8 for, 1.2 against

24 OctAAston Villa1-2L
20 OctHAEK Athens FC5-1W
17 OctHIpswich3-2W
14 OctHParis Saint Germain2-4L
11 OctALiverpool3-0W
20 SepHSunderland5-3W
17 SepHNorwich5-0W
13 SepAManchester United1-0W
8 SepAFC Porto2-0W
5 SepHCoventry1-0W

Brighton

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

25 OctALiverpool0-2L
22 OctAFK Jablonec0-0D
18 OctHCrystal Palace5-0W
15 OctHKauno Žalgiris4-0W
10 OctASunderland2-0W
19 SepHArsenal3-0W
16 SepAManchester United3-2W
13 SepACoventry5-0W
5 SepHLeeds1-1D
30 AugAChelsea3-4L

Head to head

13Manchester City wins
3draws
3Brighton wins

19 meetings · goals 46:16 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Manchester City

7 Jan 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City1-1Brighton
31 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton2-1Manchester City
15 Mar 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City2-2Brighton
9 Nov 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton2-1Manchester City
25 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton0-4Manchester City
21 Oct 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City2-1Brighton
24 May 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-1Manchester City
22 Oct 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City3-1Brighton
20 Apr 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueManchester City3-0Brighton
23 Oct 2021Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBrighton1-4Manchester City

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.61X22%4.24220%4.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 00:0027 Oct 04:301 1.61X 4.242 4.65
11.66 → 1.61 -3.0%X4.25 → 4.24 -0.2%24.49 → 4.65 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.532.603.8%
Pinnacle1.462.685.8%
Bet3651.482.606.0%
Betfair1.472.636.1%
1xBet1.442.558.7%
Marathonbet1.442.558.7%
BetVictor1.462.479.0%
Best of all books1.532.682.7%
Average1.472.586.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Betano1.552.376.7%
William Hill1.532.407.0%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.502.457.5%
Marathonbet1.502.418.2%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Best of all books1.552.455.3%
Average1.522.427.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manchester City 45%Draw 45%Brighton 10%

The statistical model rates Manchester City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Brighton at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 4.24 | 4.65, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Manchester City win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Manchester City averaged 5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Brighton averaged 3 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.614.244.65

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.241.20

Draw no bet

12
1.273.48

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.522.42

1st half

1X2
2.072.514.60

2nd half

1X2
1.932.894.28

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3814.335.8
HT X4.827.0710.7
HT 218.615.07.61

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5220.82.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.8
1.51.125.51
2.51.472.58
3.52.191.66
4.53.651.26
5.56.891.08
6.513.51.03
7.522.71.01
8.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0214.0
1.751.144.63
21.164.25
2.251.313.09
2.751.562.32
31.732.05
3.251.961.82
3.752.481.51
43.001.36
4.253.251.29
4.754.471.16
55.951.07
5.256.311.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.581.48
-1.252.281.58
-12.031.79
-0.751.752.02
-0.51.622.27
-0.251.432.70
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.371.04
-38.501.01
-2.755.981.09
-2.54.631.16
-2.254.341.17
-23.951.22
-1.753.041.34
01.263.60
+0.251.213.98
+0.51.194.28
+0.751.105.88
+11.019.40
+1.51.049.40

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.155.00
2.51.402.80
3.51.971.77
41.911.87
4.52.751.42
5.54.201.20
6.54.901.16

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0114.0
4.51.0212.0
5.51.038.40
6.51.105.23
7.51.223.56
8.51.432.54
9.51.771.97
10.52.241.58
11.52.971.32
12.54.001.18
13.55.491.09
14.57.021.05
15.59.881.02
16.511.51.02
17.513.01.01
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.12
71.124.15
7.251.114.62
7.751.233.42
81.262.92
8.251.342.83
8.751.482.43
91.552.27
9.251.662.13
9.751.841.84
101.981.79
10.252.081.63
10.752.381.47
112.571.44
11.252.781.34
11.753.021.30
123.251.21
12.253.601.20
12.754.321.13
134.301.11
13.255.371.07
145.451.05

Next League Cup matches

27 OctBradford – Peterborough
27 OctFleetwood Town – Arsenal
28 OctFulham – Crystal Palace
28 OctBournemouth – Aston Villa
28 OctSunderland – Brentford
28 OctLiverpool – Chelsea

All League Cup fixtures and the table