Celaya vs Cordobés• Primera Premier, Mexico

#31.4:1.42-1FT25/10 · Celaya0.8:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67WHX4.00B36525.831XBMargin at best2.0%Books9Markets48Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 23:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.64	3.90	4.70	7.9%
BetVictor	1.55	3.75	5.50	9.4%
Betano	1.62	3.75	4.75	9.4%
William Hill	1.67	3.50	4.50	10.7%
1xBet	1.49	3.75	5.83	10.9%
Pinnacle	1.65	3.83	4.05	11.4%
Bet365	1.50	4.00	5.00	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.48	3.75	5.55	12.3%
Betfair	1.50	3.80	5.00	13.0%
Best of all books	1.67	4.00	5.83	2.0%
Average	1.57	3.78	4.99	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CelayaCordobés

Last 10#3Table position#122.11Points per game1.117Form pts · last 561.4Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3642Defence rating5854Form rating460H2H rating064Goals model3656Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 23:01 UTC

Celaya

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Cordobés	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Racing de Veracruz	1-2	L
6 Oct	H	Jaguares de Chiapas	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Deportiva Venados	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Montañeses	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chapulineros	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Tapachula	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pioneros de Cancún	3-0	W
26 Apr	A	Cimarrones	1-2	L
23 Apr	H	Cimarrones	2-1	W

Cordobés

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	A	Lobos ULMX	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Tigres de Alica	1-0	W
5 Oct	A	Los Cabos United	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Zacatepec 1948	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Reboceros La Piedad	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Irapuato	0-3	L
30 Aug	A	H2O Purepechas	1-1	D
10 Apr	A	Atletico Hidalgo	3-0	W
28 Mar	H	Gavilanes FC Matamoros	1-3	L
21 Mar	A	Deportivo Zap	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Celaya and Cordobés on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Celaya sit 3rd with 19 points from 9 games, while Cordobés are 12th with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	9	9	0	0	22:6	+16	27
2	Racing de Veracruz	9	6	3	0	24:8	+16	21
3	Celaya	9	6	1	2	18:9	+9	19
4	Pioneros de Cancún	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
5	Tigres de Alica	10	5	2	3	18:11	+7	17
6	Reboceros La Piedad	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
8	Chapulineros	9	3	3	3	11:15	-4	12
9	Deportiva Venados	9	3	2	4	18:18	0	11
10	Lobos ULMX	9	3	2	4	11:12	-1	11
11	Zacatepec 1948	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
12	Cordobés	9	3	1	5	9:13	-4	10
13	Los Cabos United	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Montañeses	10	3	1	6	14:20	-6	10
15	H2O Purepechas	8	2	1	5	5:9	-4	7
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	9	2	1	6	8:17	-9	7
17	Tapachula	9	2	0	7	9:24	-15	6
18	Tritons Vallarta	8	1	2	5	7:11	-4	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.57X24%3.78218%4.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.55 → 1.57 +1.3%X3.78 → 3.78 0.0%25.12 → 4.99 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.85	7.2%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.85	4.1%
Average	1.93	1.78	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Betano	1.95	1.72	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.69	9.9%
Best of all books	1.97	1.91	3.1%
Average	1.93	1.76	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Celaya 45%Draw 45%Cordobés 10%

The statistical model rated Celaya at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cordobés at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.78 | 4.99, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Celaya win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Celaya are 3rd (19 pts, 18-9 goals), Cordobés 12th (10 pts, 9-13).

Over their last five matches, Celaya averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Cordobés averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Celaya or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.78	4.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.25	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.18	5.51

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.50	4.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.52	17.3	45.3
HT X	4.41	5.43	10.0
HT 2	22.7	17.3	8.17

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	9.00	3.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.53
1.5	1.29	3.13
2.5	1.93	1.78
3.5	3.22	1.27
4.5	6.17	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.30
1.75	1.34	2.84
2	1.44	2.47
2.25	1.67	2.03
2.75	2.14	1.60
3	2.57	1.41
3.25	2.90	1.33
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.45	1.08
4.25	5.50	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.56	1.41
-1.25	2.26	1.53
-1	1.97	1.75
-0.75	1.69	2.00
-0.5	1.62	2.15
-0.25	1.37	2.75

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.5	4.75	1.12
-2.25	5.60	1.11
-2	3.98	1.17
-1.75	2.97	1.30
0	1.20	3.86
+0.25	1.12	4.70
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.5	1.03	8.70

Next Primera Premier matches

6 Nov

Tapachula – Zacatepec 1948

All Primera Premier fixtures and the table

Latest Primera Premier results

1 Nov	H2O Purepechas 2-1 Montañeses
1 Nov	Los Cabos United 1-4 Celaya
1 Nov	Irapuato 2-1 Deportiva Venados
1 Nov	Lobos ULMX 1-1 Chapulineros
31 Oct	Tritons Vallarta 3-2 Pioneros de Cancún
31 Oct	Zacatepec 1948 1-5 Racing de Veracruz