Warri Wolves vs Katsina United• NPFL, Nigeria

#140.8:0.615:00Today · Warri Township Stadium, Warri1.8:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.67B365X3.60BTN25.661XBMargin at best5.3%Books7Markets46Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 10:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.64	3.55	5.20	8.4%
Betano	1.67	3.60	4.75	8.7%
Bet365	1.67	3.40	4.75	10.3%
1xBet	1.58	3.34	5.66	10.9%
Betfair	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.34	5.50	12.2%
William Hill	1.57	3.40	5.00	13.1%
Best of all books	1.67	3.60	5.66	5.3%
Average	1.61	3.45	5.12	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Warri WolvesKatsina United

Last 10#14Table position#91.18Points per game1.456Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.80.6Goals against · last 51.431Attack rating6970Defence rating3043Form rating5780H2H rating2083Goals model1766Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 18:31 UTC

Warri Wolves

3W 4D 3L · goals 6:6 · per match 0.6 for, 0.6 against

1 Nov	A	Plateau United	1-1	D
25 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Enyimba	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Inter Lagos	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Doma United	0-1	L
30 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Shooting Stars	1-0	W
23 Sep	A	Niger Tornadoes	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Kwara United	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Rivers United	0-2	L

Katsina United

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	H	Sporting Lagos	2-1	W
24 Oct	H	Plateau United	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Kano Pillars	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Enyimba	4-2	W
4 Oct	A	Inter Lagos	1-1	D
30 Sep	H	Rivers United	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Doma United	2-1	W
23 Sep	A	Shooting Stars	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Niger Tornadoes	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Kwara United	0-3	L

Head to head

4Warri Wolves wins

0draws

2Katsina United wins

6 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 6: 4W 0D 2L for Warri Wolves

19 Jan 2026NPFL	NPFL	Warri Wolves2-0Katsina United
24 Aug 2025NPFL	NPFL	Katsina United0-1Warri Wolves
30 May 2021NPFL	NPFL	Katsina United1-0Warri Wolves
13 Jan 2021NPFL	NPFL	Warri Wolves3-0Katsina United
16 Feb 2020NPFL	NPFL	Warri Wolves2-0Katsina United
9 Feb 2020NPFL	NPFL	Katsina United2-1Warri Wolves

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 7 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the NPFL table, Warri Wolves sit 14th with 13 points from 11 games, while Katsina United are 9th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Kano Pillars	12	4	7	1	15:12	+3	19
3	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
4	Bendel Insurance	11	6	0	5	18:16	+2	18
5	Nasarawa United	11	5	2	4	11:10	+1	17
6	Plateau United	11	4	4	3	18:14	+4	16
7	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13:10	+3	16
8	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9:8	+1	16
9	Katsina United	11	4	4	3	14:15	-1	16
10	Shooting Stars	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
11	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
12	Doma United	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
13	Ikorodu City	11	3	5	3	15:13	+2	14
14	Warri Wolves	11	3	4	4	7:8	-1	13
15	Kun Khalifat FC	12	3	4	5	10:17	-7	13
16	Kwara United	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
17	Enyimba	11	3	2	6	12:15	-3	11
18	Abia Warriors	11	2	4	5	10:17	-7	10
19	Ranchers Bees	10	2	3	5	11:14	-3	9
20	Inter Lagos	11	1	3	7	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.61X26%3.45218%5.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.69 → 1.61 -4.7%X3.16 → 3.45 +9.2%25.14 → 5.12 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.99	1.71	8.7%
1xBet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	1.99	1.85	4.3%
Average	1.96	1.75	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	1.97	1.72	8.9%
Betano	1.85	1.82	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.69	9.9%
William Hill	2.30	1.50	10.1%
Best of all books	2.30	1.82	-1.6%
Average	2.07	1.66	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Warri Wolves 45%Draw 45%Katsina United 10%

The statistical model rates Warri Wolves at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Katsina United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.45 | 5.12, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Warri Wolves win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Warri Wolves are 14th (13 pts, 7-8 goals), Katsina United 9th (16 pts, 14-15).

Over their last five matches, Warri Wolves averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Katsina United averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Warri Wolves or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.45	5.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.11	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
2.20	2.05	5.78

2nd half

1	X	2
1.97	2.42	5.03

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	14.8	50.3
HT X	4.14	4.87	10.3
HT 2	24.7	16.7	8.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	6.60	3.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.35
1.5	1.31	2.98
2.5	1.96	1.75
3.5	3.30	1.26
4.5	5.85	1.10
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.70
1	1.09	5.78
1.25	1.23	3.57
1.75	1.40	2.61
2	1.62	2.15
2.25	1.76	1.91
2.75	2.27	1.52
3	2.81	1.34
3.25	3.00	1.30
4	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.67	1.37
-1.25	2.36	1.47
-1	2.07	1.65
-0.75	1.79	1.90
-0.5	1.61	2.17
-0.25	1.38	2.66

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.25	1.09
-2	4.45	1.14
-1.75	3.16	1.27
0	1.18	3.91
+0.25	1.12	4.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.67	2.10
8	1.95	1.85

Next NPFL matches

8 Nov	Abia Warriors – Doma United
8 Nov	Nasarawa United – Plateau United
8 Nov	Ranchers Bees – Enyimba
9 Nov	Ikorodu City – Inter Lagos

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

6 Nov	Kun Khalifat FC 1-1 Kano Pillars
4 Nov	Enugu Rangers 1-0 Bendel Insurance
1 Nov	Inter Lagos 1-1 Ranchers Bees
1 Nov	Rivers United 1-1 Enugu Rangers
1 Nov	Plateau United 1-1 Warri Wolves
1 Nov	Shooting Stars 4-1 Abia Warriors