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Manila Digger vs Shan United• AFC Challenge League, World

3.0:0.509:30Tomorrow · Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon1.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.781XBX3.55DAF24.50BFRMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets43Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 03:35 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.783.554.407.1%
1xBet1.783.524.307.8%
Marathonbet1.763.524.308.5%
Betfair1.733.504.508.6%
BetVictor1.753.404.409.3%
Bet3651.733.504.0011.4%
Best of all books1.783.554.506.6%
Average1.763.504.328.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Manila DiggerShan United
Last 1013Form pts · last 5103.0Goals for · last 51.50.5Goals against · last 50.567Attack rating3350Defence rating5050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model056Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 01:01 UTC

Manila Digger

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:5 · per match 2.4 for, 0.5 against

21 OctAHang Yuen1-1D
18 OctHKasuka5-0W
11 OctAKaya1-0W
4 OctHDynamic Herb Cebu2-0W
27 SepHAzkals2-0W
20 SepAStallion3-0W
12 SepAKasuka4-1W
4 SepHKasuka5-1W
31 AugAPersib Bandung0-1L
30 MayHTaguig1-1D

Shan United

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:7 · per match 2.2 for, 0.7 against

21 OctAKasuka2-0W
18 OctHHang Yuen1-1D
11 OctAHantharwady United2-0W
14 SepHEzra1-0W
11 SepAEzra2-3L
5 SepAMyawady4-0W
30 AugAYangon Royals2-2D
18 MarHHantharwady United1-0W
12 MarHSagaing United2-1W
8 MarHYarmanya United5-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Manila Digger and Shan United on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.76X26%3.50221%4.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

23 Oct 01:0023 Oct 04:001 1.76X 3.502 4.32
11.76 → 1.76 0.0%X3.49 → 3.50 +0.3%24.25 → 4.32 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.051.755.9%
1xBet2.021.737.3%
Marathonbet2.021.737.3%
BetVictor1.981.719.0%
Best of all books2.051.755.9%
Average2.021.737.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.881.828.1%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
Marathonbet1.881.808.7%
Best of all books1.901.827.6%
Average1.891.818.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Manila Digger 45%Draw 45%Shan United 10%

The statistical model rates Manila Digger at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Shan United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.50 | 4.32, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Manila Digger win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Manila Digger averaged 3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Shan United averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Manila Digger or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.763.504.32

Double chance

1XX212
1.181.941.24

Draw no bet

12
1.323.25

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.81

1st half

1X2
2.382.094.85

2nd half

1X2
2.142.424.47

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7517.542.5
HT X4.605.159.35
HT 223.017.57.15

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.608.602.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.95
1.51.293.09
2.52.021.73
3.53.531.23
4.57.751.06
5.512.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.30
1.251.164.10
1.751.392.65
21.502.30
2.251.761.93
2.752.281.54
32.801.34
3.253.171.29
3.754.201.18
46.101.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.081.28
-1.252.781.36
-12.441.49
-0.751.961.73
-0.51.711.98
-0.251.502.32
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.551.05
-25.701.08
-1.753.941.17
01.283.08
+0.251.223.50
+0.751.125.40
+11.018.90
+1.51.039.05

Next AFC Challenge League matches

23 OctAhal – Al Ansar
23 OctFortis – Regar-TadAZ
23 OctAl Ittihad – Paro
24 OctTainan City – Yangon United

All AFC Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest AFC Challenge League results

21 OctHang Yuen 1-1 Manila Digger
21 OctTainan City 1-3 Pusamania Borneo
20 OctRegar-TadAZ 0-1 Al Qadsia
20 OctAl Ittihad 5-1 Ahal
20 OctIstiqlol 2-0 Al Arabi
20 OctFortis 1-2 Goa