Shooting Stars vs Abia Warriors• NPFL, Nigeria

#101.0:1.04-1FT01/11 · Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan1.0:1.0#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50BTNX3.75BFR27.851XBMargin at best6.1%Books7Markets42Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.48	3.65	7.60	8.1%
Betano	1.50	3.50	7.30	8.9%
Betfair	1.44	3.75	7.00	10.4%
1xBet	1.42	3.60	7.85	10.9%
Bet365	1.45	3.60	7.00	11.0%
Marathonbet	1.41	3.60	7.40	12.2%
William Hill	1.44	3.30	7.50	13.1%
Best of all books	1.50	3.75	7.85	6.1%
Average	1.45	3.57	7.38	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shooting StarsAbia Warriors

Last 10#10Table position#181.36Points per game0.916Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5050Defence rating5055Form rating4560H2H rating4080Goals model2060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:02 UTC

Shooting Stars

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
16 Oct	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-2	L
7 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Nasarawa United	0-0	D
30 Sep	A	Enyimba	2-4	L
27 Sep	A	Warri Wolves	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Katsina United	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Plateau United	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	CS Sfaxien	0-2	L

Abia Warriors

2W 4D 4L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

25 Oct	H	Niger Tornadoes	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Kwara United	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Rivers United	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Enugu Rangers	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Bendel Insurance	3-0	W
23 Sep	A	Barau FC	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Ranchers Bees	0-4	L
31 Aug	H	Kun Khalifat FC	0-0	D

Head to head

4Shooting Stars wins

2draws

6Abia Warriors wins

12 meetings · goals 17:16 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Shooting Stars

8 Mar 2026NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors2-0Shooting Stars
19 Oct 2025NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars2-0Abia Warriors
27 Apr 2025NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors3-1Shooting Stars
1 Dec 2024NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars2-0Abia Warriors
2 Jun 2024NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars4-0Abia Warriors
17 Dec 2023NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors3-2Shooting Stars
26 Jun 2022NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars2-2Abia Warriors
26 Feb 2022NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors2-1Shooting Stars
13 Aug 2017NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors2-0Shooting Stars
19 Mar 2017NPFL	NPFL	Shooting Stars0-0Abia Warriors

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 3 Nov 17:00 UTC

In the NPFL table, Shooting Stars sit 10th with 15 points from 11 games, while Abia Warriors are 18th with 10 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
2	Enugu Rangers	9	5	3	1	15:10	+5	18
3	Bendel Insurance	10	6	0	4	18:15	+3	18
4	Kano Pillars	11	4	6	1	14:11	+3	18
5	Nasarawa United	11	5	2	4	11:10	+1	17
6	Plateau United	11	4	4	3	18:14	+4	16
7	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13:10	+3	16
8	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9:8	+1	16
9	Katsina United	11	4	4	3	14:15	-1	16
10	Shooting Stars	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
11	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
12	Doma United	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
13	Ikorodu City	11	3	5	3	15:13	+2	14
14	Warri Wolves	11	3	4	4	7:8	-1	13
15	Kwara United	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	11	3	3	5	9:16	-7	12
17	Enyimba	11	3	2	6	12:15	-3	11
18	Abia Warriors	11	2	4	5	10:17	-7	10
19	Ranchers Bees	10	2	3	5	11:14	-3	9
20	Inter Lagos	11	1	3	7	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.45X25%3.57212%7.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.45 +0.7%X3.66 → 3.57 -2.5%27.29 → 7.38 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Betano	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.27	1.53	9.4%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.28	1.55	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.38	1.50	8.7%
1xBet	2.41	1.48	9.1%
Betano	2.35	1.50	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.41	1.46	10.0%
Best of all books	2.41	1.50	8.2%
Average	2.39	1.49	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shooting Stars 45%Draw 45%Abia Warriors 10%

The statistical model rated Shooting Stars at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Abia Warriors at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 3.57 | 7.38, which imply roughly 69% for a Shooting Stars win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Shooting Stars are 10th (15 pts, 16-15 goals), Abia Warriors 18th (10 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, Shooting Stars averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Abia Warriors averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Shooting Stars or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	3.57	7.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	2.47	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.14	4.85

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.39	1.49

1st half

1	X	2
2.02	2.03	7.57

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.36	6.74

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.23	18.0	73.7
HT X	3.77	4.83	13.0
HT 2	26.7	18.8	12.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	6.90	3.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.05
1.5	1.40	2.60
2.5	2.28	1.55
3.5	4.13	1.17
4.5	8.05	1.06
5.5	23.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.90
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.51	2.30
2	1.70	1.99
2.25	1.98	1.70
2.75	2.65	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.86	1.18
4	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.89	1.32
-1.5	2.40	1.46
-1.25	2.11	1.60
-1	1.81	1.89
-0.75	1.56	2.18
-0.5	1.42	2.54

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	4.95	1.11
-2	4.10	1.16
-0.25	1.26	3.22
0	1.08	5.55
+0.25	1.06	6.30

Next NPFL matches

4 Nov

Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

1 Nov	Rivers United 1-1 Enugu Rangers
1 Nov	Inter Lagos 1-1 Ranchers Bees
1 Nov	Plateau United 1-1 Warri Wolves
31 Oct	Doma United 2-2 Ikorodu City
30 Oct	Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Barau FC
25 Oct	Bendel Insurance 2-1 Rivers United