Bugesera vs APR• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#81.3:0.313:00Today4.0:2.0#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.60BFRX3.12MAR21.88BTNMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets43Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.30	3.05	1.86	9.8%
1xBet	4.37	3.12	1.79	10.8%
Betfair	4.60	3.10	1.75	11.1%
Betano	4.15	3.00	1.85	11.5%
Bet365	4.20	3.10	1.80	11.6%
Marathonbet	4.25	3.12	1.77	12.1%
Best of all books	4.60	3.12	1.86	7.6%
Average	4.31	3.08	1.80	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BugeseraAPR

Last 10#8Table position#142.00Points per game3.009Form pts · last 561.3Goals for · last 54.00.3Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3367Form rating3315H2H rating850Goals model046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

Bugesera

3W 1D 6L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

18 Oct	A	Gasogi United	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Etincelles	2-0	W
15 Sep	A	Kiyovu Sports	0-1	L
30 May	A	Rutsiro	2-0	W
26 May	A	Rayon Sports	0-2	L
16 May	A	Mukura	2-2	D
9 May	A	Gicumbi	1-2	L
6 May	H	Marines	0-4	L
3 May	A	Muhanga	0-1	L
26 Apr	A	Al Merreikh	0-3	L

APR

6W 0D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	A	Zamalek SC	0-1	L
16 Oct	H	Zamalek SC	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Marines	4-2	W
11 Sep	H	JSK	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	JSK	0-1	L
30 Jul	H	Vipers	2-1	W
27 Jul	A	Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri	3-1	W
24 Jul	H	GOR Mahia	0-5	L
31 May	H	Gicumbi	2-0	W
27 May	A	Al Merreikh	2-1	W

Head to head

1Bugesera wins

5draws

11APR wins

17 meetings · goals 11:28 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Bugesera

7 Feb 2026National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Bugesera2-2APR
3 Jan 2026National Soccer League	National Soccer League	APR2-1Bugesera
5 Apr 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Bugesera0-1APR
27 Nov 2024National Soccer League	National Soccer League	APR2-0Bugesera
18 Feb 2024National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Bugesera0-0APR
10 Oct 2023National Soccer League	National Soccer League	APR1-1Bugesera
2 Apr 2023National Soccer League	National Soccer League	APR2-1Bugesera
7 Oct 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Bugesera2-1APR
17 Apr 2022National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Bugesera0-0APR
12 Dec 2021National Soccer League	National Soccer League	APR2-1Bugesera

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Bugesera sit 8th with 6 points from 3 games, while APR are 14th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	4:2	+2	11
2	Mukura	5	3	1	1	6:3	+3	10
3	Gicumbi	5	3	0	2	5:4	+1	9
4	Marines	5	2	2	1	10:6	+4	8
5	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	8:5	+3	7
6	Sunrise	6	1	4	1	4:7	-3	7
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2:6	-4	7
8	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	4:1	+3	6
9	Musanze	4	2	0	2	3:2	+1	6
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6
11	Kiyovu Sports	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
12	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4
13	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	1:4	-3	4
14	APR	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
15	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
16	Etoile de l'Est	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
18	Rayon Sports	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.27X29%3.09250%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Betano	2.32	1.50	9.8%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.42	1.48	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Average	2.16	1.58	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bugesera 35%Draw 35%APR 30%

The statistical model rates Bugesera at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and APR at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.27 | 3.09 | 1.81, which imply roughly 23.4% for a Bugesera win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Bugesera are 8th (6 pts, 4-1 goals), APR 14th (3 pts, 4-2).

Over their last five matches, Bugesera averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; APR averaged 4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bugesera or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.31	3.08	1.80

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.82	1.16	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
3.05	1.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.58

1st half

1	X	2
5.10	1.91	2.51

2nd half

1	X	2
4.64	2.21	2.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.47	16.2	28.3
HT X	8.75	4.37	4.42
HT 2	50.3	15.5	2.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.88	6.33	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.50
1.5	1.44	2.43
2.5	2.42	1.49
3.5	4.70	1.12
4.5	11.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.09	5.30
1.25	1.27	3.14
1.75	1.58	2.13
2	1.80	1.83
2.25	2.12	1.60
2.75	2.89	1.33
3	3.90	1.18
3.25	4.30	1.14
4	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.05	1.28
+0.25	2.14	1.62
+0.5	1.88	1.83
+0.75	1.63	2.03
+1	1.40	2.62
+1.25	1.28	3.05

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.90	1.01
-0.25	3.58	1.21
+1.5	1.23	3.42
+1.75	1.13	4.50
+2	1.04	6.80
+2.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.82

Latest National Soccer League results

25 Oct	Marines 2-2 Gasogi United
25 Oct	Mukura 1-0 Gicumbi
21 Oct	Gasogi United 0-0 Gorilla
18 Oct	Gasogi United 0-2 Bugesera
11 Oct	Amagaju 1-2 Mukura
11 Oct	Musanze 0-1 Gasogi United