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Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#101.4:1.40-1FTToday · Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell, Guayaquil2.0:2.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88BTNX3.70BTN24.60BFRMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets84Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.883.704.552.2%
Pinnacle1.853.454.465.5%
1xBet1.833.414.347.0%
Bet3651.833.504.207.0%
Dafabet1.813.454.208.0%
Betfair1.673.404.6011.0%
Marathonbet1.753.264.1511.9%
William Hill1.803.104.0012.8%
BetVictor1.702.903.7020.3%
Best of all books1.883.704.602.0%
Average1.793.354.249.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EmelecGuayaquil City FC
Last 10#10Table position#91.30Points per game1.306Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 52.441Attack rating5963Defence rating3746Form rating5438H2H rating6259Goals model4148Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:12 UTC

Emelec

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

18 OctALeones del Norte3-1W
10 OctAGuayaquil City FC2-3L
20 SepHLibertad1-2L
13 SepAMacara0-1L
8 SepHManta FC1-0W
4 SepALibertad1-1D
30 AugHLeones del Norte2-1W
24 AugALDU de Quito0-2L
16 AugHTecnico Universitario2-1W
10 AugAGuayaquil City FC0-0D

Guayaquil City FC

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

17 OctALibertad0-4L
10 OctHEmelec3-2W
19 SepHLeones del Norte1-1D
12 SepHMushuc Runa SC3-1W
8 SepAOrense SC3-4L
2 SepADeportivo Cuenca0-1L
29 AugHLDU de Quito2-1W
22 AugATecnico Universitario3-2W
15 AugHLibertad2-2D
10 AugHEmelec0-0D

Head to head

9Emelec wins
9draws
5Guayaquil City FC wins

23 meetings · goals 24:18 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Emelec

10 Oct 2026Liga ProLiga ProGuayaquil City FC3-2Emelec
10 Aug 2026Liga ProLiga ProGuayaquil City FC0-0Emelec
18 Apr 2026Liga ProLiga ProEmelec1-3Guayaquil City FC
22 Oct 2025Copa EcuadorCopa EcuadorGuayaquil City FC0-0Emelec
4 Nov 2023Liga ProLiga ProGuayaquil City FC0-0Emelec
30 May 2023Liga ProLiga ProEmelec0-0Guayaquil City FC
12 Feb 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsEmelec2-0Guayaquil City FC
24 Jul 2022Liga ProLiga ProGuayaquil City FC0-0Emelec
5 Mar 2022Liga ProLiga ProEmelec2-2Guayaquil City FC
31 Oct 2021Liga ProLiga ProGuayaquil City FC0-1Emelec

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 25 Oct 22:50 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Emelec sit 10th with 39 points from 30 games, while Guayaquil City FC are 9th with 39 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.78X27%3.34222%4.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 14:401 1.79X 3.352 4.24
11.69 → 1.79 +5.9%X3.39 → 3.35 -1.2%24.73 → 4.24 -10.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.221.684.6%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
Betano2.101.706.4%
1xBet2.141.667.0%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
Marathonbet2.101.639.0%
BetVictor1.841.5220.1%
Best of all books2.221.703.9%
Average2.091.658.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.951.806.8%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
Betano1.931.788.0%
1xBet1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.951.739.1%
William Hill1.911.759.5%
BetVictor1.751.6019.6%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.921.739.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Emelec 10%Draw 45%Guayaquil City FC 45%

The statistical model rated Emelec at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Guayaquil City FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 3.34 | 4.22, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Emelec are 10th (39 pts, 25-34 goals), Guayaquil City FC 9th (39 pts, 33-36).

Over their last five matches, Emelec averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Guayaquil City FC averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Guayaquil City FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Emelec

4-2-3-1

Coach: Ezequiel Medrán

Goalkeeper

  • 12P. Ortíz

Defence

  • 80O. Herrera
  • 27F. León
  • 2A. Leguizamón
  • 3I. Guerrico

Midfield

  • 5A. Mina
  • 32J. Valverde
  • 10F. Pizzini
  • 59Reixon Saya
  • 19J. Ruíz

Attack

  • 9R. Carrillo
Substitutes (12)
  • 21J. Cevallos
  • 11S. Arce
  • 15Luis Fragozo
  • 6V. Griffith
  • 13Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo
  • 7L. Klimowicz
  • 30Madison Ariel Mina Ibarra
  • 8G. Nápoli
  • 16S. Quintero
  • 4E. Segura
  • 51S. Valencia
  • 1Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez

Guayaquil City FC

3-4-2-1

Coach: P. Gavilánez

Goalkeeper

  • 1G. Napa

Defence

  • 3Y. Rodríguez
  • 6R. Arias
  • 4E. Ladines

Midfield

  • 17J. Ayovi
  • 14D. Arroyo
  • 33R. Caicedo
  • 70P. Mancilla
  • 80P. González
  • 21D. Dorregaray

Attack

  • 11E. Mero
Substitutes (12)
  • 15K. Sambonino
  • 29J. Quiñónez
  • 30J. Pinos
  • 12Rodrigo Ramiro Perea Salazar
  • 9M. Palma
  • 16J. Ordóñez
  • 19A. Naula
  • 20S. Laurino
  • 7J. Caicedo
  • 51E. Cabezas
  • 23M. Bolaños
  • 28J. Vivar

Match Statistics

EmelecGuayaquil City FC
2.35Expected Goals1.38
267Passes accurate353
15Shots insidebox10
15Shots outsidebox2
9Blocked Shots2
7Free Kicks13
8Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves9
13Shots off Goal8
1Offsides2
315Total passes418
30Total Shots12
4Yellow Cards2
5Corner Kicks0
13Fouls8
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.793.354.24

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.951.27

Draw no bet

12
1.303.00

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.921.73

1st half

1X2
2.402.074.95

2nd half

1X2
2.172.354.39

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7514.943.8
HT X4.454.889.29
HT 225.015.47.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.597.952.78

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.45
1.51.352.89
2.52.091.65
3.53.711.22
4.56.841.06
5.515.41.02
6.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.80
11.066.22
1.251.203.71
1.751.432.42
21.582.16
2.251.821.80
2.752.391.47
33.071.30
3.253.371.25
3.754.671.13
46.511.06
4.256.801.04
511.41.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.791.35
-12.471.47
-0.751.991.69
-0.51.791.91
-0.251.532.28
01.303.07
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-311.41.01
-2.758.501.01
-2.56.571.07
-2.256.191.08
-25.761.10
-1.754.021.21
-1.53.251.30
+0.251.243.72
+0.51.214.46
+0.751.105.58
+11.018.95
+1.51.018.98

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.58
6.51.154.51
7.51.332.98
8.51.652.13
9.52.011.72
10.52.661.41
11.53.401.23
12.54.981.09
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.046.29
61.046.00
6.251.114.63
6.751.114.59
71.134.36
7.251.213.58
7.751.322.94
81.362.77
8.251.462.46
8.751.632.13
91.781.94
9.251.831.87
9.752.061.68
102.221.57
10.252.351.51
10.752.731.37
113.081.29
11.253.241.26
11.753.871.17
124.591.11
12.254.781.10
12.755.831.05
137.261.01

Next Liga Pro matches

26 OctTecnico Universitario – Mushuc Runa SC

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

25 OctLeones del Norte 4-1 Libertad
24 OctLDU de Quito 1-2 Macara
24 OctOrense SC 4-0 Delfin SC
24 OctManta FC 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca
23 OctIndependiente del Valle 0-0 Universidad Catolica
19 OctMushuc Runa SC 1-1 Orense SC