Amagaju vs Mukura• National Soccer League, Rwanda

#50.7:0.31-2FT11/10 · Stade Huye, Butare1.0:0.5#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70WHX2.85DAF22.67BTNMargin at best9.6%Books8Markets33Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.70	2.85	2.65	9.9%
Betano	2.65	2.80	2.67	10.9%
Betfair	2.63	2.80	2.63	11.8%
Bet365	2.62	2.80	2.62	12.1%
1xBet	2.66	2.80	2.57	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.66	2.80	2.57	12.2%
William Hill	2.70	2.62	2.62	13.4%
BetVictor	2.50	2.55	2.45	20.0%
Best of all books	2.70	2.85	2.67	9.6%
Average	2.64	2.75	2.60	12.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AmagajuMukura

Last 10#5Table position#21.17Points per game2.005Form pts · last 580.7Goals for · last 51.00.3Goals against · last 50.550Attack rating5050Defence rating5057Form rating4315H2H rating850Goals model041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:21 UTC

Amagaju

3W 3D 4L · goals 5:7 · per match 0.5 for, 0.7 against

18 Sep	H	Al Merreikh	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Gicumbi	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Etoile de l'Est	2-0	W
30 May	A	Mukura	0-0	D
22 May	H	Muhanga	0-2	L
17 May	H	Al Merreikh	1-0	W
10 May	A	Rutsiro	2-1	W
5 May	H	Kiyovu Sports	0-1	L
2 May	A	Etincelles	0-0	D
26 Apr	H	Rayon Sports	0-2	L

Mukura

3W 4D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

17 Oct	A	Etoile de l'Est	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Amagaju	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Police	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Gasogi United	2-0	W
30 May	H	Amagaju	0-0	D
24 May	A	Gicumbi	2-3	L
16 May	H	Bugesera	2-2	D
9 May	H	Gorilla	2-1	W
6 May	H	Police	0-0	D
3 May	H	Rutsiro	1-2	L

Head to head

0Amagaju wins

4draws

4Mukura wins

8 meetings · goals 6:10 · last 8: 0W 4D 4L for Amagaju

30 May 2026National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura0-0Amagaju
20 Dec 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Amagaju0-1Mukura
17 May 2025National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Amagaju1-1Mukura
7 Dec 2024National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura1-0Amagaju
13 Jan 2024National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura3-2Amagaju
20 Aug 2023National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Amagaju1-1Mukura
1 May 2019National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Amagaju1-1Mukura
27 Jan 2019National Soccer League	National Soccer League	Mukura2-1Amagaju

National Soccer League tableRegular Seasonupdated 27 Oct 01:40 UTC

In the National Soccer League table, Amagaju sit 5th with 7 points from 6 games, while Mukura are 2nd with 10 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	4:2	+2	11
2	Mukura	5	3	1	1	6:3	+3	10
3	Gicumbi	5	3	0	2	5:4	+1	9
4	Marines	5	2	2	1	10:6	+4	8
5	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	8:5	+3	7
6	Sunrise	6	1	4	1	4:7	-3	7
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2:6	-4	7
8	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	4:1	+3	6
9	Musanze	4	2	0	2	3:2	+1	6
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6
11	Kiyovu Sports	4	1	1	2	1:2	-1	4
12	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4
13	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	1:4	-3	4
14	APR	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
15	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
16	Etoile de l'Est	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
18	Rayon Sports	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.64X32%2.75234%2.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Pinnacle	2.86	1.34	9.6%
1xBet	2.66	1.37	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.66	1.37	10.6%
Best of all books	2.86	1.40	6.4%
Average	2.73	1.37	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.20	1.57	9.1%
1xBet	2.16	1.59	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.16	1.57	10.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	2.20	1.59	8.3%
Average	2.12	1.55	12.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Amagaju 10%Draw 45%Mukura 45%

The statistical model rated Amagaju at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mukura at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 2.75 | 2.60, which imply roughly 36.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Soccer League table: Amagaju are 5th (7 pts, 8-5 goals), Mukura 2nd (10 pts, 6-3).

Over their last five matches, Amagaju averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Mukura averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mukura and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.64	2.75	2.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.36	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.78	1.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.12	1.55

1st half

1	X	2
3.49	1.81	3.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.17	5.70	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.90
1.5	1.54	2.17
2.5	2.73	1.37
3.5	5.45	1.08
4.5	13.0	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.20
1	1.15	4.34
1.25	1.35	2.79
1.75	1.71	1.89
2	2.03	1.65
2.25	2.39	1.47
2.75	3.28	1.25
3	4.65	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.70	1.38
-0.25	2.27	1.53
0	1.84	1.80
+0.25	1.56	2.18
+0.5	1.40	2.61
+0.75	1.26	3.22

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.35	1.06
-1	5.20	1.10
-0.75	3.36	1.24
+1	1.11	4.90
+1.25	1.08	5.50
+1.5	1.06	6.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.85	1.85

Next National Soccer League matches

27 Oct

Bugesera – APR

All National Soccer League fixtures and the table

Latest National Soccer League results

25 Oct	Mukura 1-0 Gicumbi
25 Oct	Marines 2-2 Gasogi United
21 Oct	Gasogi United 0-0 Gorilla
18 Oct	Gasogi United 0-2 Bugesera
11 Oct	Musanze 0-1 Gasogi United
9 Oct	Gorilla 1-0 Rayon Sports