Plateau United vs Warri Wolves• NPFL, Nigeria

#62.0:1.41-1FT01/11 · Rwang Pam Stadium, Jos0.6:0.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50BTNX3.90BFR28.00BFRMargin at best4.8%Books7Markets46Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.47	3.80	7.20	8.2%
Betano	1.50	3.65	6.90	8.6%
1xBet	1.43	3.62	7.50	10.9%
Betfair	1.36	3.90	8.00	11.7%
Bet365	1.44	3.70	6.50	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.42	3.62	7.10	12.1%
William Hill	1.44	3.30	7.50	13.1%
Best of all books	1.50	3.90	8.00	4.8%
Average	1.44	3.66	7.24	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Plateau UnitedWarri Wolves

Last 10#6Table position#141.45Points per game1.187Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 50.61.4Goals against · last 50.677Attack rating2330Defence rating7058Form rating4250H2H rating5088Goals model1261Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 16:02 UTC

Plateau United

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

24 Oct	A	Katsina United	2-2	D
18 Oct	H	Sporting Lagos	2-3	L
11 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	Enyimba	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Inter Lagos	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Doma United	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Shooting Stars	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	Niger Tornadoes	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Kwara United	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Rivers United	0-2	L

Warri Wolves

3W 3D 4L · goals 6:7 · per match 0.6 for, 0.7 against

25 Oct	H	Kano Pillars	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Enyimba	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Inter Lagos	3-1	W
4 Oct	A	Doma United	0-1	L
30 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Shooting Stars	1-0	W
23 Sep	A	Niger Tornadoes	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Kwara United	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Bendel Insurance	1-2	L

Head to head

4Plateau United wins

0draws

3Warri Wolves wins

7 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 7: 4W 0D 3L for Plateau United

3 May 2026NPFL	NPFL	Warri Wolves1-0Plateau United
7 Dec 2025NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United1-0Warri Wolves
20 Jun 2021NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United2-0Warri Wolves
3 Feb 2021NPFL	NPFL	Warri Wolves1-0Plateau United
22 Dec 2019NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United1-0Warri Wolves
20 Jun 2016NPFL	NPFL	Warri Wolves2-1Plateau United
28 Feb 2016NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United2-1Warri Wolves

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 3 Nov 17:00 UTC

In the NPFL table, Plateau United sit 6th with 16 points from 11 games, while Warri Wolves are 14th with 13 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
2	Enugu Rangers	9	5	3	1	15:10	+5	18
3	Bendel Insurance	10	6	0	4	18:15	+3	18
4	Kano Pillars	11	4	6	1	14:11	+3	18
5	Nasarawa United	11	5	2	4	11:10	+1	17
6	Plateau United	11	4	4	3	18:14	+4	16
7	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13:10	+3	16
8	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9:8	+1	16
9	Katsina United	11	4	4	3	14:15	-1	16
10	Shooting Stars	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
11	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
12	Doma United	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
13	Ikorodu City	11	3	5	3	15:13	+2	14
14	Warri Wolves	11	3	4	4	7:8	-1	13
15	Kwara United	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	11	3	3	5	9:16	-7	12
17	Enyimba	11	3	2	6	12:15	-3	11
18	Abia Warriors	11	2	4	5	10:17	-7	10
19	Ranchers Bees	10	2	3	5	11:14	-3	9
20	Inter Lagos	11	1	3	7	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X25%3.66212%7.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.38 → 1.44 +4.3%X3.87 → 3.66 -5.4%27.98 → 7.24 -9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.24	1.56	8.7%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.20	1.59	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.34	1.51	9.0%
Betano	2.30	1.52	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.34	1.49	9.8%
Best of all books	2.40	1.52	7.5%
Average	2.34	1.50	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Plateau United 45%Draw 45%Warri Wolves 10%

The statistical model rated Plateau United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Warri Wolves at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.66 | 7.24, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Plateau United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Plateau United are 6th (16 pts, 18-14 goals), Warri Wolves 14th (13 pts, 7-8).

Over their last five matches, Plateau United averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Warri Wolves averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Plateau United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	3.66	7.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.50	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.34	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
2.00	2.06	7.55

2nd half

1	X	2
1.81	2.39	6.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.18	18.0	68.7
HT X	3.78	5.27	12.8
HT 2	26.3	18.2	12.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.38	7.15	3.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.19
1.5	1.38	2.68
2.5	2.20	1.59
3.5	3.86	1.19
4.5	7.90	1.06
5.5	23.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.48	2.36
2	1.65	2.05
2.25	1.92	1.75
2.75	2.53	1.42
3	3.25	1.26
3.25	3.58	1.21
4	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.80	1.34
-1.5	2.35	1.48
-1.25	2.01	1.71
-1	1.78	1.93
-0.75	1.54	2.22
-0.5	1.40	2.60

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.20	1.02
-2.5	4.65	1.12
-2	3.85	1.18
-0.25	1.26	3.24
0	1.09	5.30
+0.25	1.06	6.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.91	1.86

Next NPFL matches

4 Nov

Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

1 Nov	Rivers United 1-1 Enugu Rangers
1 Nov	Shooting Stars 4-1 Abia Warriors
1 Nov	Inter Lagos 1-1 Ranchers Bees
31 Oct	Doma United 2-2 Ikorodu City
30 Oct	Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Barau FC
25 Oct	Bendel Insurance 2-1 Rivers United