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Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#111.0:1.620:30Tomorrow · Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club, Ambato1.2:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.94PINX3.40B36524.10B365Margin at best5.3%Books6Markets80Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.943.264.047.0%
1xBet1.933.323.977.1%
Bet3651.853.404.107.9%
Marathonbet1.853.183.8011.8%
William Hill1.853.003.7514.1%
BetVictor1.703.003.6019.9%
Best of all books1.943.404.105.3%
Average1.853.193.8811.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
Last 10#11Table position#131.27Points per game1.103Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.645Attack rating5550Defence rating5043Form rating5740H2H rating6062Goals model3847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Mushuc Runa SC

3W 5D 2L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

9 OctADelfin SC2-3L
20 SepADeportivo Cuenca1-1D
12 SepAGuayaquil City FC1-3L
8 SepHLeones del Norte1-1D
2 SepALDU de Quito0-0D
28 AugHDelfin SC1-0W
22 AugADeportivo Cuenca0-0D
16 AugHBarcelona SC0-0D
10 AugATecnico Universitario3-0W
1 AugAManta FC2-1W

Orense SC

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHDeportivo Cuenca0-0D
21 SepAManta FC1-2L
15 SepAUniversidad Catolica1-2L
8 SepHGuayaquil City FC4-3W
3 SepALeones del Norte0-1L
30 AugHMacara1-2L
23 AugABarcelona SC0-3L
16 AugHDeportivo Cuenca2-0W
9 AugADelfin SC1-1D
1 AugALibertad0-3L

Head to head

9Mushuc Runa SC wins
6draws
4Orense SC wins

19 meetings · goals 27:18 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Mushuc Runa SC

20 Jul 2026Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC2-1Orense SC
19 Mar 2026Liga ProLiga ProOrense SC3-2Mushuc Runa SC
14 Sep 2025Liga ProLiga ProOrense SC3-1Mushuc Runa SC
17 May 2025Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC2-5Orense SC
6 Mar 2025CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL SudamericanaMushuc Runa SC2-1Orense SC
22 Sep 2024Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC3-0Orense SC
6 Apr 2024Liga ProLiga ProOrense SC2-2Mushuc Runa SC
11 Nov 2023Liga ProLiga ProOrense SC1-0Mushuc Runa SC
3 Jun 2023Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC3-1Orense SC
13 Aug 2022Liga ProLiga ProMushuc Runa SC1-1Orense SC

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Mushuc Runa SC sit 11th with 38 points from 30 games, while Orense SC are 13th with 33 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.85X28%3.19223%3.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 16:401 1.85X 3.192 3.88
11.81 → 1.85 +2.2%X3.34 → 3.19 -4.5%24.19 → 3.88 -7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.081.745.5%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
1xBet2.031.737.1%
Marathonbet1.991.709.1%
BetVictor1.771.5720.2%
Best of all books2.081.755.2%
Average1.981.709.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.831.868.4%
William Hill1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.831.839.3%
BetVictor1.671.6719.8%
Best of all books1.831.868.4%
Average1.801.8110.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mushuc Runa SC 10%Draw 45%Orense SC 45%

The statistical model rates Mushuc Runa SC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Orense SC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.85 | 3.19 | 3.88, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Mushuc Runa SC are 11th (38 pts, 35-38 goals), Orense SC 13th (33 pts, 36-47).

Over their last five matches, Mushuc Runa SC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Orense SC averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Orense SC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.853.193.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.831.28

Draw no bet

12
1.322.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.801.81

1st half

1X2
2.492.074.53

2nd half

1X2
2.232.374.04

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9314.836.7
HT X4.654.778.43
HT 225.015.16.87

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.678.352.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.23
1.51.312.98
2.51.981.70
3.53.411.24
4.56.531.06
5.515.51.02
6.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.10
11.066.57
1.251.173.95
1.751.382.58
21.512.26
2.251.751.89
2.752.221.52
32.801.38
3.253.101.29
3.754.211.15
46.151.08
4.256.101.06
510.91.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.081.33
-12.621.40
-0.752.101.61
-0.51.821.83
-0.251.592.14
01.352.81
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-311.41.01
-2.757.701.03
-2.56.801.06
-2.256.631.07
-26.241.08
-1.754.241.18
-1.53.491.26
+0.251.293.35
+0.51.243.97
+0.751.134.93
+11.037.75
+1.251.027.90
+1.51.028.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.095.01
7.51.263.20
8.51.512.30
9.51.891.81
10.52.421.46
11.53.281.25
12.54.761.10
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.104.78
71.124.54
7.251.193.70
7.751.303.03
81.342.86
8.251.432.53
8.751.602.18
91.682.06
9.251.791.92
9.752.011.71
102.171.61
10.252.291.54
10.752.641.39
112.971.31
11.253.121.28
11.753.721.19
124.381.13
12.254.581.11
12.755.611.06
136.961.02

Next Liga Pro matches

18 OctBarcelona SC – Universidad Catolica

All Liga Pro fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Pro results

18 OctDelfin SC 4-2 Manta FC
17 OctAucas 1-1 LDU de Quito
17 OctMacara 1-0 Independiente del Valle
17 OctLibertad 4-0 Guayaquil City FC
16 OctDeportivo Cuenca 2-1 Tecnico Universitario
11 OctLDU de Quito 2-1 Barcelona SC