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Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani• Division Profesional - Clausura, Paraguay

#41.8:1.02-2FT11/10 · Dr. Nicolás Leoz, Asunción1.2:0.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.30BFR23.80PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets77Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.063.213.935.1%
Dafabet2.083.303.507.0%
Betano2.103.253.507.0%
1xBet2.053.283.607.0%
Betfair2.053.303.507.7%
BetVictor2.003.203.609.0%
William Hill2.053.103.509.6%
Bet3651.953.203.5011.1%
Marathonbet1.963.143.4511.9%
SBO2.062.923.0915.2%
Best of all books2.103.303.933.4%
Average2.043.193.528.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
Last 10#4Table position#61.93Points per game1.476Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 50.460Attack rating4029Defence rating7148Form rating5229H2H rating7131Goals model6940Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

Libertad Asuncion

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

11 OctHClub Guarani2-2D
5 OctADeportivo Recoleta2-1W
28 SepHOlimpia0-1L
23 SepAFernando De La Mora1-1D
19 SepHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
11 SepA2 de Mayo2-0W
6 SepHRubio NU4-2W
2 SepANacional Asuncion0-3L
30 AugACerro Porteno1-1D
24 AugHClub Sp. San Lorenzo1-0W

Club Guarani

3W 6D 1L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

11 OctALibertad Asuncion2-2D
3 OctHClub Sp. San Lorenzo1-1D
25 SepASportivo Luqueno1-0W
18 SepASportivo Trinidense1-0W
12 SepHCerro Porteno1-1D
7 SepHDeportivo Recoleta2-0W
2 SepAOlimpia1-1D
30 AugHSportivo Ameliano1-1D
25 AugA2 de Mayo0-0D
15 AugHRubio NU2-3L

Head to head

17Libertad Asuncion wins
18draws
11Club Guarani wins

46 meetings · goals 66:52 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Libertad Asuncion

2 Aug 2026Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraClub Guarani2-1Libertad Asuncion
5 Apr 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaClub Guarani1-0Libertad Asuncion
8 Feb 2026Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaLibertad Asuncion3-3Club Guarani
9 Nov 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraClub Guarani1-2Libertad Asuncion
1 Oct 2025Copa ParaguayCopa ParaguayLibertad Asuncion2-2Club Guarani
25 Aug 2025Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraLibertad Asuncion0-4Club Guarani
19 Apr 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaLibertad Asuncion1-3Club Guarani
9 Feb 2025Division Profesional - AperturaDivision Profesional - AperturaClub Guarani0-1Libertad Asuncion
6 Oct 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraLibertad Asuncion0-2Club Guarani
3 Aug 2024Division Profesional - ClausuraDivision Profesional - ClausuraClub Guarani0-0Libertad Asuncion

Division Profesional - Clausura tablePrimera Division: Clausuraupdated 18 Oct 02:20 UTC

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Libertad Asuncion sit 4th with 27 points from 14 games, while Club Guarani are 6th with 22 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nacional Asuncion1585223:8+1529
22 de Mayo1484217:13+428
3Olimpia1483322:10+1227
4Libertad Asuncion1483323:16+727
5Sportivo Trinidense1473424:14+1024
6Club Guarani1557316:14+222
7Cerro Porteno1462618:14+420
8Sportivo Ameliano1446415:16-118
9Sportivo Luqueno1441914:27-1313
10Rubio NU1534815:25-1013
11Deportivo Recoleta15321015:27-1211
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1404105:23-184

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.04X29%3.19226%3.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:029 Oct 13:501 2.00X 3.172 3.55
12.00 → 2.00 0.0%X3.23 → 3.17 -1.9%23.62 → 3.55 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.241.664.9%
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Betfair2.151.676.4%
Betano2.181.656.5%
1xBet2.151.657.1%
BetVictor2.111.629.1%
Marathonbet2.111.629.1%
Best of all books2.241.674.5%
Average2.161.657.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.876.1%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.881.818.4%
Marathonbet1.881.789.4%
Best of all books1.911.875.8%
Average1.891.828.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Libertad Asuncion 10%Draw 45%Club Guarani 45%

The statistical model rated Libertad Asuncion at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Club Guarani at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.19 | 3.52, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Division Profesional - Clausura table: Libertad Asuncion are 4th (27 pts, 23-16 goals), Club Guarani 6th (22 pts, 16-14).

