Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula• Primera Premier, Mexico

#51.4:1.04-1FT31/101.2:2.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.20B365X7.00BVC213.0BVCMargin at best5.3%Books6Markets59Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 15:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.17	6.80	12.0	8.5%
Betano	1.18	6.20	12.0	9.2%
BetVictor	1.14	7.00	13.0	9.7%
Bet365	1.20	6.25	9.00	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.13	6.60	11.8	12.2%
1xBet	1.13	6.60	11.7	12.2%
Best of all books	1.20	7.00	13.0	5.3%
Average	1.16	6.58	11.6	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tigres de AlicaTapachula

Last 10#5Table position#171.70Points per game0.677Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 52.854Attack rating4674Defence rating2670Form rating300H2H rating093Goals model773Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 09:01 UTC

Tigres de Alica

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	A	Deportiva Venados	1-3	L
17 Oct	H	Reboceros La Piedad	4-0	W
10 Oct	A	Cordobés	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	H2O Purepechas	1-0	W
27 Sep	H	Tritons Vallarta	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Lobos ULMX	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Irapuato	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Los Cabos United	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Zacatepec 1948	3-1	W
19 Apr	H	Deportivo Zap	2-1	W

Tapachula

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:25 · per match 1.0 for, 2.5 against

31 Oct	A	Tigres de Alica	1-4	L
24 Oct	H	H2O Purepechas	1-0	W
20 Oct	H	Deportiva Venados	1-4	L
11 Oct	A	Montañeses	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Chapulineros	2-3	L
19 Sep	A	Pioneros de Cancún	1-5	L
12 Sep	H	Inter Playa del Carmen	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Celaya	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Racing de Veracruz	0-4	L
19 Apr	H	Tritons Vallarta	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Tigres de Alica and Tapachula on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Tigres de Alica sit 5th with 17 points from 10 games, while Tapachula are 17th with 6 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.16X14%6.5828%11.6

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.16 → 1.16 0.0%X6.49 → 6.58 +1.4%211.9 → 11.6 -2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Betano	1.40	2.65	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
1xBet	1.33	2.81	10.8%
Best of all books	1.44	3.00	2.8%
Average	1.37	2.78	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.91	1.78	8.5%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.79	5.9%
Average	1.92	1.76	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tigres de Alica 45%Draw 45%Tapachula 10%

The statistical model rated Tigres de Alica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tapachula at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.16 | 6.58 | 11.58, which imply roughly 86.2% for a Tigres de Alica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Tigres de Alica are 5th (17 pts, 18-11 goals), Tapachula 17th (6 pts, 9-24).

Over their last five matches, Tigres de Alica averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Tapachula averaged 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Tigres de Alica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.16	6.58	11.6

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	3.89	1.06

Draw no bet

1	2
1.05	7.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
1.52	2.91	8.95

2nd half

1	X	2
1.37	3.63	8.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.62	25.0	78.7
HT X	4.08	9.90	23.3
HT 2	18.7	25.3	20.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	23.0	4.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.10	5.72
2.5	1.37	2.78
3.5	1.92	1.76
4.5	3.03	1.31
5.5	5.25	1.12

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.11	4.97
2.25	1.22	3.50
2.75	1.43	2.51
3	1.51	2.28
3.25	1.71	1.96
3.75	2.10	1.61
4	2.43	1.45
4.25	2.70	1.36
4.75	3.65	1.22
5	4.47	1.13

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.55	1.43
-2.5	2.23	1.56
-2.25	2.01	1.69
-2	1.80	1.90
-1.75	1.63	2.11
-1.5	1.51	2.35

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.40	1.05
-4	5.92	1.09
-3.75	4.40	1.20
-3.5	3.57	1.23
-3.25	3.38	1.26
-3	3.09	1.30
-1.25	1.38	2.72
-1	1.24	3.54
-0.75	1.23	3.95
-0.5	1.23	4.00
-0.25	1.16	5.25
0	1.04	8.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.81	1.92

Next Primera Premier matches

6 Nov

Tapachula – Zacatepec 1948

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz