Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim• DFB Pokal, Germany

2.0:0.019:45Today · Holstein-Stadion, Kiel4.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.25B365X5.00PIN21.49DAFMargin at best3.1%Books10Markets99Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	6.20	4.90	1.52	2.3%
Dafabet	5.80	5.00	1.49	4.4%
Pinnacle	5.64	5.06	1.48	5.1%
Bet365	6.25	4.33	1.48	6.7%
1xBet	5.91	4.85	1.44	7.0%
Marathonbet	5.90	4.85	1.43	7.5%
BetVictor	5.50	4.60	1.44	9.4%
William Hill	5.50	4.50	1.44	9.8%
Betfair	6.00	4.75	1.36	11.2%
SBO	4.77	4.17	1.39	16.9%
Best of all books	6.25	5.06	1.52	1.6%
Average	5.75	4.70	1.45	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim

Last 108Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 54.00.0Goals against · last 50.033Attack rating670Defence rating050Form rating500H2H rating1000Goals model036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 15:40 UTC

Holstein Kiel

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Dynamo Dresden	3-0	W
16 Oct	H	Hertha BSC	0-0	D
9 Oct	A	Eintracht Braunschweig	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Viborg	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	VfL Osnabrück	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	1. FC Heidenheim	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	1. FC Nürnberg	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	1. FC Magdeburg	0-2	L
22 Aug	A	TSV 1860 München	2-0	W
14 Aug	H	FC St. Pauli	2-2	D

1899 Hoffenheim

4W 0D 6L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Bayer Leverkusen	3-0	W
22 Oct	H	Lyon	3-0	W
18 Oct	A	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Beşiktaş	2-3	L
10 Oct	H	Hamburger SV	2-3	L
20 Sep	A	SC Paderborn 07	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	OFI	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	VfB Stuttgart	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Borussia Dortmund	2-3	L
29 Aug	A	1. FC Köln	2-3	L

Head to head

0Holstein Kiel wins

0draws

41899 Hoffenheim wins

4 meetings · goals 5:14 · last 4: 0W 0D 4L for Holstein Kiel

29 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	1899 Hoffenheim3-1Holstein Kiel
18 Jan 2025Bundesliga	Bundesliga	Holstein Kiel1-31899 Hoffenheim
24 Aug 2024Bundesliga	Bundesliga	1899 Hoffenheim3-2Holstein Kiel
26 Oct 2021DFB Pokal	DFB Pokal	1899 Hoffenheim5-1Holstein Kiel

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.75X20%4.69264%1.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.62 → 5.75 +2.3%X4.70 → 4.69 -0.2%21.45 → 1.44 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.38	3.10	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.33	3.27	5.8%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
Betfair	1.30	3.20	8.2%
BetVictor	1.30	3.13	8.9%
1xBet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.30	2.97	10.6%
Best of all books	1.38	3.27	3.0%
Average	1.32	3.11	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.47	2.57	6.9%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.46	2.53	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.49	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.46	2.55	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Holstein Kiel 10%Draw 45%1899 Hoffenheim 45%

The statistical model rates Holstein Kiel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and 1899 Hoffenheim at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.75 | 4.69 | 1.44, which imply roughly 21.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Holstein Kiel averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 4 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.75	4.70	1.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.62	1.12	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
4.63	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.55

1st half

1	X	2
5.14	2.70	1.86

2nd half

1	X	2
4.97	3.14	1.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	10.2	16.5	17.1
HT X	13.7	8.32	4.52
HT 2	41.4	15.6	2.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.78	25.0	1.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.3
1.5	1.08	6.84
2.5	1.32	3.11
3.5	1.88	1.88
4.5	2.93	1.36
5.5	5.26	1.13
6.5	9.69	1.06
7.5	17.1	1.02
8.5	37.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.5
1.75	1.06	6.10
2	1.08	5.60
2.25	1.19	3.79
2.75	1.38	2.72
3	1.49	2.47
3.25	1.67	2.10
3.75	2.05	1.70
4	2.39	1.52
4.25	2.64	1.38
4.75	3.43	1.23
5	4.45	1.14
5.25	4.75	1.12
6	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.66	1.48
+0.75	2.37	1.52
+1	2.12	1.69
+1.25	1.83	1.91
+1.5	1.66	2.12
+1.75	1.50	2.40

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.8	1.02
-1	9.50	1.02
-0.75	7.40	1.03
-0.5	5.90	1.13
-0.25	5.08	1.12
0	4.62	1.15
+0.25	3.27	1.29
+2	1.35	3.00
+2.25	1.29	3.27
+2.5	1.25	3.41
+2.75	1.17	4.30
+3	1.09	5.83
+3.25	1.12	6.40
+3.5	1.07	6.37

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.25
1.5	1.18	4.40
2.5	1.50	2.45
3.5	2.12	1.67
4.5	3.20	1.32
5.5	5.00	1.15
6.5	7.60	1.07
7.5	10.5	1.03
8.5	12.5	1.01

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	12.5
5.5	1.03	10.0
6.5	1.07	7.20
7.5	1.13	4.60
8.5	1.26	3.21
9.5	1.49	2.41
10.5	1.83	1.91
11.5	2.27	1.55
12.5	2.98	1.32
13.5	3.95	1.18
14.5	5.06	1.11
15.5	7.05	1.06
16.5	9.50	1.04
17.5	11.5	1.02

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.06	5.27
8	1.14	3.85
9	1.29	2.75
9.25	1.39	2.59
9.75	1.54	2.25
10	1.63	2.17
10.25	1.75	2.00
10.75	1.94	1.75
11	2.04	1.71
11.25	2.19	1.57
11.75	2.50	1.43
12	2.55	1.39
12.25	2.88	1.32
13	3.25	1.21
14	4.22	1.11
15	5.35	1.05

Next DFB Pokal matches

28 Oct	SSV Jeddeloh – Hertha BSC
28 Oct	Dynamo Dresden – FC Schalke 04
28 Oct	SC Paderborn 07 – VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct	SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg
28 Oct	Hannover 96 – 1. FC Kaiserslautern
28 Oct	Bayer Leverkusen – 1. FC Nürnberg

All DFB Pokal fixtures and the table

Latest DFB Pokal results

27 Oct	1. FC Köln 5-0 Union Berlin
27 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 Karlsruher SC
27 Oct	SV Elversberg 0-2 SV Darmstadt 98
27 Oct	Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Werder Bremen
27 Oct	Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
27 Oct	VfL Bochum 2-0 FSV Mainz 05