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VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05• DFB Pokal, Germany

2.0:1.017:00Today · Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum9.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.05PINX4.30DAF21.65BTNMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets94Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L56.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 04:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet4.804.301.664.3%
Betano4.754.201.674.7%
Pinnacle5.014.221.635.0%
Bet3654.754.001.656.7%
1xBet4.704.101.637.0%
Marathonbet4.754.101.617.6%
BetVictor4.504.001.609.7%
William Hill4.603.801.629.8%
Betfair4.204.001.6210.5%
SBO4.363.681.5016.8%
Best of all books5.014.301.673.1%
Average4.644.041.628.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VfL BochumFSV Mainz 05
Last 104Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 59.01.0Goals against · last 50.018Attack rating820Defence rating10050Form rating507H2H rating930Goals model025Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:10 UTC

VfL Bochum

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

23 OctHVfL Wolfsburg1-1D
17 OctA1. FC Kaiserslautern0-2L
11 OctHArminia Bielefeld0-1L
2 OctHVfL Osnabrück4-1W
20 SepAHannover 961-2L
12 SepHSpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1D
5 SepADynamo Dresden2-1W
28 AugHVfL Osnabrück0-1L
23 AugASpVgg Greuther Fürth2-1W
14 AugAEintracht Braunschweig1-0W

FSV Mainz 05

6W 1D 3L · goals 30:14 · per match 3.0 for, 1.4 against

24 OctHWerder Bremen2-3L
17 OctAFC Schalke 041-0W
10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4L
3 OctAWaldhof Mannheim3-0W
19 SepABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3W
12 SepHEintracht Frankfurt1-3L
6 SepAHamburger SV5-0W
29 AugHSC Paderborn 070-0D
23 AugAKrieschow9-0W
15 AugHBournemouth2-1W

Head to head

2VfL Bochum wins
2draws
6FSV Mainz 05 wins

10 meetings · goals 13:21 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for VfL Bochum

10 May 2025BundesligaBundesligaVfL Bochum1-4FSV Mainz 05
11 Jan 2025BundesligaBundesligaFSV Mainz 052-0VfL Bochum
16 Mar 2024BundesligaBundesligaFSV Mainz 052-0Vfl Bochum
27 Oct 2023BundesligaBundesligaVfl Bochum2-2FSV Mainz 05
28 Jan 2023BundesligaBundesligaFSV Mainz 055-2Vfl Bochum
6 Aug 2022BundesligaBundesligaVfl Bochum1-2FSV Mainz 05
18 Jan 2022DFB PokalDFB PokalVfl Bochum3-1FSV Mainz 05
15 Jan 2022BundesligaBundesligaFSV Mainz 051-0Vfl Bochum
21 Aug 2021BundesligaBundesligaVfl Bochum2-0FSV Mainz 05
23 Dec 2020DFB PokalDFB PokalFSV Mainz 052-2Vfl Bochum

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.77X23%4.07258%1.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 00:0127 Oct 07:401 4.77X 4.072 1.61
14.76 → 4.77 +0.2%X4.07 → 4.07 0.0%21.59 → 1.61 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.602.423.8%
Pinnacle1.572.434.8%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.552.357.1%
Marathonbet1.552.357.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.602.433.7%
Average1.572.346.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.602.256.9%
Betfair1.572.307.2%
William Hill1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.572.267.9%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Marathonbet1.572.228.7%
BetVictor1.552.259.0%
Best of all books1.602.306.0%
Average1.572.267.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VfL Bochum 10%Draw 45%FSV Mainz 05 45%

The statistical model rates VfL Bochum at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FSV Mainz 05 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.77 | 4.07 | 1.61, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, VfL Bochum averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; FSV Mainz 05 averaged 9 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : FSV Mainz 05 and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.644.041.62

Double chance

1XX212
2.171.171.20

Draw no bet

12
3.441.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.26

1st half

1X2
4.682.422.11

2nd half

1X2
4.402.771.93

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.6214.919.1
HT X10.46.564.61
HT 236.714.52.43

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6117.11.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.6
1.51.164.82
2.51.572.34
3.52.361.54
4.54.121.20
5.57.721.06
6.515.31.02
7.524.81.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0310.5
1.251.056.40
1.751.164.17
21.203.75
2.251.372.79
2.751.682.09
31.881.86
3.252.101.65
3.752.681.38
43.281.25
4.253.591.21
4.754.901.11
56.651.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.671.42
+0.52.261.62
+0.751.991.76
+11.752.03
+1.251.552.31
+1.51.452.61
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.401.03
-18.271.04
-0.755.921.09
-0.54.221.22
-0.254.121.19
03.471.26
+1.751.333.08
+21.214.00
+2.251.174.33
+2.51.144.78
+2.751.096.07
+31.018.50
+3.51.049.23

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.50
1.51.174.60
2.51.472.55
3.52.051.72
4.53.051.35
5.54.701.17
6.57.101.08
7.59.751.03
8.512.01.02

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.3
5.51.068.00
6.51.114.86
7.51.253.33
8.51.492.42
9.51.831.91
10.52.331.53
11.53.031.29
12.54.141.16
13.55.281.10
14.56.491.06
15.59.751.03
16.511.51.02
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.37
71.143.82
81.332.78
8.251.392.59
8.751.542.22
91.672.10
9.251.751.94
9.752.011.75
102.061.73
10.252.281.54
10.752.611.40
112.751.34
11.253.051.28
123.551.17
134.691.08
145.551.05

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