Niger Tornadoes vs Barau FC• NPFL, Nigeria

#90.8:0.414:00Today · Bako Kontagora Stadium1.0:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.30B36526.191XBMargin at best3.6%Books6Markets42Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 06:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.74	3.15	5.40	7.7%
Betano	1.75	3.05	5.20	9.2%
Betfair	1.62	3.25	5.50	10.7%
1xBet	1.59	3.14	6.19	10.9%
Bet365	1.57	3.30	5.75	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.57	3.12	6.05	12.3%
Best of all books	1.75	3.30	6.19	3.6%
Average	1.64	3.17	5.68	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Niger TornadoesBarau FC

Last 10#9Table position#51.50Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 51.00.4Goals against · last 51.644Attack rating5680Defence rating2071Form rating2950H2H rating5070Goals model3063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 09:30 UTC

Niger Tornadoes

4W 3D 3L · goals 9:8 · per match 0.9 for, 0.8 against

25 Oct	A	Abia Warriors	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Ikorodu City	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Ranchers Bees	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Nasarawa United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Warri Wolves	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Katsina United	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Plateau United	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Enyimba	2-1	W

Barau FC

3W 6D 1L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Kwara United	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Enugu Rangers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Bendel Insurance	1-4	L
26 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Abia Warriors	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Ikorodu City	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Kun Khalifat FC	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Nasarawa United	3-1	W

Head to head

1Niger Tornadoes wins

0draws

1Barau FC wins

2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Niger Tornadoes

14 Jan 2026NPFL	NPFL	Barau FC2-1Niger Tornadoes
28 Dec 2025NPFL	NPFL	Niger Tornadoes2-0Barau FC

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 30 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the NPFL table, Niger Tornadoes sit 9th with 15 points from 10 games, while Barau FC are 5th with 15 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	10	4	5	1	14:4	+10	17
2	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
3	Nasarawa United	10	5	2	3	11:8	+3	17
4	Plateau United	10	4	3	3	17:13	+4	15
5	Barau FC	10	3	6	1	13:10	+3	15
6	Bendel Insurance	9	5	0	4	16:14	+2	15
7	Sporting Lagos	9	4	3	2	13:11	+2	15
8	Kano Pillars	10	3	6	1	12:11	+1	15
9	Niger Tornadoes	10	4	3	3	9:8	+1	15
10	Doma United	9	4	2	3	11:11	0	14
11	Ikorodu City	10	3	4	3	13:11	+2	13
12	Katsina United	10	3	4	3	12:14	-2	13
13	Kwara United	10	3	3	4	11:11	0	12
14	Warri Wolves	10	3	3	4	6:7	-1	12
15	Shooting Stars	10	3	3	4	12:14	-2	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	10	3	3	4	9:15	-6	12
17	Abia Warriors	10	2	4	4	9:13	-4	10
18	Ranchers Bees	9	2	2	5	10:13	-3	8
19	Enyimba	10	2	2	6	11:15	-4	8
20	Inter Lagos	10	1	2	7	5:19	-14	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.64X29%3.17216%5.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.64 0.0%X3.17 → 3.17 0.0%25.63 → 5.68 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.60	1.48	6.0%
Betano	2.75	1.38	8.8%
1xBet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Best of all books	2.75	1.48	3.9%
Average	2.63	1.41	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.53	1.44	9.0%
Betano	2.52	1.44	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.53	1.42	9.9%
Best of all books	2.53	1.44	9.0%
Average	2.53	1.43	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Niger Tornadoes 45%Draw 45%Barau FC 10%

The statistical model rates Niger Tornadoes at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Barau FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.17 | 5.68, which imply roughly 61% for a Niger Tornadoes win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Niger Tornadoes are 9th (15 pts, 9-8 goals), Barau FC 5th (15 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, Niger Tornadoes averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Barau FC averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Niger Tornadoes or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	3.17	5.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.08	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.87

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.53	1.43

1st half

1	X	2
2.32	1.87	6.72

2nd half

1	X	2
2.05	2.17	5.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.63	17.5	63.7
HT X	4.03	4.21	10.5
HT 2	29.0	17.8	9.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	5.98	3.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	5.60
1.5	1.55	2.26
2.5	2.63	1.41
3.5	5.20	1.10
4.5	9.63	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.09	5.35
1	1.13	4.65
1.25	1.32	2.91
1.75	1.67	2.01
2	2.01	1.67
2.25	2.29	1.51
2.75	3.20	1.26
3	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.95	1.31
-1.25	2.56	1.40
-1	2.19	1.57
-0.75	1.79	1.89
-0.5	1.72	2.00
-0.25	1.36	2.70

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.57	1.05
-2	5.57	1.08
-1.75	3.76	1.19
0	1.14	4.38
+0.25	1.10	5.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.82

Latest NPFL results

25 Oct	Warri Wolves 0-0 Kano Pillars
25 Oct	Kun Khalifat FC 1-0 Inter Lagos
25 Oct	Bendel Insurance 2-1 Rivers United
25 Oct	Nasarawa United 1-0 Enyimba
25 Oct	Ikorodu City 2-2 Shooting Stars
25 Oct	Abia Warriors 0-1 Niger Tornadoes