SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart• DFB Pokal, Germany

4.0:2.017:00Today · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn4.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.70BTNX4.60DAF21.60BTNMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets93Rating34 · 67Exp. goals L55.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	5.70	4.50	1.60	2.3%
Dafabet	5.60	4.60	1.56	3.7%
Pinnacle	5.23	4.58	1.56	5.1%
1xBet	5.47	4.45	1.51	7.0%
Bet365	5.50	4.10	1.55	7.1%
Marathonbet	5.45	4.45	1.50	7.5%
William Hill	5.00	4.20	1.53	9.2%
BetVictor	5.00	4.33	1.50	9.8%
Betfair	4.75	4.20	1.50	11.5%
SBO	4.77	3.95	1.42	16.7%
Best of all books	5.70	4.60	1.60	1.8%
Average	5.25	4.34	1.52	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart

Last 1010Form pts · last 574.0Goals for · last 54.02.0Goals against · last 50.050Attack rating500Defence rating10050Form rating509H2H rating910Goals model034Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:04 UTC

SC Paderborn 07

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	H	Hamburger SV	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	Werder Bremen	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	VfB Stuttgart	0-2	L
30 Sep	A	DC United	1-0	W
20 Sep	H	1899 Hoffenheim	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Borussia Dortmund	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	SC Freiburg	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	FSV Mainz 05	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Phönix Lübeck	4-2	W
8 Aug	A	Werder Bremen	2-2	D

VfB Stuttgart

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

23 Oct	H	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2-3	L
20 Oct	H	Atletico Madrid	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Hamburger SV	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Slovan Bratislava	3-0	W
10 Oct	A	SC Paderborn 07	2-0	W
1 Oct	H	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	5-0	W
25 Sep	H	1. FC Heidenheim	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Borussia Dortmund	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	1899 Hoffenheim	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Viking	3-1	W

Head to head

0SC Paderborn 07 wins

1draws

3VfB Stuttgart wins

4 meetings · goals 2:6 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for SC Paderborn 07

10 Oct 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Paderborn 070-2VfB Stuttgart
31 Jan 2023DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	SC Paderborn 071-2VfB Stuttgart
23 May 2015Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Paderborn 071-2VfB Stuttgart
20 Dec 2014Bundesliga	Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart0-0SC Paderborn 07

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.25X21%4.34261%1.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.37 → 5.25 -2.2%X4.31 → 4.34 +0.7%21.52 → 1.52 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.75	4.4%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.70	5.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.75	4.4%
Average	1.43	2.65	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.52	2.42	7.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
Best of all books	1.54	2.50	4.9%
Average	1.52	2.39	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Paderborn 07 10%Draw 45%VfB Stuttgart 45%

The statistical model rates SC Paderborn 07 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and VfB Stuttgart at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.25 | 4.34 | 1.52, which imply roughly 23% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, SC Paderborn 07 averaged 4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; VfB Stuttgart averaged 4 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or VfB Stuttgart and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.25	4.34	1.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.40	1.13	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
4.12	1.21

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
4.96	2.55	1.96

2nd half

1	X	2
4.76	2.98	1.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.33	15.4	18.1
HT X	12.2	7.32	4.51
HT 2	37.4	14.9	2.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.75	18.8	1.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.9
1.5	1.12	5.58
2.5	1.43	2.65
3.5	2.11	1.70
4.5	3.49	1.27
5.5	6.36	1.09
6.5	12.3	1.04
7.5	20.3	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.12	4.70
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.29	3.06
2.75	1.53	2.32
3	1.69	2.08
3.25	1.89	1.84
3.75	2.36	1.52
4	2.84	1.37
4.25	3.10	1.29
4.75	4.06	1.17
5	5.30	1.09
5.25	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.46	1.53
+0.75	2.19	1.60
+1	1.94	1.84
+1.25	1.70	2.04
+1.5	1.55	2.33
+1.75	1.43	2.63

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.3	1.02
-1	9.20	1.02
-0.75	6.57	1.07
-0.5	5.50	1.15
-0.25	4.67	1.14
0	4.16	1.19
+0.25	2.99	1.34
+2	1.29	3.31
+2.25	1.24	3.46
+2.5	1.20	3.98
+2.75	1.14	4.77
+3	1.07	6.50
+3.5	1.04	7.43

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.16	4.75
2.5	1.44	2.65
3.5	1.98	1.80
4.5	2.87	1.38
5.5	4.40	1.19

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	12.5
5.5	1.03	9.75
6.5	1.07	6.06
7.5	1.15	4.36
8.5	1.29	3.07
9.5	1.56	2.25
10.5	1.92	1.82
11.5	2.37	1.49
12.5	3.09	1.29
13.5	4.20	1.16
14.5	5.28	1.10
15.5	7.90	1.06
16.5	9.75	1.03
17.5	11.8	1.02
18.5	13.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.02
8	1.16	3.62
8.75	1.32	2.88
9	1.43	2.60
9.25	1.45	2.45
9.75	1.61	2.15
10	1.76	1.99
10.25	1.83	1.91
10.75	2.03	1.68
11	2.22	1.60
11.25	2.31	1.50
11.75	2.62	1.38
12	2.70	1.35
12.25	2.92	1.31
13	3.45	1.18
14	4.49	1.09

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