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Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#21.2:0.61-0FT12/10 · Estádio Arsenio Erico, Asunción0.4:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.81PINX3.80BFR24.75B365Margin at best2.6%Books10Markets88Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.813.744.325.1%
Betfair1.733.804.506.3%
Dafabet1.793.654.306.5%
Betano1.753.604.556.9%
1xBet1.763.644.387.1%
BetVictor1.703.604.508.8%
William Hill1.753.504.209.5%
Bet3651.673.404.7510.3%
Marathonbet1.693.484.2011.7%
SBO1.613.334.0317.0%
Best of all books1.813.804.752.6%
Average1.733.574.378.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
Last 10#2Table position#111.93Points per game0.739Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 51.675Attack rating2573Defence rating2789Form rating1138H2H rating6296Goals model470Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Nacional Asuncion

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against

12 OctHDeportivo Recoleta1-0W
6 OctAOlimpia1-1D
30 SepAIndependiente F.b.c.2-2D
25 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
18 SepH2 de Mayo3-0W
13 SepARubio NU1-0W
7 SepACerro Porteno0-1L
2 SepHLibertad Asuncion3-0W
28 AugAClub Sp. San Lorenzo3-0W
24 AugHSportivo Luqueno2-0W

Deportivo Recoleta

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

12 OctANacional Asuncion0-1L
5 OctHLibertad Asuncion1-2L
28 SepAClub Sp. San Lorenzo0-0D
24 SepHGuairena FC3-1W
20 SepASportivo Luqueno0-1L
12 SepHSportivo Trinidense1-3L
7 SepAClub Guarani0-2L
3 SepHCerro Porteno1-3L
29 AugHOlimpia1-2L
26 AugADeportivo Santani2-0W

Head to head

2Nacional Asuncion wins
4draws
2Deportivo Recoleta wins

8 meetings · goals 9:9 · last 8: 2W 4D 2L for Nacional Asuncion

3 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraDeportivo Recoleta3-2Nacional Asuncion
24 Apr 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaNacional Asuncion2-1Deportivo Recoleta
5 Mar 2026CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL SudamericanaNacional Asuncion1-1Deportivo Recoleta
26 Feb 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaDeportivo Recoleta2-2Nacional Asuncion
27 Nov 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraDeportivo Recoleta0-0Nacional Asuncion
6 Sep 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraNacional Asuncion1-0Deportivo Recoleta
21 Apr 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaNacional Asuncion1-1Deportivo Recoleta
8 Feb 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaDeportivo Recoleta1-0Nacional Asuncion

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 18 Oct 22:00 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Nacional Asuncion sit 2nd with 29 points from 15 games, while Deportivo Recoleta are 11th with 11 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olimpia1593325:10+1530
2Nacional Asuncion1585223:8+1529
32 de Mayo1584317:16+128
4Libertad Asuncion1483323:16+727
5Sportivo Trinidense1473424:14+1024
6Club Guarani1557316:14+222
7Cerro Porteno1462618:14+420
8Sportivo Ameliano1446415:16-118
9Sportivo Luqueno1441914:27-1313
10Rubio NU1534815:25-1013
11Deportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1404105:23-184

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.73X26%3.57221%4.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0112 Oct 20:201 1.73X 3.572 4.37
11.60 → 1.73 +8.1%X3.82 → 3.57 -6.5%25.05 → 4.37 -13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.941.894.5%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.871.906.1%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
SBO1.811.956.5%
1xBet1.841.907.0%
BetVictor1.811.869.0%
Marathonbet1.811.869.0%
Best of all books1.941.952.8%
Average1.851.906.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Betano1.781.938.0%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
1xBet1.741.968.5%
Marathonbet1.741.939.3%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.771.958.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nacional Asuncion 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Recoleta 10%

The statistical model rated Nacional Asuncion at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Recoleta at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.57 | 4.37, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Nacional Asuncion win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Nacional Asuncion are 2nd (29 pts, 23-8 goals), Deportivo Recoleta 11th (11 pts, 15-27).

