Abia Warriors vs Doma United• NPFL, Nigeria

#180.6:1.815:00Today · Umuahia Township Stadium, Umuahia1.0:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX3.75BFR25.291XBMargin at best6.2%Books6Markets39Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 07:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.64	3.65	5.00	8.4%
Betano	1.65	3.50	5.00	9.2%
1xBet	1.58	3.48	5.29	10.9%
Bet365	1.60	3.50	5.00	11.1%
Betfair	1.53	3.75	5.00	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.48	5.15	12.3%
Best of all books	1.65	3.75	5.29	6.2%
Average	1.59	3.56	5.07	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Abia WarriorsDoma United

Last 10#18Table position#120.91Points per game1.502Form pts · last 550.6Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6344Defence rating5629Form rating7164H2H rating3668Goals model3253Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 18:31 UTC

Abia Warriors

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

1 Nov	A	Shooting Stars	1-4	L
25 Oct	H	Niger Tornadoes	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Kwara United	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Rivers United	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Enugu Rangers	1-3	L
27 Sep	H	Bendel Insurance	3-0	W
23 Sep	A	Barau FC	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Ranchers Bees	0-4	L

Doma United

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

31 Oct	H	Ikorodu City	2-2	D
17 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Nasarawa United	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Warri Wolves	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Katsina United	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Plateau United	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Enyimba	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sporting Lagos	2-0	W

Head to head

2Abia Warriors wins

1draws

1Doma United wins

4 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Abia Warriors

23 Jun 2024NPFL	NPFL	Doma United1-1Abia Warriors
13 Jan 2024NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors3-0Doma United
21 May 2023NPFL	NPFL	Abia Warriors2-0Doma United
15 Feb 2023NPFL	NPFL	Doma United1-0Abia Warriors

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 7 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the NPFL table, Abia Warriors sit 18th with 10 points from 11 games, while Doma United are 12th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	10	6	3	1	16:10	+6	21
2	Kano Pillars	12	4	7	1	15:12	+3	19
3	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
4	Bendel Insurance	11	6	0	5	18:16	+2	18
5	Nasarawa United	11	5	2	4	11:10	+1	17
6	Plateau United	11	4	4	3	18:14	+4	16
7	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13:10	+3	16
8	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9:8	+1	16
9	Katsina United	11	4	4	3	14:15	-1	16
10	Shooting Stars	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
11	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
12	Doma United	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
13	Ikorodu City	11	3	5	3	15:13	+2	14
14	Warri Wolves	11	3	4	4	7:8	-1	13
15	Kun Khalifat FC	12	3	4	5	10:17	-7	13
16	Kwara United	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
17	Enyimba	11	3	2	6	12:15	-3	11
18	Abia Warriors	11	2	4	5	10:17	-7	10
19	Ranchers Bees	10	2	3	5	11:14	-3	9
20	Inter Lagos	11	1	3	7	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X25%3.56218%5.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.95	1.76	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.73	9.9%
Best of all books	1.92	1.78	8.3%
Average	1.91	1.76	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Abia Warriors 45%Draw 45%Doma United 10%

The statistical model rates Abia Warriors at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Doma United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.56 | 5.07, which imply roughly 62.9% for a Abia Warriors win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Abia Warriors are 18th (10 pts, 10-17 goals), Doma United 12th (15 pts, 13-13).

Over their last five matches, Abia Warriors averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Doma United averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Abia Warriors or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.56	5.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.17	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.12	5.60

2nd half

1	X	2
1.95	2.49	4.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.44	15.5	45.7
HT X	4.24	5.33	10.6
HT 2	22.3	16.3	9.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	8.50	3.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.30
1.5	1.29	3.05
2.5	1.95	1.76
3.5	3.25	1.26
4.5	6.20	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.20
1.75	1.35	2.74
2	1.46	2.38
2.25	1.70	1.97
2.75	2.18	1.56
3	2.66	1.37
3.25	2.98	1.30
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.28	1.25
-1.5	2.66	1.37
-1.25	2.35	1.47
-1	2.05	1.69
-0.75	1.74	1.89
-0.25	1.38	2.62

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.50	1.13
0	1.18	3.85
+0.25	1.14	4.40

Next NPFL matches

8 Nov	Nasarawa United – Plateau United
8 Nov	Ranchers Bees – Enyimba
8 Nov	Warri Wolves – Katsina United
9 Nov	Ikorodu City – Inter Lagos

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

6 Nov	Kun Khalifat FC 1-1 Kano Pillars
4 Nov	Enugu Rangers 1-0 Bendel Insurance
1 Nov	Shooting Stars 4-1 Abia Warriors
1 Nov	Inter Lagos 1-1 Ranchers Bees
1 Nov	Rivers United 1-1 Enugu Rangers
1 Nov	Plateau United 1-1 Warri Wolves