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Monagas SC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC• Primera División, Venezuela

#101.2:0.62-1FT11/101.0:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.38WHX3.30BFR23.00B365Margin at best5.7%Books9Markets60Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 16:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.273.302.958.3%
Betano2.273.252.929.1%
BetVictor2.253.302.909.2%
Pinnacle2.343.152.879.3%
William Hill2.383.002.909.8%
1xBet2.233.102.9610.9%
Bet3652.203.202.9011.2%
Betfair2.203.302.8011.5%
Marathonbet2.213.102.8812.2%
Best of all books2.383.302.966.1%
Average2.263.192.9010.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Monagas SCEstudiantes de Merida FC
Last 10#10Table position#81.12Points per game1.4410Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.055Attack rating4563Defence rating3867Form rating3320H2H rating8057Goals model4349Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:21 UTC

Monagas SC

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

14 OctHDinamo de Puerto La Cruz2-1W
11 OctHEstudiantes de Merida FC2-1W
7 OctAMineros de Guyana0-1L
19 SepARayo Zuliano1-1D
16 SepHZamora FC1-0W
13 SepACaracas FC1-0W
9 SepHBolívar5-1W
6 SepHMetropolitanos FC0-1L
3 SepAAnzoátegui FC3-1W
30 AugATrujillanos FC1-3L

Estudiantes de Merida FC

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

11 OctAMonagas SC1-2L
20 SepHTrujillanos FC1-1D
16 SepAPortuguesa FC1-2L
12 SepHDeportivo Tachira FC2-0W
7 SepACarabobo FC0-1L
3 SepHUCV1-1D
30 AugADeportivo La Guaira2-1W
22 AugHPuerto Cabello1-1D
15 AugHAnzoátegui FC1-0W
10 AugARayo Zuliano0-3L

Head to head

9Monagas SC wins
12draws
6Estudiantes de Merida FC wins

27 meetings · goals 37:30 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Monagas SC

19 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónEstudiantes de Merida FC3-2Monagas SC
19 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónMonagas SC1-0Estudiantes de Merida FC
6 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónEstudiantes de Merida FC2-0Monagas SC
10 Nov 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónMonagas SC2-3Estudiantes de Merida FC
3 Nov 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónEstudiantes de Merida FC2-0Monagas SC
22 Aug 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónEstudiantes de Merida FC2-1Monagas SC
1 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónMonagas SC3-2Estudiantes de Merida FC
19 Aug 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónEstudiantes de Merida FC1-1Monagas SC
18 Mar 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónMonagas SC1-1Estudiantes de Merida FC
1 Jul 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónEstudiantes de Merida FC1-1Monagas SC

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 18 Oct 02:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Monagas SC sit 10th with 28 points from 25 games, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 8th with 36 points from 25.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC25175345:19+2656
2Deportivo Tachira FC25155545:27+1850
3Deportivo La Guaira26128637:24+1344
4Carabobo FC251010536:22+1440
5Puerto Cabello25109632:23+939
6Portuguesa FC25911534:24+1038
7UCV25115937:35+238
8Estudiantes de Merida FC25106934:32+236
9Caracas FC25611828:32-429
10Monagas SC25841328:36-828
11Zamora FC26671326:41-1525
12Rayo Zuliano25741430:50-2025
13Trujillanos FC26461623:46-2318
14Anzoátegui FC26451723:47-2417

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.28X29%3.17231%2.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 08:201 2.27X 3.202 2.90
11.96 → 2.27 +15.8%X3.31 → 3.20 -3.3%23.38 → 2.90 -14.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Pinnacle1.891.895.8%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
Betano1.831.878.1%
BetVictor1.821.859.0%
1xBet1.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.891.954.2%
Average1.841.887.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.732.056.6%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.652.078.9%
Betano1.652.078.9%
Marathonbet1.652.039.9%
Best of all books1.732.203.3%
Average1.662.108.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monagas SC 35%Draw 35%Estudiantes de Merida FC 30%

The statistical model rated Monagas SC at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Estudiantes de Merida FC at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.17 | 2.90, which imply roughly 43.9% for a Monagas SC win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Monagas SC are 10th (28 pts, 28-36 goals), Estudiantes de Merida FC 8th (36 pts, 34-32).

Over their last five matches, Monagas SC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Estudiantes de Merida FC averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Monagas SC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.263.192.90

Double chance

1XX212
1.341.541.29

Draw no bet

12
1.662.09

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.10

1st half

1X2
2.872.123.49

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8310.32.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.20
1.51.263.44
2.51.841.88
3.53.101.32
4.55.681.10
5.512.71.03
6.526.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.90
11.037.40
1.251.144.45
1.751.313.02
21.402.63
2.251.622.12
2.752.061.66
32.441.46
3.252.741.37
3.753.581.21
44.851.11
4.255.201.10
59.251.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.651.41
-0.52.241.60
-0.251.951.77
01.652.13
+0.251.472.48
+0.51.382.91
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.501.01
-27.801.02
-1.755.481.11
-1.54.221.17
-1.253.831.21
-13.441.26
+0.751.233.55
+11.125.17
+1.251.105.56
+1.51.095.95
+1.751.037.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.87
6.51.213.52
7.51.472.43
8.51.861.88
9.52.361.50
10.53.241.26
11.54.771.10
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.075.32
71.283.12
81.612.15
92.101.65
102.911.32
114.381.13
127.101.01

Latest Primera División results

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17 OctZamora FC 1-2 Anzoátegui FC
17 OctDeportivo La Guaira 1-2 Trujillanos FC
11 OctCaracas FC 4-1 Zamora FC
11 OctTrujillanos FC 0-1 Puerto Cabello
11 OctAnzoátegui FC 0-1 Carabobo FC