Over their last five matches, Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Club Guarani averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Club Guarani and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Libertad Asuncion

4-4-2

Coach: Nelson Valdez

Goalkeeper

  • 12R. Morínigo

Defence

  • 5G. Flores
  • 2A. Benítez
  • 3R. Rojas
  • 4N. Giménez

Midfield

  • 8F. Carrizo
  • 20H. Fernández
  • 21L. Sanabria
  • 19I. Franco

Attack

  • 9G. Aguilar
  • 11E. Vera
Substitutes (11)
  • 13J. Bogarín
  • 30O. Acuña
  • 28M. Fernández
  • 31T. Fernández
  • 7A. Manzur
  • 33C. Martínez
  • 32L. Nequecaur
  • 26I. Ramirez
  • 29V. Rojas
  • 24R. Villalba
  • 22P. Villalba

Club Guarani

4-1-4-1

Coach: F. Arce

Goalkeeper

  • 31M. Martínez

Defence

  • 4A. Méndez
  • 2I. Segovia
  • 15T. Servín
  • 33L. Allende

Midfield

  • 36L. Martínez
  • 34M. Maldonado
  • 10M. Añasco
  • 25G. Gómez
  • 17V. Céspedes

Attack

  • 9J. Recalde
Substitutes (12)
  • 12G. Dionisi
  • 40F. Fernández
  • 26D. Fernández
  • 11J. García
  • 23M. Jacquet
  • 29F. Llano
  • 14R. Rodríguez
  • 39C. Rolón
  • 16Lucas Mario Romañach Doria
  • 18T. Romero
  • 22Javier Velazquez Palma
  • 21C. Arrúa

Match Statistics

Libertad AsuncionClub Guarani
2.47Expected Goals1.18
447Passes accurate289
10Shots insidebox10
7Shots outsidebox3
2Blocked Shots0
9Free Kicks11
7Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves5
8Shots off Goal8
2Offsides2
530Total passes377
17Total Shots13
1Yellow Cards4
4Corner Kicks5
12Fouls11
0Red Cards0
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.043.193.52

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.701.30

Draw no bet

12
1.472.53

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.891.82

1st half

1X2
2.642.044.22

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.737.902.45

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.88
1.51.362.92
2.52.161.65
3.53.941.22
4.57.871.05
5.515.61.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.046.75
11.066.16
1.251.213.69
1.751.462.50
21.622.17
2.251.901.83
2.752.491.47
33.081.30
3.253.361.25
3.754.711.12
46.571.06
4.256.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.041.34
-0.752.341.54
-0.52.041.75
-0.251.732.02
01.452.60
+0.251.343.06
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.901.02
-2.257.501.03
-27.141.04
-1.754.961.13
-1.53.881.22
-1.253.451.27
+0.51.283.67
+0.751.164.40
+11.056.99
+1.251.037.20
+1.51.037.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.50
6.51.164.48
7.51.323.00
8.51.632.16
9.52.011.73
10.52.621.43
11.53.361.24
12.54.821.10
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.046.21
61.055.93
6.251.114.58
6.751.104.73
71.124.50
7.251.193.68
7.751.303.00
81.342.84
8.251.442.51
8.751.602.17
91.722.03
9.251.801.90
9.752.021.70
102.221.60
10.252.311.53
10.752.661.39
112.991.30
11.253.151.27
11.753.761.18
124.431.12
12.254.621.11
12.755.671.06
137.041.02

Next Division Profesional - Clausura matches

18 OctSportivo Luqueno – Club Sp. San Lorenzo
18 OctSportivo Trinidense – Libertad Asuncion

All Division Profesional - Clausura fixtures and the table

Latest Division Profesional - Clausura results

17 OctOlimpia 3-0 2 de Mayo
17 OctClub Guarani 0-2 Nacional Asuncion
16 OctDeportivo Recoleta 1-0 Rubio NU
12 OctNacional Asuncion 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta
12 Oct2 de Mayo 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 OctRubio NU 0-0 Olimpia