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Aucas vs LDU de Quito• Liga Pro, Ecuador

#40.8:1.21-0LiveToday · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito1.6:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.51PINX3.25B36522.211XBMargin at best4.5%Books6Markets81Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:35 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.603.052.255.0%
1xBet3.473.022.227.0%
Bet3653.303.252.108.7%
Marathonbet3.322.892.1211.9%
William Hill3.302.802.1013.6%
BetVictor2.902.802.0020.2%
Best of all books3.603.252.253.0%
Average3.312.972.1310.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AucasLDU de Quito
Last 10#4Table position#51.67Points per game1.533Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 50.833Attack rating6740Defence rating6021Form rating7929H2H rating7138Goals model6232Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Aucas

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

10 OctAIndependiente del Valle1-2L
19 SepHMacara1-2L
12 SepAManta FC0-0D
7 SepHBarcelona SC1-1D
3 SepAUniversidad Catolica1-1D
30 AugHLibertad1-0W
26 AugALDU de Quito0-1L
23 AugADelfin SC1-0W
17 AugHLDU de Quito0-1L
12 AugALa Unión1-1D

LDU de Quito

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

11 OctHBarcelona SC2-1W
20 SepHUniversidad Catolica2-1W
16 SepHPalmeiras3-2W
13 SepHDeportivo Cuenca1-1D
9 SepAPalmeiras0-1L
5 SepATecnico Universitario3-1W
2 SepHMushuc Runa SC0-0D
29 AugAGuayaquil City FC1-2L
26 AugHAucas1-0W
24 AugHEmelec2-0W

Head to head

7Aucas wins
10draws
10LDU de Quito wins

27 meetings · goals 24:32 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Aucas

26 Aug 2026Copa EcuadorCopa EcuadorLDU de Quito1-0Aucas
17 Aug 2026Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-1LDU de Quito
23 Apr 2026Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito0-0Aucas
9 Aug 2025Liga ProLiga ProAucas1-0LDU de Quito
18 Apr 2025Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito3-1Aucas
17 Aug 2024Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-1LDU de Quito
16 Mar 2024Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito1-2Aucas
13 Aug 2023Liga ProLiga ProAucas0-0LDU de Quito
4 Mar 2023Liga ProLiga ProLDU de Quito1-1Aucas
4 Feb 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsLDU de Quito0-0Aucas

Liga Pro tableLiga Pro: Regular seasonupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Liga Pro table, Aucas sit 4th with 50 points from 30 games, while LDU de Quito are 5th with 46 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30242473:33+4074
2Universidad Catolica30149751:27+2451
3Macara30156941:33+851
4Aucas30148833:28+550
5LDU de Quito301371031:24+746
6Barcelona SC301111832:25+744
7Libertad301181133:34-141
8Leones del Norte301091131:32-139
9Guayaquil City FC301091133:36-339
10Emelec301091125:34-939
11Mushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338
12Deportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236
13Orense SC30961536:47-1133
14Tecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432
15Delfin SC30771619:31-1228
16Manta FC30561917:42-2521

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.32X30%2.97242%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3016 Oct 14:501 3.28X 2.992 2.13
13.34 → 3.28 -1.8%X3.05 → 2.99 -2.0%22.15 → 2.13 -0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.401.585.0%
Bet3652.301.606.0%
1xBet2.291.587.0%
Marathonbet2.241.559.2%
BetVictor1.921.4720.1%
Best of all books2.401.604.2%
Average2.231.569.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.931.768.6%
Marathonbet1.931.749.3%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
William Hill1.851.7511.2%
BetVictor1.751.6019.6%
Best of all books1.931.836.5%
Average1.861.7411.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aucas 0%Draw 50%LDU de Quito 50%

The statistical model rates Aucas at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and LDU de Quito at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.32 | 2.97 | 2.13, which imply roughly 33.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga Pro table: Aucas are 4th (50 pts, 33-28 goals), LDU de Quito 5th (46 pts, 31-24).

Over their last five matches, Aucas averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; LDU de Quito averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or LDU de Quito.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Aucas

4-1-4-1

Coach: N. Araujo

Goalkeeper

  • 13Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez

Defence

  • 37A. Zova
  • 4M. Burdisso
  • 2S. Morales
  • 28R. Quiñónez

Midfield

  • 6A. Spina
  • 30B. Oyola
  • 21P. Guzmán
  • 18Andrés David Mena Montenegro
  • 10A. Preciado

Attack

  • 9R. Monti Azpiazu
Substitutes (9)
  • 17C. Zambrano
  • 11A. Bolaños
  • 29Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza
  • 7J. Andrade
  • 31B. Carabalí
  • 34M. Carcelén
  • 1I. Chaves
  • 5Thiago
  • 57M. Vera

LDU de Quito

3-4-1-2

Coach: Gustavo Álvarez

Goalkeeper

  • 1G. Valle

Defence

  • 30G. Allala
  • 4Ricardo Ade
  • 33Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla

Midfield

  • 57M. Weigandt
  • 20F. Cornejo
  • 8J. Pretell
  • 23Yerlin Quinonez
  • 7L. Rodríguez

Attack

  • 13J. Corozo
  • 11M. Estrada
Substitutes (12)
  • 28J. Cuero
  • 22Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
  • 5Sebastían González Baquero
  • 3Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
  • 27Ruddy Mina
  • 18Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano
  • 31J. Rodríguez
  • 44L. Segovia
  • 77K. Velasco
  • 26I. Zambrano
  • 10Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
  • 67J. Carabalí

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.322.972.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.621.281.33

Draw no bet

12
2.251.49

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.74

1st half

1X2
4.101.982.87

2nd half

1X2
3.592.272.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.8015.029.3
HT X7.304.334.93
HT 238.714.83.49

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.377.451.81

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.066.25
1.51.382.62
2.52.231.56
3.53.991.18
4.57.551.03
5.519.51.01
6.546.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.075.85
11.105.31
1.251.253.35
1.751.502.27
21.671.97
2.251.941.70
2.752.561.40
33.311.26
3.253.601.21
3.755.061.11
47.181.04
4.257.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.431.31
-0.252.741.36
02.331.51
+0.251.851.82
+0.51.622.08
+0.751.442.48
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.91.01
-210.91.01
-1.758.981.01
-1.57.301.03
-1.256.901.06
-16.591.07
-0.754.291.19
+11.273.48
+1.251.223.93
+1.51.184.20
+1.751.115.48
+21.028.10
+2.251.027.90
+2.51.018.68

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.027.01
6.51.095.00
7.51.263.20
8.51.522.29
9.51.951.77
10.52.421.46
11.53.281.25
12.54.781.10
13.57.041.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.71
61.026.77
6.251.085.13
6.751.104.76
71.124.53
7.251.193.70
7.751.303.02
81.342.85
8.251.442.52
8.751.602.18
91.772.00
9.251.791.91
9.752.011.71
102.171.60
10.252.291.53
10.752.651.39
112.971.31
11.253.131.28
11.753.731.19
124.391.13
12.254.581.11
12.755.621.06
136.971.02
13.256.821.02