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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa• League Cup, England

4.0:0.019:45Tomorrow · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth3.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.321XBX3.75BFR23.10BFRMargin at best2.0%Books10Markets96Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.323.563.044.1%
Dafabet2.293.603.054.2%
Marathonbet2.303.563.054.4%
Betano2.303.603.004.6%
Pinnacle2.313.542.995.0%
Bet3652.253.503.006.3%
Betfair2.103.753.106.5%
William Hill2.203.402.909.3%
BetVictor2.203.402.889.6%
SBO2.113.072.6817.3%
Best of all books2.323.753.102.0%
Average2.243.502.977.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BournemouthAston Villa
Last 1012Form pts · last 5134.0Goals for · last 53.00.0Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating43100Defence rating050Form rating5015H2H rating85100Goals model036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 17:01 UTC

Bournemouth

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:11 · per match 2.2 for, 1.1 against

25 OctAManchester United3-0W
22 OctHAC Milan3-0W
18 OctHSunderland2-0W
15 OctHSturm Graz3-0W
10 OctAChelsea1-5L
20 SepHLiverpool0-1L
17 SepAReal Sociedad2-1W
12 SepHBrentford2-2D
8 SepHLincoln4-0W
5 SepANewcastle2-2D

Aston Villa

8W 1D 1L · goals 27:12 · per match 2.7 for, 1.2 against

24 OctHManchester City2-1W
21 OctHViking3-1W
17 OctANewcastle1-0W
14 OctHFenerbahçe6-0W
10 OctHBrentford2-2D
2 OctASevilla3-1W
19 SepATottenham3-2W
16 SepACoventry3-1W
12 SepHNottingham Forest1-2L
8 SepAClub Brugge KV3-2W

Head to head

4Bournemouth wins
3draws
6Aston Villa wins

13 meetings · goals 14:21 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Bournemouth

7 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth1-1Aston Villa
9 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa4-0Bournemouth
10 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth0-1Aston Villa
26 Oct 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa1-1Bournemouth
21 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa3-1Bournemouth
3 Dec 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth2-2Aston Villa
18 Mar 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa3-0Bournemouth
6 Aug 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth2-0Aston Villa
1 Feb 2020Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBournemouth2-1Aston Villa
17 Aug 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueAston Villa1-2Bournemouth

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.24X27%3.49231%2.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 00:0026 Oct 15:001 2.24X 3.492 2.97
12.18 → 2.24 +2.8%X3.53 → 3.49 -1.1%23.11 → 2.97 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.752.124.3%
1xBet1.732.144.5%
Marathonbet1.732.144.5%
Pinnacle1.712.155.0%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
SBO1.732.037.1%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.752.153.7%
Average1.712.115.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Betano1.602.256.9%
William Hill1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.562.307.6%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.562.278.2%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Best of all books1.602.306.0%
Average1.572.287.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bournemouth 35%Draw 35%Aston Villa 30%

The statistical model rates Bournemouth at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aston Villa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.49 | 2.97, which imply roughly 44.6% for a Bournemouth win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Bournemouth averaged 4 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Aston Villa averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.243.502.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.621.28

Draw no bet

12
1.632.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.28

1st half

1X2
2.762.263.42

2nd half

1X2
2.572.573.12

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.5013.328.0
HT X5.725.677.06
HT 224.413.54.72

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8213.62.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0312.6
1.51.214.12
2.51.712.11
3.52.711.42
4.55.001.15
5.59.641.05
6.518.71.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.251.105.72
1.751.253.53
21.323.18
2.251.512.47
2.751.881.89
32.151.66
3.252.421.52
3.753.141.30
44.071.18
4.254.561.15
4.756.261.07
58.801.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.641.45
-0.52.251.63
-0.251.961.83
01.662.19
+0.251.492.53
+0.51.402.92
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.671.06
-28.101.02
-1.755.491.12
-1.54.131.19
-1.253.821.23
-13.451.29
+0.751.263.62
+11.135.20
+1.251.115.73
+1.51.106.07
+1.751.038.25
+21.0212.0
+2.51.0212.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.096.70
2.51.253.70
3.51.552.35
4.52.091.68
5.52.951.37
6.54.351.19
7.56.401.10
8.58.751.05
9.511.31.02
1 more line
LineOverUnder
41.782.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0113.0
4.51.0210.8
5.51.047.95
6.51.115.15
7.51.263.36
8.51.502.41
9.51.871.88
10.52.411.51
11.53.281.27
12.54.681.14
13.56.381.07
14.59.131.03
15.512.81.02
16.512.01.02
17.514.01.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.094.91
71.114.67
7.251.183.80
7.751.253.28
81.322.92
8.251.362.73
8.751.512.31
91.632.17
9.251.682.01
9.751.921.79
102.131.67
10.252.171.58
10.752.501.43
113.121.29
11.252.921.31
11.753.621.20
124.261.14
12.254.441.12
12.755.431.07
136.711.02
13.256.931.02

Next League Cup matches

27 OctBradford – Peterborough
27 OctFleetwood Town – Arsenal
28 OctManchester City – Brighton
28 OctFulham – Crystal Palace
28 OctSunderland – Brentford
28 OctLiverpool – Chelsea

All League Cup fixtures and the table