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Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#61.2:0.80-2FTToday · Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción1.4:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.70BFRX3.20BFR22.79PINMargin at best4.1%Books6Markets72Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.703.052.854.9%
1xBet2.603.062.797.0%
William Hill2.602.902.759.3%
BetVictor2.553.002.709.6%
Bet3652.553.002.6210.7%
Marathonbet2.482.932.6711.9%
Best of all books2.703.062.854.8%
Average2.582.992.738.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Club GuaraniNacional Asuncion
Last 10#6Table position#41.57Points per game1.869Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.446Attack rating5433Defence rating6745Form rating5538H2H rating6244Goals model5640Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Club Guarani

3W 6D 1L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

11 OctALibertad Asuncion2-2D
3 OctHClub Sp. San Lorenzo1-1D
25 SepASportivo Luqueno1-0W
18 SepASportivo Trinidense1-0W
12 SepHCerro Porteno1-1D
7 SepHDeportivo Recoleta2-0W
2 SepAOlimpia1-1D
30 AugHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
25 AugA2 de Mayo0-0D
15 AugHRubio NU2-3L

Nacional Asuncion

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

12 OctHDeportivo Recoleta1-0W
6 OctAOlimpia1-1D
30 SepAIndependiente F.b.c.2-2D
25 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
18 SepH2 de Mayo3-0W
13 SepARubio NU1-0W
7 SepACerro Porteno0-1L
2 SepHLibertad Asuncion3-0W
28 AugAClub Sp. San Lorenzo3-0W
24 AugHSportivo Luqueno2-0W

Head to head

16Club Guarani wins
16draws
14Nacional Asuncion wins

46 meetings · goals 54:59 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Club Guarani

9 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraNacional Asuncion0-0Club Guarani
3 May 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaClub Guarani0-1Nacional Asuncion
1 Mar 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaNacional Asuncion1-1Club Guarani
14 Nov 2025Copa ParaguayCopa ParaguayClub Guarani0-4Nacional Asuncion
21 Sep 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraClub Guarani2-0Nacional Asuncion
12 Jul 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraNacional Asuncion1-0Club Guarani
26 Apr 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaClub Guarani2-1Nacional Asuncion
15 Feb 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaNacional Asuncion1-2Club Guarani
29 Nov 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraNacional Asuncion0-0Club Guarani
20 Nov 2024Copa ParaguayCopa ParaguayNacional Asuncion2-1Club Guarani

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Club Guarani sit 6th with 22 points from 14 games, while Nacional Asuncion are 4th with 26 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
12 de Mayo1484217:13+428
2Olimpia1483322:10+1227
3Libertad Asuncion1483323:16+727
4Nacional Asuncion1475221:8+1326
5Sportivo Trinidense1473424:14+1024
6Club Guarani1457216:12+422
7Cerro Porteno1462618:14+420
8Sportivo Ameliano1446415:16-118
9Sportivo Luqueno1441914:27-1313
10Rubio NU1534815:25-1013
11Deportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1404105:23-184

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.57X31%2.97233%2.75

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.571.515.1%
1xBet2.361.556.9%
Bet3652.401.537.0%
BetVictor2.291.539.0%
Marathonbet2.311.529.1%
Best of all books2.571.553.4%
Average2.391.537.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.951.806.8%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
BetVictor2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.951.748.8%
Marathonbet1.951.729.4%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.971.748.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Club Guarani 10%Draw 45%Nacional Asuncion 45%

The statistical model rated Club Guarani at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nacional Asuncion at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.57 | 2.97 | 2.75, which imply roughly 33.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Club Guarani are 6th (22 pts, 16-12 goals), Nacional Asuncion 4th (26 pts, 21-8).

Over their last five matches, Club Guarani averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional Asuncion.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Club Guarani

4-1-4-1

Coach: F. Arce

Goalkeeper

  • 31M. Martínez

Defence

  • 4A. Méndez
  • 2I. Segovia
  • 15T. Servín
  • 33L. Allende

Midfield

  • 36L. Martínez
  • 34M. Maldonado
  • 10M. Añasco
  • 25G. Gómez
  • 17V. Céspedes

Attack

  • 9J. Recalde
Substitutes (12)
  • 16Jonatan Marcelo Benítez Otazú
  • 21C. Arrúa
  • 38P. Corone
  • 12G. Dionisi
  • 40F. Fernández
  • 26D. Fernández
  • 11J. García
  • 19A. Ibarra
  • 23M. Jacquet
  • 29F. Llano
  • 14R. Rodríguez
  • 18T. Romero

Nacional Asuncion

4-1-4-1

Coach: V. Bernay

Goalkeeper

  • 30S. Rojas

Defence

  • 23C. Espínola
  • 5G. Benítez
  • 3M. Coronel
  • 29S. Vargas

Midfield

  • 15Á. Cardozo Lucena
  • 33O. Gaona
  • 8F. Jara
  • 13L. Meza
  • 10J. Colmán

Attack

  • 9H. Benítez
Substitutes (12)
  • 20Rodolfo Arguello
  • 7I. Bailone
  • 19L. González
  • 36F. Pelozo
  • 32F. Pumpido
  • 25Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez
  • 28A. Samudio
  • 17J. Santacruz
  • 18I. Valdez
  • 38T. Vega
  • 35Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas
  • 11Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez

Match Statistics

Club GuaraniNacional Asuncion
2.03Expected Goals1.45
263Passes accurate253
9Shots insidebox8
7Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots2
10Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal7
5Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal5
1Offsides2
361Total passes364
16Total Shots14
1Yellow Cards2
10Corner Kicks6
11Fouls11
0Red Cards0
62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.582.992.73

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.431.33

Draw no bet

12
1.811.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.74

1st half

1X2
3.331.963.51

2nd half

1X2
2.972.193.10

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.2114.834.7
HT X5.804.216.03
HT 234.014.84.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.016.782.11

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.91
1.51.442.57
2.52.391.53
3.54.561.16
4.59.281.03
5.520.51.01
6.550.5–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.066.00
11.095.41
1.251.253.30
1.751.572.27
21.781.93
2.252.071.67
2.752.711.37
33.541.23
3.253.891.18
3.755.351.09
47.751.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.753.161.32
-0.52.611.47
-0.252.171.62
01.821.93
+0.251.562.31
+0.51.432.73
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.756.901.04
-1.55.471.10
-1.255.041.13
-14.571.17
+0.751.293.38
+11.155.03
+1.251.115.46
+1.51.095.83
+1.751.037.60
+21.019.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.065.73
6.51.134.47
7.51.312.94
8.51.682.06
9.52.031.69
10.52.611.40
11.53.601.20
12.55.361.07
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.075.45
61.085.18
6.251.154.08
6.751.134.30
71.154.07
7.251.233.38
7.751.352.79
81.442.57
8.251.502.35
8.751.692.05
91.841.90
9.251.891.81
9.752.141.62
102.401.51
10.252.461.46
10.752.871.33
113.271.25
11.253.441.23
11.754.141.15
124.961.09
12.255.161.08