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Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#31.6:0.40-1FTToday · Estádio Arsenio Erico, Asunción1.4:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.44PINX3.241XB23.05BTNMargin at best4.6%Books8Markets75Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.453.193.055.0%
1xBet2.323.243.037.0%
Betano2.353.153.057.1%
Betfair2.303.203.008.1%
William Hill2.383.002.909.8%
Bet3652.303.102.9010.2%
BetVictor2.303.102.9010.2%
Marathonbet2.223.102.9011.8%
Best of all books2.453.243.054.5%
Average2.333.142.978.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
Last 10#3Table position#51.93Points per game1.809Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 51.053Attack rating4771Defence rating2952Form rating4875H2H rating2582Goals model1866Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

Nacional Asuncion

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

17 OctAClub Guarani2-0W
12 OctHDeportivo Recoleta1-0W
6 OctAOlimpia1-1D
30 SepAIndependiente F.b.c.2-2D
25 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
18 SepH2 de Mayo3-0W
13 SepARubio NU1-0W
7 SepACerro Porteno0-1L
2 SepHLibertad Asuncion3-0W
28 AugAClub Sp. San Lorenzo3-0W

Sportivo Trinidense

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

18 OctHLibertad Asuncion1-0W
10 OctAClub Sp. San Lorenzo1-1D
5 OctHSportivo Luqueno3-2W
26 SepHCerro Porteno2-1W
18 SepHClub Guarani0-1L
12 SepADeportivo Recoleta3-1W
6 SepHOlimpia1-2L
2 SepASportivo Ameliano3-0W
29 AugH2 de Mayo0-1L
25 AugASOL DE America1-2L

Head to head

5Nacional Asuncion wins
10draws
5Sportivo Trinidense wins

20 meetings · goals 18:21 · last 10: 3W 6D 1L for Nacional Asuncion

15 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Trinidense1-1Nacional Asuncion
9 May 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaNacional Asuncion2-1Sportivo Trinidense
9 Mar 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Trinidense1-1Nacional Asuncion
1 Nov 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraNacional Asuncion0-0Sportivo Trinidense
2 Oct 2025Copa ParaguayCopa ParaguaySportivo Trinidense0-0Nacional Asuncion
17 Aug 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Trinidense0-2Nacional Asuncion
20 May 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaSportivo Trinidense2-0Nacional Asuncion
17 Mar 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaNacional Asuncion1-1Sportivo Trinidense
21 Sep 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraSportivo Trinidense0-2Nacional Asuncion
19 Jul 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraNacional Asuncion0-0Sportivo Trinidense

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 24 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Nacional Asuncion sit 3rd with 29 points from 15 games, while Sportivo Trinidense are 5th with 27 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpia1593325:10+1530
2Libertad Asuncion1693424:17+730
3Nacional Asuncion1585223:8+1529
42 de Mayo1584317:16+128
5Sportivo Trinidense1583425:14+1127
6Club Guarani1667318:14+425
7Cerro Porteno1563620:16+421
8Sportivo Ameliano1547417:18-119
9Sportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316
10Rubio NU1634915:27-1213
11Deportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1504117:26-194

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.30X29%3.14230%3.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 06:0124 Oct 08:011 2.32X 3.132 2.98
12.36 → 2.32 -1.7%X3.14 → 3.13 -0.3%22.88 → 2.98 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.201.694.6%
Betfair2.201.656.1%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betano2.151.676.4%
1xBet2.141.667.0%
Marathonbet2.101.639.0%
BetVictor2.081.649.1%
Best of all books2.201.694.6%
Average2.151.666.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.906.1%
Betano1.851.858.1%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.831.868.4%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.871.906.1%
Average1.841.858.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nacional Asuncion 45%Draw 45%Sportivo Trinidense 10%

The statistical model rated Nacional Asuncion at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sportivo Trinidense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.14 | 3.03, which imply roughly 43.5% for a Nacional Asuncion win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Nacional Asuncion are 3rd (29 pts, 23-8 goals), Sportivo Trinidense 5th (27 pts, 25-14).

