Ahal vs 
Al Ansar• AFC Challenge League, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 03:35 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 4.40 | 1.46 | 7.3% |
| 1xBet | 6.17 | 4.40 | 1.45 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 6.10 | 4.40 | 1.44 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.40 | 9.9% |
| Betano | 5.70 | 4.05 | 1.45 | 11.2% |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.44 | 11.4% |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 11.7% |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 11.7% |
| Pinnacle | 5.44 | 4.09 | 1.43 | 12.8% |
| Best of all books | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.50 | 4.8% |
| Average | 5.82 | 4.21 | 1.45 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:30 UTC
Ahal
4W 1D 5L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against
| 20 Oct | A | Al Ittihad | 1-5 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Paro | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | Altyn Asyr | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Arkadag | 0-4 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Aşgabat | 4-3 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Nebitci | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Şagadam | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Merw | 4-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Arkadag | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Aug | H | Köpetdag Aşgabat | 3-0 | W |
Al Ansar
7W 3D 0L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against
| 20 Oct | A | Paro | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Al Ittihad | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Oct | H | Al Hikma | 2-1 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | Al Nejmeh | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Jul | A | Jwaaya FC | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Jul | A | Al Ahed | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Jul | H | Al Nejmeh | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Jul | H | Jwaaya FC | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Jul | H | Al Ahed | 3-3 | D |
| 3 Jul | A | Tadamon Sour | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Ahal and Al Ansar on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 2.14 | 7.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 2.14 | 7.3% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 2.15 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.63 | 2.10 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 2.00 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.15 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.95 | 6.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 1.90 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 1.95 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ahal at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Ansar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.82 | 4.21 | 1.45, which imply roughly 23.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Ahal averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per game; Al Ansar averaged 2 scored and 0.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Ansar and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.82 | 4.21 | 1.45 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.49 | 1.10 | 1.17 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 4.55 | 1.17 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.78 | 1.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.74 | 2.38 | 1.94 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.46 | 2.76 | 1.77 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 9.38 | 16.4 | 19.3 |
| HT X | 11.9 | 6.45 | 4.35 |
| HT 2 | 45.5 | 16.6 | 2.19 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.04 | 13.5 | 1.41 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.18 | 4.17 |
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| 3.5 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| 4.5 | 4.68 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 9.67 | 1.04 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | 9.70 |
| 1.75 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 2 | 1.26 | 3.24 |
| 2.25 | 1.44 | 2.48 |
| 2.75 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
| 3 | 2.01 | 1.68 |
| 3.25 | 2.27 | 1.54 |
| 3.75 | 3.01 | 1.32 |
| 4 | 3.80 | 1.19 |
| 4.25 | 4.40 | 1.17 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.57 | 1.42 |
| +0.75 | 2.30 | 1.51 |
| +1 | 2.01 | 1.72 |
| +1.25 | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| +1.5 | 1.57 | 2.18 |
| +1.75 | 1.42 | 2.53 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
| 0 | 4.60 | 1.13 |
| +0.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| +2 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| +2.25 | 1.19 | 4.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.18 | 3.85 |
| +3 | 1.05 | 6.70 |
| +3.5 | 1.03 | 7.30 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| 9.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
Next AFC Challenge League matches
| 23 Oct | Fortis – Regar-TadAZ |
| 23 Oct | Al Ittihad – Paro |
| 24 Oct | Manila Digger – Shan United |
| 24 Oct | Tainan City – Yangon United |
Latest AFC Challenge League results
| 21 Oct | Hang Yuen 1-1 Manila Digger |
| 21 Oct | Tainan City 1-3 Pusamania Borneo |
| 20 Oct | Regar-TadAZ 0-1 Al Qadsia |
| 20 Oct | Al Ittihad 5-1 Ahal |
| 20 Oct | Istiqlol 2-0 Al Arabi |
| 20 Oct | Fortis 1-2 Goa |