Over their last five matches, Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Deportivo Recoleta averaged 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nacional Asuncion or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Nacional Asuncion

4-2-3-1

Coach: V. Bernay

Goalkeeper

  • 30S. Rojas

Defence

  • 23C. Espínola
  • 22R. Melgarejo
  • 3M. Coronel
  • 29S. Vargas

Midfield

  • 8F. Jara
  • 15Á. Cardozo Lucena
  • 33O. Gaona
  • 13L. Meza
  • 10J. Colmán

Attack

  • 9H. Benítez
Substitutes (12)
  • 20Rodolfo Arguello
  • 11Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez
  • 7I. Bailone
  • 5G. Benítez
  • 39D. Caballero
  • 36F. Pelozo
  • 32F. Pumpido
  • 25Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez
  • 17J. Santacruz
  • 18I. Valdez
  • 38T. Vega
  • 35Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas

Deportivo Recoleta

4-4-2

Coach: J. González

Goalkeeper

  • 13O. Toledo

Defence

  • 2F. A. Echeguren Zarza
  • 5N. Marotta
  • 32L. Monzón
  • 18P. Rios

Midfield

  • 36B. Ferreira
  • 7R. Domínguez
  • 38J. Franco
  • 17W. Báez

Attack

  • 25Renzo José Martino Campuzano
  • 33A. González
Substitutes (12)
  • 8F. Galeano
  • 21C. Garay
  • 1A. Marsegno
  • 15B. Medina
  • 23J. Núñez
  • 9R. Ortiz
  • 11K. Parzajuk
  • 4M. Pereira
  • 31M. Shupp
  • 10A. Silva
  • 24T. Vidal
  • 6J. Espínola

Match Statistics

Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
2.26Expected Goals0.91
303Passes accurate235
10Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox4
4Blocked Shots1
12Free Kicks10
6Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves5
3Shots off Goal6
2Offsides0
373Total passes300
13Total Shots11
1Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks7
10Fouls12
1Red Cards0
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.733.574.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.182.001.24

Draw no bet

12
1.303.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.771.95

1st half

1X2
2.282.194.76

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5611.42.62

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.97
1.51.263.60
2.51.851.90
3.53.111.33
4.56.171.10
5.511.31.04
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.95
11.019.60
1.251.114.85
1.751.293.10
21.412.70
2.251.632.16
2.752.071.67
32.481.49
3.252.721.37
3.753.731.20
45.261.11
4.255.461.09
4.757.601.03
59.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.011.36
-1.252.691.42
-12.351.55
-0.751.941.80
-0.51.732.06
-0.251.512.40
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.41.01
-39.431.02
-2.757.871.04
-2.56.201.08
-2.255.821.10
-25.421.11
-1.753.771.23
01.313.24
+0.251.233.74
+0.51.214.39
+0.751.095.75
+11.019.50
+1.51.038.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.017.10
6.51.094.90
7.51.303.07
8.51.592.22
9.51.971.76
10.52.561.45
11.53.561.24
12.54.881.10
13.56.471.03
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.80
61.036.50
6.251.094.96
6.751.114.66
71.124.43
7.251.203.64
7.751.312.98
81.352.80
8.251.452.49
8.751.622.15
91.772.00
9.251.811.89
9.752.041.69
102.201.61
10.252.331.52
10.752.691.38
113.021.30
11.253.181.27
11.753.801.18
124.501.12
12.254.701.11
12.755.761.05
137.171.01
13.256.261.04

Latest Division Profesional - Clausura results

18 OctCerro Porteno 2-2 Sportivo Ameliano
17 OctOlimpia 3-0 2 de Mayo
17 OctClub Guarani 0-2 Nacional Asuncion
16 OctDeportivo Recoleta 1-0 Rubio NU
12 Oct2 de Mayo 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 OctLibertad Asuncion 2-2 Club Guarani