Montañeses vs Lobos ULMX• Primera Premier, Mexico

#141.6:1.80-3FT25/101.0:1.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00BFRX3.75B36523.95DAFMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets45Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 14:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.81	3.65	3.95	8.0%
Betano	1.85	3.45	3.80	9.4%
BetVictor	1.83	3.50	3.80	9.5%
1xBet	1.81	3.48	3.72	10.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.60	3.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.80	3.75	3.40	11.6%
William Hill	1.85	3.40	3.50	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	3.44	3.44	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.85	3.41	3.43	12.5%
Best of all books	2.00	3.75	3.95	2.0%
Average	1.85	3.52	3.56	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MontañesesLobos ULMX

Last 10#14Table position#101.00Points per game1.226Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating3844Defence rating5646Form rating5450H2H rating5078Goals model2255Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 23:01 UTC

Montañeses

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

25 Oct	H	Lobos ULMX	0-3	L
17 Oct	A	Chapulineros	1-2	L
11 Oct	H	Tapachula	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Pioneros de Cancún	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Inter Playa del Carmen	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	Celaya	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Racing de Veracruz	1-3	L
6 Sep	A	Jaguares de Chiapas	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Deportiva Venados	1-1	D
10 Apr	A	Héroes de Zaci	0-1	L

Lobos ULMX

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	Montañeses	3-0	W
18 Oct	H	Cordobés	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	H2O Purepechas	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Tritons Vallarta	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Irapuato	0-3	L
19 Sep	A	Tigres de Alica	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Los Cabos United	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Zacatepec 1948	1-2	L
12 Apr	A	Calor de San Pedro	1-4	L
29 Mar	H	Zitacuaro	1-0	W

Head to head

2Montañeses wins

0draws

2Lobos ULMX wins

4 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Montañeses

6 Mar 2024Liga Premier Serie A	Liga Premier Serie A	Montañeses2-1Lobos ULMX
5 Oct 2023Liga Premier Serie A	Liga Premier Serie A	Lobos ULMX2-1Montañeses
4 Apr 2022Liga Premier Serie A	Liga Premier Serie A	Montañeses1-0Lobos ULMX
20 Nov 2021Liga Premier Serie A	Liga Premier Serie A	Lobos ULMX3-2Montañeses

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Montañeses sit 14th with 10 points from 10 games, while Lobos ULMX are 10th with 11 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.23X27%3.37232%2.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.85 +1.6%X3.54 → 3.52 -0.6%23.68 → 3.56 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.78	1.94	7.7%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.78	1.93	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Betano	1.67	2.02	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.01	10.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.68	2.03	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montañeses 45%Draw 45%Lobos ULMX 10%

The statistical model rated Montañeses at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lobos ULMX at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.37 | 2.79, which imply roughly 44.8% for a Montañeses win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Montañeses are 14th (10 pts, 14-20 goals), Lobos ULMX 10th (11 pts, 11-12).

Over their last five matches, Montañeses averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Lobos ULMX averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Montañeses or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.85	3.52	3.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.80	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.42	2.20	4.11

2nd half

1	X	2
2.24	2.51	3.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.86	15.5	35.3
HT X	4.82	5.50	8.48
HT 2	22.3	16.0	6.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	12.1	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.93
1.5	1.23	3.54
2.5	1.78	1.93
3.5	2.87	1.34
4.5	5.25	1.12
5.5	12.0	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.45
1.75	1.27	3.16
2	1.36	2.76
2.25	1.56	2.20
2.75	1.97	1.72
3	2.29	1.51
3.25	2.56	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.57	1.13
4.25	4.80	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.55	1.42
-0.75	2.07	1.63
-0.5	1.82	1.90
-0.25	1.65	2.09
0	1.38	2.68
+0.25	1.33	2.90

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.45	1.06
-2.25	5.60	1.11
-2	5.70	1.08
-1.75	4.07	1.17
-1.5	3.08	1.29
-1.25	2.90	1.32
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.05	6.60
+1.25	1.12	5.40
+1.5	1.03	7.45

Next Primera Premier matches

6 Nov

Tapachula – Zacatepec 1948

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz