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Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#51.0:1.21-0FT23/10 · Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción1.2:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53BTNX4.30PIN26.05PINMargin at best5.1%Books8Markets85Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.514.306.056.0%
1xBet1.514.235.857.0%
Betano1.534.155.607.3%
Betfair1.504.205.508.7%
William Hill1.504.005.808.9%
BetVictor1.454.106.0010.0%
Bet3651.443.906.0011.8%
Marathonbet1.444.055.6012.0%
Best of all books1.534.306.055.1%
Average1.484.125.808.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
Last 10#5Table position#91.80Points per game1.075Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.845Attack rating5560Defence rating4045Form rating5580H2H rating2073Goals model2762Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 03:01 UTC

Libertad Asuncion

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

18 OctASportivo Trinidense0-1L
11 OctHClub Guarani2-2D
5 OctADeportivo Recoleta2-1W
28 SepHOlimpia0-1L
23 SepAFernando De La Mora1-1D
19 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
11 SepA2 de Mayo2-0W
6 SepHRubio NU4-2W
2 SepANacional Asuncion0-3L
30 AugACerro Porteno1-1D

Sportivo Luqueno

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

18 OctHClub Sp. San Lorenzo3-2W
10 OctHCerro Porteno0-3L
5 OctASportivo Trinidense2-3L
1 OctAOlimpia1-1D
25 SepHClub Guarani0-1L
20 SepHDeportivo Recoleta1-0W
13 SepAOlimpia0-3L
6 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-2L
1 SepA2 de Mayo2-2D
28 AugHRubio NU2-1W

Head to head

25Libertad Asuncion wins
10draws
6Sportivo Luqueno wins

41 meetings · goals 74:32 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Libertad Asuncion

16 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Luqueno1-2Libertad Asuncion
10 May 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Luqueno2-3Libertad Asuncion
7 Mar 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaLibertad Asuncion1-0Sportivo Luqueno
13 Sep 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Luqueno1-4Libertad Asuncion
5 Jul 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraLibertad Asuncion0-1Sportivo Luqueno
11 May 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Luqueno1-0Libertad Asuncion
28 Feb 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaLibertad Asuncion3-0Sportivo Luqueno
13 Nov 2024Copa ParaguayCopa ParaguayLibertad Asuncion2-0Sportivo Luqueno
9 Nov 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraLibertad Asuncion0-0Sportivo Luqueno
29 Aug 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Luqueno1-1Libertad Asuncion

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 24 Oct 02:10 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Libertad Asuncion sit 5th with 27 points from 15 games, while Sportivo Luqueno are 9th with 16 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpia1593325:10+1530
2Nacional Asuncion1585223:8+1529
32 de Mayo1584317:16+128
4Sportivo Trinidense1583425:14+1127
5Libertad Asuncion1583423:17+627
6Club Guarani1667318:14+425
7Cerro Porteno1563620:16+421
8Sportivo Ameliano1547417:18-119
9Sportivo Luqueno1551917:29-1216
10Rubio NU1634915:27-1213
11Deportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1504117:26-194

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.49X22%4.12216%5.80

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 03:0023 Oct 13:401 1.49X 4.122 5.80
11.47 → 1.49 +1.4%X4.07 → 4.12 +1.2%25.79 → 5.80 +0.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.772.055.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.752.055.9%
Betano1.801.986.1%
1xBet1.762.006.8%
BetVictor1.721.978.9%
Marathonbet1.721.969.2%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.762.006.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
William Hill1.801.917.9%
Betano1.871.838.1%
1xBet1.831.868.4%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.911.914.7%
Average1.851.858.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Libertad Asuncion 45%Draw 45%Sportivo Luqueno 10%

The statistical model rated Libertad Asuncion at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sportivo Luqueno at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 4.12 | 5.80, which imply roughly 67.1% for a Libertad Asuncion win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Libertad Asuncion are 5th (27 pts, 23-17 goals), Sportivo Luqueno 9th (16 pts, 17-29).

