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Marines vs Gasogi United• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#42.0:1.02-2FT25/100.4:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.20MAR24.60DAFMargin at best9.2%Books8Markets43Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 11:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.773.154.6010.0%
1xBet1.743.204.5310.8%
Betano1.783.104.4011.2%
Betfair1.753.204.3311.5%
Bet3651.753.104.5011.6%
Marathonbet1.723.204.4012.1%
William Hill1.753.004.5012.7%
BetVictor1.672.884.0019.6%
Best of all books1.783.204.609.2%
Average1.743.104.4112.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarinesGasogi United
Last 10#4Table position#101.60Points per game1.0010Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 51.080Attack rating2056Defence rating4458Form rating4250H2H rating50100Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 11:30 UTC

Marines

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

17 OctAEtincelles4-0W
10 OctHKiyovu Sports0-0D
16 SepAAPR2-4L
6 SepHAS Kigali2-0W
30 MayHMuhanga3-2W
24 MayHMusanze1-1D
16 MayHEtincelles2-3L
9 MayARayon Sports1-2L
6 MayABugesera4-0W
1 MayHGasogi United2-2D

Gasogi United

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

21 OctHGorilla0-0D
18 OctHBugesera0-2L
14 OctASunrise1-1D
11 OctAMusanze1-0W
6 SepAMukura0-2L
28 MayHPolice0-1L
17 MayAMusanze2-3L
13 MayAAl Hilal Omdurman1-2L
10 MayHEtincelles2-2D
5 MayHGicumbi3-1W

Head to head

4Marines wins
1draws
7Gasogi United wins

12 meetings · goals 13:13 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Marines

1 May 2026National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueMarines2-2Gasogi United
6 Dec 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-2Marines
9 Feb 2025National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueMarines3-0Gasogi United
23 Aug 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United1-0Marines
3 Mar 2024National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United2-0Marines
21 Oct 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueMarines0-1Gasogi United
30 Apr 2023National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United0-1Marines
9 Nov 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueMarines1-2Gasogi United
12 Feb 2022National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueGasogi United3-2Marines
30 Oct 2021National Soccer LeagueNational Soccer LeagueMarines0-1Gasogi United

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Marines sit 4th with 8 points from 5 games, while Gasogi United are 10th with 6 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gorilla63214:2+211
2Mukura53116:3+310
3Gicumbi53025:4+19
4Marines522110:6+48
5Amagaju62138:5+37
6Sunrise61414:7-37
7Etincelles52122:6-47
8Bugesera32014:1+36
9Musanze42023:2+16
10Gasogi United61324:7-36
11Kiyovu Sports41121:2-14
12Police51132:5-34
13AS Kigali41121:4-34
14APR11004:2+23
15Al Hilal Omdurman11002:0+23
16Etoile de l'Est50323:6-33
17Al Merreikh10100:001
18Rayon Sports20111:2-11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.74X29%3.10220%4.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.381.537.4%
Pinnacle2.351.518.8%
1xBet2.331.519.1%
Marathonbet2.331.519.1%
Betano2.301.5010.1%
BetVictor2.051.4020.2%
Best of all books2.381.537.4%
Average2.291.4910.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.201.608.0%
1xBet2.131.619.1%
William Hill2.101.629.3%
Marathonbet2.131.599.8%
BetVictor1.901.4720.7%
Best of all books2.201.627.2%
Average2.091.5811.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marines 45%Draw 45%Gasogi United 10%

The statistical model rated Marines at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gasogi United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.10 | 4.41, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Marines win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Marines are 4th (8 pts, 10-6 goals), Gasogi United 10th (6 pts, 4-7).

Over their last five matches, Marines averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gasogi United averaged 0.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Marines or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.743.104.41

Double chance

1XX212
1.141.871.26

Draw no bet

12
1.273.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.091.58

1st half

1X2
2.371.955.07

2nd half

1X2
2.192.214.64

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8815.247.3
HT X4.314.408.92
HT 227.016.37.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.606.302.98

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.50
1.51.422.52
2.52.291.49
3.54.331.14
4.59.001.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.095.40
1.251.263.24
1.751.552.25
21.721.87
2.252.041.66
2.752.731.36
33.581.21
3.253.961.17
47.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.841.34
-12.471.45
-0.751.971.70
-0.51.731.90
-0.251.502.31
01.283.16
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.751.04
-25.951.07
-1.754.101.16
-1.53.201.26
+0.251.213.72
+1.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.742.01
91.981.82

Next National Soccer League matches

27 OctBugesera – APR

All National Soccer League fixtures and the table

Latest National Soccer League results

25 OctMukura 1-0 Gicumbi
21 OctGasogi United 0-0 Gorilla
18 OctGasogi United 0-2 Bugesera
11 OctMusanze 0-1 Gasogi United
11 OctAmagaju 1-2 Mukura
9 OctGorilla 1-0 Rayon Sports