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Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg• DFB Pokal, Germany

4.0:0.019:45Today · BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen1.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20BTNX8.80DAF215.7PINMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets109Rating84 · 17Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 08:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.208.5014.02.2%
Dafabet1.178.8014.04.0%
Pinnacle1.158.5915.75.0%
Bet3651.178.0013.05.7%
William Hill1.157.5015.07.0%
1xBet1.148.1013.57.5%
Marathonbet1.148.1013.57.5%
BetVictor1.137.5013.09.5%
Betfair1.108.0014.010.6%
SBO1.136.669.4514.1%
Best of all books1.208.8015.71.1%
Average1.157.9713.57.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bayer Leverkusen1. FC Nürnberg
Last 1012Form pts · last 584.0Goals for · last 51.00.0Goals against · last 51.080Attack rating20100Defence rating075Form rating2593H2H rating70Goals model084Overall rating17

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 17:40 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen

7W 1D 2L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against

25 OctA1899 Hoffenheim0-3L
22 OctAOFI2-0W
18 OctHSC Freiburg2-1W
15 OctALech Poznan4-0W
10 OctAFSV Mainz 054-3W
20 SepHRB Leipzig2-0W
16 SepHCelje2-0W
12 SepAFC Augsburg2-2D
5 SepHUnion Berlin4-0W
29 AugASV Elversberg2-3L

1. FC Nürnberg

5W 4D 1L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

24 OctH1. FC Kaiserslautern0-1L
16 OctAEnergie Cottbus1-1D
10 OctHVfL Wolfsburg4-4D
2 OctHFC Ingolstadt 043-1W
19 SepAKarlsruher SC1-0W
11 SepHHannover 962-1W
5 SepAHolstein Kiel2-2D
29 AugHArminia Bielefeld4-1W
22 AugAFC Viktoria Köln1-1D
15 AugASpVgg Greuther Fürth4-2W

Head to head

6Bayer Leverkusen wins
2draws
21. FC Nürnberg wins

10 meetings · goals 17:7 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Bayer Leverkusen

20 Apr 2019BundesligaBundesligaBayer Leverkusen2-0FC Nurnberg
3 Dec 2018BundesligaBundesligaFC Nurnberg1-1Bayer Leverkusen
20 Apr 2014BundesligaBundesligaFC Nurnberg1-4Bayer Leverkusen
30 Nov 2013BundesligaBundesligaBayer Leverkusen3-0FC Nurnberg
4 May 2013BundesligaBundesligaFC Nurnberg0-2Bayer Leverkusen
1 Dec 2012BundesligaBundesligaBayer Leverkusen1-0FC Nurnberg
5 May 2012BundesligaBundesligaFC Nurnberg1-4Bayer Leverkusen
17 Dec 2011BundesligaBundesligaBayer Leverkusen0-3FC Nurnberg
5 Feb 2011BundesligaBundesligaFC Nurnberg1-0Bayer Leverkusen
19 Sep 2010BundesligaBundesligaBayer Leverkusen0-0FC Nurnberg

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg181%1.15X12%7.9727%13.5

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 00:0028 Oct 09:101 1.15X 7.972 13.5
11.15 → 1.15 0.0%X7.96 → 7.97 +0.1%212.8 → 13.5 +5.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.234.205.1%
Bet3651.224.205.8%
Pinnacle1.204.435.9%
Betfair1.174.507.7%
BetVictor1.184.337.8%
1xBet1.173.9810.6%
Marathonbet1.173.9810.6%
Best of all books1.234.503.5%
Average1.194.237.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
Betano1.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.632.148.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.632.118.7%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.632.167.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen 50%Draw 50%1. FC Nürnberg 0%

The statistical model rates Bayer Leverkusen at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and 1. FC Nürnberg at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.15 | 7.97 | 13.52, which imply roughly 87% for a Bayer Leverkusen win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Bayer Leverkusen averaged 4 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; 1. FC Nürnberg averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Bayer Leverkusen.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.157.9713.5

Double chance

1XX212
1.035.201.07

Draw no bet

12
1.0410.5

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.632.16

1st half

1X2
1.443.438.92

2nd half

1X2
1.364.098.42

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.4922.161.1
HT X4.4712.926.2
HT 216.724.021.5

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2340.03.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.5
1.51.049.67
2.51.194.23
3.51.562.35
4.52.231.59
5.53.611.25
6.56.481.11
7.511.61.05
8.520.01.01
9.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.018.40
21.027.90
2.251.105.20
2.751.213.58
31.253.34
3.251.392.67
3.751.662.11
41.841.91
4.252.011.69
4.752.431.44
52.881.32
5.253.141.27
65.251.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-32.661.44
-2.752.261.58
-2.52.051.75
-2.251.831.94
-21.632.19
-1.751.492.43
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-58.701.01
-4.55.251.09
-4.255.131.12
-44.771.14
-3.753.661.23
-3.53.141.30
-3.252.921.36
-1.51.422.70
-1.251.303.26
-11.184.15
-0.751.164.43
-0.51.184.80
-0.251.116.60
01.0511.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.75
1.51.174.65
2.51.472.57
3.52.051.72
4.53.051.35
5.54.751.16
6.57.201.07
7.510.01.03
8.512.51.01

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0212.0
5.51.049.00
6.51.095.59
7.51.193.86
8.51.372.77
9.51.662.09
10.52.071.69
11.52.641.40
12.53.511.22
13.54.781.12
14.55.791.08
15.58.501.05
16.510.51.03
17.512.01.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.55
81.213.20
8.751.422.49
91.492.42
9.251.572.14
9.751.761.88
101.841.93
10.252.011.68
10.752.281.51
112.411.49
11.252.651.38
11.753.081.28
122.931.26
133.891.14
145.021.07

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