SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg• DFB Pokal, Germany

5.0:1.017:00Today · Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg3.0:3.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.90BTN25.50B365Margin at best2.3%Books10Markets99Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L56.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 04:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.57	4.90	5.40	2.6%
Dafabet	1.54	4.90	5.40	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.56	4.72	5.12	4.8%
Bet365	1.53	4.33	5.50	6.6%
1xBet	1.53	4.45	5.20	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.51	4.45	5.30	7.6%
William Hill	1.53	4.33	5.00	8.5%
BetVictor	1.50	4.40	5.00	9.4%
Betfair	1.53	4.10	4.75	10.8%
SBO	1.37	4.15	5.03	17.0%
Best of all books	1.57	4.90	5.50	2.3%
Average	1.52	4.47	5.17	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg

Last 106Form pts · last 5115.0Goals for · last 53.01.0Goals against · last 53.063Attack rating3875Defence rating2575Form rating2571H2H rating290Goals model068Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 19:40 UTC

SC Freiburg

6W 1D 3L · goals 23:16 · per match 2.3 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	H	Bayern München	1-3	L
22 Oct	A	Monaco	0-3	L
18 Oct	A	Bayer Leverkusen	1-2	L
15 Oct	H	FK Jablonec	3-2	W
11 Oct	H	FC Schalke 04	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	FC Luzern	4-2	W
19 Sep	A	Eintracht Frankfurt	2-2	D
12 Sep	H	Borussia Mönchengladbach	5-0	W
5 Sep	A	SC Paderborn 07	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Werder Bremen	4-1	W

VfL Wolfsburg

5W 4D 1L · goals 30:18 · per match 3.0 for, 1.8 against

23 Oct	A	VfL Bochum	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	1. FC Heidenheim	3-1	W
10 Oct	A	1. FC Nürnberg	4-4	D
1 Oct	H	Havelse	4-1	W
18 Sep	H	SV Darmstadt 98	5-1	W
12 Sep	A	FC St. Pauli	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Energie Cottbus	4-4	D
29 Aug	A	Karlsruher SC	5-2	W
24 Aug	A	Altglienicke	3-3	D
16 Aug	A	Hannover 96	1-0	W

Head to head

13SC Freiburg wins

5draws

14VfL Wolfsburg wins

32 meetings · goals 47:59 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for SC Freiburg

3 May 2026Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg1-1VfL Wolfsburg
20 Dec 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg3-4SC Freiburg
26 Apr 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg0-1SC Freiburg
13 Dec 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg3-2VfL Wolfsburg
27 Apr 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg1-2VfL Wolfsburg
9 Dec 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg0-1SC Freiburg
22 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	SC Freiburg2-3VfL Wolfsburg
19 May 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg2-0VfL Wolfsburg
21 Jan 2023Bundesliga	Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg6-0SC Freiburg
12 Mar 2022Bundesliga	Bundesliga	SC Freiburg3-2VfL Wolfsburg

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.52X21%4.47218%5.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.43 → 1.52 +6.3%X4.69 → 4.47 -4.7%26.07 → 5.17 -14.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.40	2.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.39	2.95	5.8%
Bet365	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.95	5.3%
Average	1.37	2.87	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.46	2.53	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.49	8.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.80	2.4%
Average	1.46	2.55	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Freiburg 45%Draw 45%VfL Wolfsburg 10%

The statistical model rates SC Freiburg at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and VfL Wolfsburg at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.52 | 4.47 | 5.17, which imply roughly 65.8% for a SC Freiburg win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, SC Freiburg averaged 5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; VfL Wolfsburg averaged 3 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : SC Freiburg and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.52	4.47	5.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.43	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.94

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.55

1st half

1	X	2
1.94	2.63	4.87

2nd half

1	X	2
1.80	3.05	4.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.19	14.8	37.2
HT X	4.59	7.66	12.2
HT 2	17.9	15.6	8.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	22.0	2.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.7
1.5	1.09	6.36
2.5	1.37	2.87
3.5	1.97	1.80
4.5	3.19	1.32
5.5	5.65	1.12
6.5	10.6	1.05
7.5	18.7	1.01
8.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	13.0
1.75	1.08	5.65
2	1.10	5.10
2.25	1.23	3.51
2.75	1.45	2.53
3	1.56	2.30
3.25	1.78	1.96
3.75	2.19	1.61
4	2.57	1.45
4.25	2.83	1.34
4.75	3.73	1.20
5	4.85	1.11
5.25	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.61	1.43
-1.5	2.31	1.56
-1.25	2.02	1.74
-1	1.81	1.96
-0.75	1.61	2.19
-0.5	1.52	2.49

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.04
-3.25	6.80	1.10
-3	6.67	1.07
-2.75	4.77	1.14
-2.5	3.99	1.20
-2.25	3.50	1.26
-2	3.28	1.30
-0.25	1.35	2.97
0	1.19	4.14
+0.25	1.14	4.75
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.05	6.55
+1	1.02	9.20
+1.5	1.02	9.75

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.5
1.5	1.13	5.30
2.5	1.38	2.92
3.5	1.83	1.91
4.5	2.65	1.45
5.5	4.00	1.22
6.5	6.10	1.10
7.5	8.75	1.05
8.5	11.3	1.02

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	12.5
5.5	1.03	9.75
6.5	1.07	6.08
7.5	1.15	4.31
8.5	1.30	3.01
9.5	1.56	2.26
10.5	1.91	1.82
11.5	2.42	1.49
12.5	3.12	1.28
13.5	4.22	1.16
14.5	5.28	1.10
15.5	7.35	1.06
16.5	9.75	1.03
17.5	11.8	1.02

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	4.95
8	1.17	3.55
8.75	1.33	2.83
9	1.40	2.67
9.25	1.46	2.42
9.75	1.62	2.10
10	1.74	2.01
10.25	1.84	1.86
10.75	2.10	1.69
11	2.20	1.60
11.25	2.35	1.50
11.75	2.69	1.36
12	2.75	1.34
12.25	2.81	1.33
13	3.50	1.18
14	4.57	1.09
15	5.25	1.06

Next DFB Pokal matches

28 Oct	SSV Jeddeloh – Hertha BSC
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28 Oct	SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct	Hannover 96 – 1. FC Kaiserslautern
28 Oct	Holstein Kiel – 1899 Hoffenheim
28 Oct	Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Nürnberg

All DFB Pokal fixtures and the table

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