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Gasogi United vs Gorilla• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#100.5:1.30-0FT21/10 · Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali0.5:0.3#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70WHX2.88B36522.75DAFMargin at best8.1%Books8Markets37Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 09:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.652.802.759.8%
Betano2.622.802.7010.9%
Bet3652.552.882.7011.0%
Betfair2.632.882.6011.2%
1xBet2.672.802.5612.2%
Marathonbet2.672.802.5612.2%
William Hill2.702.622.6213.4%
BetVictor2.502.552.4520.0%
Best of all books2.702.882.758.1%
Average2.622.772.6212.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gasogi UnitedGorilla
Last 10#10Table position#21.00Points per game1.835Form pts · last 5100.5Goals for · last 50.51.3Goals against · last 50.350Attack rating5017Defence rating8336Form rating6471H2H rating290Goals model10046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 11:30 UTC

Gasogi United

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

21 OctHGorilla0-0D
18 OctHBugesera0-2L
14 OctASunrise1-1D
11 OctAMusanze1-0W
6 SepAMukura0-2L
28 MayHPolice0-1L
17 MayAMusanze2-3L
13 MayAAl Hilal Omdurman1-2L
10 MayHEtincelles2-2D
5 MayHGicumbi3-1W

Gorilla

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

16 OctAPolice0-0D
9 OctHRayon Sports1-0W
12 SepHEtincelles0-1L
5 SepAKiyovu Sports1-0W
31 MayHAl Merreikh3-1W
26 MayHEtincelles0-4L
15 MayARayon Sports1-1D
9 MayAMukura1-2L
6 MayHAS Kigali2-1W
1 MayHPolice1-1D

Head to head

4Gasogi United wins
3draws
4Gorilla wins

11 meetings · goals 17:18 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Gasogi United

17 Apr 2026National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United2-1Gorilla
12 Jan 2026National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGorilla1-2Gasogi United
20 May 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGorilla2-1Gasogi United
30 Nov 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United2-2Gorilla
17 Feb 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United1-0Gorilla
10 Oct 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGorilla2-2Gasogi United
3 Feb 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGorilla1-2Gasogi United
12 Nov 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United2-3Gorilla
22 Apr 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGorilla3-1Gasogi United
17 Dec 2021National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-1Gorilla

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 28 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Gasogi United sit 10th with 6 points from 6 games, while Gorilla are 2nd with 11 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Marines632113:6+711
2Gorilla63214:2+211
3Mukura53116:3+310
4Gicumbi53025:4+19
5Amagaju62138:5+37
6Sunrise61414:7-37
7Etincelles52122:6-47
8Bugesera32014:1+36
9Musanze42023:2+16
10Gasogi United61324:7-36
11Al Merreikh21101:0+14
12Kiyovu Sports41121:2-14
13AS Kigali41121:4-34
14Police61142:6-44
15APR11004:2+23
16Al Hilal Omdurman21012:3-13
17Etoile de l'Est50323:6-33
18Rayon Sports20111:2-11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.86X34%2.61235%2.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 02:3021 Oct 11:301 2.62X 2.772 2.62
12.55 → 2.62 +2.7%X2.83 → 2.77 -2.1%22.73 → 2.62 -4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.621.447.6%
Betfair2.601.447.9%
Pinnacle2.781.369.5%
1xBet2.661.3710.6%
Marathonbet2.661.3710.6%
Best of all books2.781.445.4%
Average2.661.409.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.658.2%
1xBet2.161.599.2%
William Hill2.101.629.3%
Marathonbet2.161.5710.0%
BetVictor1.931.4719.8%
Best of all books2.161.656.9%
Average2.091.5811.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gasogi United 10%Draw 45%Gorilla 45%

The statistical model rated Gasogi United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gorilla at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.86 | 2.61 | 2.55, which imply roughly 38.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Gasogi United are 10th (6 pts, 4-7 goals), Gorilla 2nd (11 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, Gasogi United averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Gorilla averaged 0.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gorilla and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.622.772.62

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.361.33

Draw no bet

12
1.761.81

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.091.58

1st half

1X2
3.431.823.42

2nd half

1X2
3.152.073.08

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.4614.334.0
HT X5.754.125.93
HT 234.014.54.54

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.125.702.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.27
1.51.522.22
2.52.661.40
3.55.431.10
4.512.01.02
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.095.25
11.154.38
1.251.352.82
1.751.691.91
22.001.67
2.252.361.47
2.753.281.25
34.601.13

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.731.37
-0.252.281.53
01.831.80
+0.251.572.16
+0.51.412.58
+0.751.273.16
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.351.06
-1.255.401.09
-15.251.09
-0.753.371.24
+11.114.90
+1.251.085.45
+1.51.075.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.742.01
91.782.02
9.52.011.74

Latest National Soccer League results

28 OctRayon Sports 3-0 Musanze
28 OctMarines 3-0 Al Hilal Omdurman
25 OctMarines 2-2 Gasogi United
25 OctMukura 1-0 Gicumbi
18 OctGasogi United 0-2 Bugesera
11 OctAmagaju 1-2 Mukura