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Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#71.2:1.020:00Tomorrow · Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción0.8:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX4.00PIN25.44PINMargin at best5.1%Books6Markets88Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.583.965.446.9%
Pinnacle1.564.035.447.3%
William Hill1.623.705.008.8%
BetVictor1.573.705.259.8%
Bet3651.603.604.7511.3%
Marathonbet1.513.785.2011.9%
Best of all books1.624.035.444.9%
Average1.573.805.189.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cerro PortenoSportivo Ameliano
Last 10#7Table position#81.43Points per game1.297Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4050Defence rating5058Form rating4271H2H rating2962Goals model3862Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:20 UTC

Cerro Porteno

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

14 OctHClub Sp. San Lorenzo2-2D
10 OctASportivo Luqueno3-0W
5 OctH2 de Mayo0-2L
30 SepHRubio NU2-1W
26 SepASportivo Trinidense1-2L
19 SepHRubio NU1-0W
12 SepAClub Guarani1-1D
7 SepHNacional Asuncion1-0W
3 SepADeportivo Recoleta3-1W
30 AugHLibertad Asuncion1-1D

Sportivo Ameliano

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

12 OctA2 de Mayo0-1L
6 OctHRubio NU1-2L
25 SepANacional Asuncion1-1D
19 SepALibertad Asuncion1-1D
11 SepHClub Sp. San Lorenzo1-0W
6 SepASportivo Luqueno2-1W
2 SepHSportivo Trinidense0-3L
30 AugAClub Guarani1-1D
22 AugHDeportivo Recoleta3-1W
16 AugAOlimpia1-2L

Head to head

15Cerro Porteno wins
3draws
2Sportivo Ameliano wins

20 meetings · goals 32:13 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Cerro Porteno

8 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Ameliano1-0Cerro Porteno
24 Apr 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaCerro Porteno1-1Sportivo Ameliano
25 Feb 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Ameliano0-1Cerro Porteno
20 Sep 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraCerro Porteno2-0Sportivo Ameliano
12 Jul 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Ameliano0-1Cerro Porteno
21 May 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Ameliano0-0Cerro Porteno
16 Mar 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaCerro Porteno2-0Sportivo Ameliano
22 Sep 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Ameliano0-1Cerro Porteno
1 Aug 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraCerro Porteno1-0Sportivo Ameliano
15 Apr 2024Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaCerro Porteno3-0Sportivo Ameliano

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Cerro Porteno sit 7th with 20 points from 14 games, while Sportivo Ameliano are 8th with 18 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
12 de Mayo1484217:13+428
2Olimpia1483322:10+1227
3Libertad Asuncion1483323:16+727
4Nacional Asuncion1475221:8+1326
5Sportivo Trinidense1473424:14+1024
6Club Guarani1457216:12+422
7Cerro Porteno1462618:14+420
8Sportivo Ameliano1446415:16-118
9Sportivo Luqueno1441914:27-1313
10Rubio NU1534815:25-1013
11Deportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1404105:23-184

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.57X24%3.80218%5.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0117 Oct 09:401 1.57X 3.802 5.18
11.63 → 1.57 -3.7%X3.64 → 3.80 +4.4%25.00 → 5.18 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Pinnacle1.881.925.3%
1xBet1.881.867.0%
BetVictor1.841.839.0%
Marathonbet1.841.839.0%
Best of all books1.901.924.7%
Average1.871.877.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.911.837.0%
1xBet1.871.828.4%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.871.799.3%
Best of all books1.911.837.0%
Average1.871.828.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cerro Porteno 45%Draw 45%Sportivo Ameliano 10%

The statistical model rates Cerro Porteno at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sportivo Ameliano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.18, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Cerro Porteno win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Cerro Porteno are 7th (20 pts, 18-14 goals), Sportivo Ameliano 8th (18 pts, 15-16).

Over their last five matches, Cerro Porteno averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Sportivo Ameliano averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Cerro Porteno or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.573.805.18

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.221.22

Draw no bet

12
1.233.82

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.871.82

1st half

1X2
2.132.235.54

2nd half

1X2
1.932.514.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3116.348.0
HT X4.235.7311.3
HT 224.317.49.20

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4811.52.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.97
1.51.263.49
2.51.871.87
3.53.211.31
4.56.511.08
5.513.01.04
6.526.01.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.85
11.019.75
1.251.124.75
1.751.312.99
21.422.64
2.251.642.13
2.752.091.65
32.511.46
3.252.851.34
3.753.921.19
45.601.10
4.255.811.08
4.758.101.02
59.951.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.661.43
-1.252.351.54
-12.011.74
-0.751.722.01
-0.51.572.32
-0.251.382.80
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-39.951.01
-2.756.931.06
-2.55.441.11
-2.254.881.13
-24.511.17
-1.753.231.30
01.204.08
+0.251.164.56
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.067.00
+11.029.20
+1.51.019.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.70
6.51.085.16
7.51.253.28
8.51.562.26
9.51.861.85
10.52.361.50
11.53.171.27
12.54.621.11
13.57.131.01
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.055.98
61.046.12
6.251.124.43
6.751.094.92
71.114.68
7.251.183.80
7.751.283.10
81.322.93
8.251.422.58
8.751.572.22
91.772.01
9.251.761.95
9.751.981.74
102.121.65
10.252.251.56
10.752.591.41
112.901.33
11.253.041.29
11.753.621.20
124.251.14
12.254.431.12
12.755.421.07
136.691.02
13.256.911.02