Over their last five matches, Libertad Asuncion averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sportivo Luqueno averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Libertad Asuncion

4-4-2

Coach: Nelson Valdez

Goalkeeper

  • 12R. Morínigo

Defence

  • 2A. Benítez
  • 5G. Flores
  • 31T. Fernández
  • 4N. Giménez

Midfield

  • 19I. Franco
  • 6Á. Campuzano
  • 21L. Sanabria
  • 20H. Fernández

Attack

  • 9G. Aguilar
  • 11E. Vera
Substitutes (12)
  • 7A. Manzur
  • 23N. Freire
  • 28M. Fernández
  • 38J. Estigarribia Meza
  • 8F. Carrizo
  • 1Á. González
  • 33C. Martínez
  • 10L. Melgarejo
  • 32L. Nequecaur
  • 26I. Ramirez
  • 22P. Villalba
  • 24R. Villalba

Sportivo Luqueno

4-4-2

Coach: Lucas Barrios

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Campisi

Defence

  • 22S. Ocampos
  • 2M. Barreto
  • 6F. Wiechniak
  • 23A. Cantero

Midfield

  • 21M. Ojeda
  • 10G. Bogado
  • 14F. Benitez
  • 24S. Beltrán

Attack

  • 20I. Maggi
  • 25J. Ramos
Substitutes (12)
  • 28A. Balbuena
  • 18F. Bobadilla
  • 3Á. Brizuela
  • 37L. Comas
  • 40A. Espinola
  • 30T. Franco
  • 9W. González
  • 26O. Lopez
  • 8A. Maíz
  • 29T. Muro
  • 7K. Pereira
  • 19M. Pérez

Match Statistics

Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
1.66Expected Goals1.28
410Passes accurate168
11Shots insidebox10
1Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots1
4Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal6
6Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal9
1Offsides3
512Total passes265
12Total Shots16
2Yellow Cards3
4Corner Kicks8
11Fouls4
0Red Cards0
48%Ball Possession52%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.494.125.80

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.461.19

Draw no bet

12
1.184.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.85

1st half

1X2
1.992.345.88

2nd half

1X2
1.812.665.24

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1915.947.8
HT X4.206.3012.4
HT 221.217.110.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4013.03.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.0
1.51.233.80
2.51.762.00
3.52.861.37
4.55.261.13
5.59.731.03
6.519.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.78
1.251.105.00
1.751.253.29
21.332.90
2.251.542.31
2.751.921.79
32.261.57
3.252.511.46
3.753.301.25
44.321.15
4.254.661.13
4.756.201.06
58.551.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.781.39
-1.52.371.54
-1.252.071.68
-11.811.93
-0.751.592.24
-0.51.492.55
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.201.02
-37.681.03
-2.755.481.11
-2.54.261.17
-2.253.911.20
-23.631.25
-0.251.323.14
01.174.63
+0.251.135.09
+0.51.126.25
+0.751.046.95
+11.019.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.25
7.51.253.37
8.51.492.40
9.51.821.88
10.52.321.53
11.53.201.28
12.54.541.12
13.56.971.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.095.01
71.104.77
7.251.173.87
7.751.273.14
81.312.97
8.251.402.61
8.751.562.24
91.602.23
9.251.751.97
9.751.961.75
102.041.72
10.252.221.57
10.752.551.42
112.741.39
11.253.001.30
11.753.561.21
124.161.14
12.254.351.13
12.755.311.07
136.531.03
13.256.751.02

Next Division Profesional - Clausura matches

24 OctNacional Asuncion – Sportivo Trinidense
24 Oct2 de Mayo – Deportivo Recoleta
25 OctSportivo Ameliano – Olimpia
25 OctClub Sp. San Lorenzo – Cerro Porteno

All Division Profesional - Clausura fixtures and the table

Latest Division Profesional - Clausura results

23 OctRubio NU 0-2 Club Guarani
18 OctSportivo Luqueno 3-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
18 OctSportivo Trinidense 1-0 Libertad Asuncion
18 OctCerro Porteno 2-2 Sportivo Ameliano
17 OctOlimpia 3-0 2 de Mayo
17 OctClub Guarani 0-2 Nacional Asuncion