Over their last five matches, Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Sportivo Trinidense averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Nacional Asuncion or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Nacional Asuncion

4-1-4-1

Coach: V. Bernay

Goalkeeper

  • 30S. Rojas

Defence

  • 23C. Espínola
  • 22R. Melgarejo
  • 3M. Coronel
  • 29S. Vargas

Midfield

  • 15Á. Cardozo Lucena
  • 18I. Valdez
  • 8F. Jara
  • 13L. Meza
  • 10J. Colmán

Attack

  • 9H. Benítez
Substitutes (12)
  • 7I. Bailone
  • 11Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez
  • 38T. Vega
  • 5G. Benítez
  • 35Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas
  • 33O. Gaona
  • 4T. Gutiérrez
  • 36F. Pelozo
  • 32F. Pumpido
  • 25Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez
  • 17J. Santacruz
  • 6S. Torales

Sportivo Trinidense

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Arrúa

Goalkeeper

  • 12V. Samudio

Defence

  • 23C. Benítez
  • 40A. da Silveira
  • 6A. Cañete
  • 4D. Melgarejo

Midfield

  • 5N. Gauto
  • 21G. Viera
  • 10N. Maná
  • 11L. Abreu
  • 31A. Morinigo

Attack

  • 20C. González
Substitutes (12)
  • 13Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
  • 7N. Camacho
  • 19A. Cano
  • 30R. Cornet
  • 1M. Dufour
  • 22J. Gamarra
  • 9O. Giménez
  • 37L. Gonzalez
  • 14S. Mendoza
  • 2A. Ruiz Díaz
  • 3D. Villalba
  • 8L. de la Cruz

Match Statistics

Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
0.7Expected Goals1.48
254Passes accurate162
6Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox3
6Blocked Shots3
8Free Kicks11
1Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves1
6Shots off Goal6
1Offsides0
365Total passes282
13Total Shots13
4Yellow Cards1
5Corner Kicks14
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.333.142.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.551.32

Draw no bet

12
1.672.11

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.841.85

1st half

1X2
2.972.033.68

2nd half

1X2
2.672.303.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7213.932.2
HT X5.404.606.68
HT 227.814.45.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.908.002.21

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.057.88
1.51.362.94
2.52.151.66
3.53.871.22
4.57.731.06
5.515.51.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.95
11.066.31
1.251.193.75
1.751.462.52
21.612.20
2.251.871.85
2.752.441.49
33.071.30
3.253.361.25
3.754.661.13
46.461.06
4.256.801.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.761.39
-0.52.341.57
-0.251.981.77
01.662.13
+0.251.472.50
+0.51.383.01
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.231.01
-29.451.01
-1.755.971.09
-1.54.591.16
-1.254.241.19
-13.781.24
+0.751.243.66
+11.115.49
+1.251.095.84
+1.51.086.33
+1.751.028.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.38
7.51.253.42
8.51.492.42
9.51.831.87
10.52.341.53
11.53.151.29
12.54.421.12
13.56.761.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.13
71.104.89
7.251.163.96
7.751.263.21
81.303.03
8.251.392.66
8.751.542.28
91.632.16
9.251.731.99
9.751.931.77
102.081.68
10.252.191.59
10.752.511.44
112.791.35
11.252.941.32
11.753.481.22
124.061.15
12.254.241.14
12.755.161.08
136.331.03
13.256.551.03

Next Division Profesional - Clausura matches

25 OctSportivo Ameliano – Olimpia
25 OctClub Sp. San Lorenzo – Cerro Porteno

All Division Profesional - Clausura fixtures and the table

Latest Division Profesional - Clausura results

23 OctLibertad Asuncion 1-0 Sportivo Luqueno
23 OctRubio NU 0-2 Club Guarani
18 OctSportivo Luqueno 3-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
18 OctSportivo Trinidense 1-0 Libertad Asuncion
18 OctCerro Porteno 2-2 Sportivo Ameliano
17 OctOlimpia 3-0 2 de Mayo