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Al Ittihad vs Ahal• AFC Challenge League, World

0.5:1.05-1FTToday · Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu2.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78DAFX3.95DAF24.20BFRMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets45Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 08:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.863.603.907.2%
1xBet1.723.844.208.0%
Marathonbet1.703.844.208.7%
BetVictor1.873.503.609.8%
Betfair1.733.753.9010.1%
Betano1.833.403.7011.1%
Bet3651.753.703.7011.2%
William Hill1.753.503.9011.4%
Pinnacle1.743.503.7512.7%
Best of all books1.873.844.203.3%
Average1.773.633.879.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al IttihadAhal
Last 1012Form pts · last 570.5Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6750Defence rating5075Form rating250H2H rating00Goals model053Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 17:30 UTC

Al Ittihad

8W 1D 1L · goals 25:6 · per match 2.5 for, 0.6 against

17 OctAAl Ansar0-2L
10 OctAHorriya3-1W
11 AugHBangladesh Police1-0W
3 JulHJaish2-0W
28 JunAJabala4-1W
24 JunHHottin4-0W
19 JunAAl Wahda1-1D
14 JunHHorriya1-0W
30 MayAAl Shouleh5-0W
22 MayHOmaya SC4-1W

Ahal

5W 1D 4L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

17 OctHParo2-2D
7 OctHAltyn Asyr0-2L
28 SepHArkadag0-4L
19 SepAAşgabat4-3W
12 SepHNebitci3-0W
5 SepAŞagadam1-2L
22 AugHMerw4-0W
16 AugAArkadag1-2L
6 AugHKöpetdag Aşgabat3-0W
20 JunHAşgabat4-3W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Al Ittihad and Ahal on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X24%3.74223%4.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19 Oct 17:3020 Oct 15:001 1.72X 3.742 4.00
12.07 → 1.72 -16.9%X3.38 → 3.74 +10.7%23.17 → 4.00 +26.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.662.127.4%
Marathonbet1.662.127.4%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Pinnacle1.692.018.9%
BetVictor1.711.989.0%
Betano1.721.9310.0%
Best of all books1.722.125.3%
Average1.682.058.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.207.2%
William Hill1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.632.148.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.632.118.7%
Best of all books1.632.206.8%
Average1.622.168.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Ittihad 35%Draw 35%Ahal 30%

The statistical model rated Al Ittihad at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ahal at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.74 | 4.00, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Al Ittihad win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Al Ittihad averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ahal averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Al Ittihad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.773.633.87

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.881.24

Draw no bet

12
1.372.86

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.16

1st half

1X2
2.302.284.28

2nd half

1X2
2.062.604.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.7915.032.0
HT X4.885.788.57
HT 220.515.16.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5814.02.48

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.7
1.51.194.08
2.51.682.05
3.52.691.39
4.55.101.12
5.510.31.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.30
1.751.233.46
21.313.00
2.251.492.39
2.751.861.84
32.111.61
3.252.371.48
3.753.081.28
44.001.17
4.254.721.12

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.851.33
-1.252.581.42
-12.361.53
-0.751.951.75
-0.51.791.91
-0.251.582.22
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.501.08
-2.254.871.11
-24.751.12
-1.753.421.23
01.322.94
+0.251.273.25
+0.751.154.36
+11.028.10

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