Doma United vs Ikorodu City• NPFL, Nigeria

#121.0:1.42-2FT31/10 · Pantami Stadium, Gombe1.0:1.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.90BTNX3.60B36524.33B365Margin at best3.5%Books7Markets43Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 11:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.88	3.40	3.90	8.2%
Betano	1.90	3.30	3.80	9.3%
Betfair	1.85	3.30	3.80	10.7%
1xBet	1.83	3.12	4.12	11.0%
Bet365	1.65	3.60	4.33	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.20	4.25	12.3%
William Hill	1.80	3.20	3.90	12.4%
Best of all books	1.90	3.60	4.33	3.5%
Average	1.81	3.30	4.01	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Doma UnitedIkorodu City

Last 10#12Table position#131.50Points per game1.275Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5046Defence rating5450Form rating500H2H rating072Goals model2855Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 19:01 UTC

Doma United

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	H	Kun Khalifat FC	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Nasarawa United	0-2	L
4 Oct	H	Warri Wolves	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Katsina United	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Plateau United	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Enyimba	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sporting Lagos	2-0	W
23 Jun	H	Abia Warriors	1-1	D

Ikorodu City

3W 4D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Shooting Stars	2-2	D
18 Oct	A	Niger Tornadoes	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	Kwara United	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
30 Sep	A	Sporting Lagos	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Enugu Rangers	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Bendel Insurance	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	Barau FC	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Abia Warriors	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Ranchers Bees	3-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Doma United and Ikorodu City on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 3 Nov 17:00 UTC

In the NPFL table, Doma United sit 12th with 15 points from 10 games, while Ikorodu City are 13th with 14 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Rivers United	11	4	6	1	15:5	+10	18
2	Enugu Rangers	9	5	3	1	15:10	+5	18
3	Bendel Insurance	10	6	0	4	18:15	+3	18
4	Kano Pillars	11	4	6	1	14:11	+3	18
5	Nasarawa United	11	5	2	4	11:10	+1	17
6	Plateau United	11	4	4	3	18:14	+4	16
7	Barau FC	11	3	7	1	13:10	+3	16
8	Niger Tornadoes	11	4	4	3	9:8	+1	16
9	Katsina United	11	4	4	3	14:15	-1	16
10	Shooting Stars	11	4	3	4	16:15	+1	15
11	Sporting Lagos	10	4	3	3	14:13	+1	15
12	Doma United	10	4	3	3	13:13	0	15
13	Ikorodu City	11	3	5	3	15:13	+2	14
14	Warri Wolves	11	3	4	4	7:8	-1	13
15	Kwara United	11	3	3	5	12:13	-1	12
16	Kun Khalifat FC	11	3	3	5	9:16	-7	12
17	Enyimba	11	3	2	6	12:15	-3	11
18	Abia Warriors	11	2	4	5	10:17	-7	10
19	Ranchers Bees	10	2	3	5	11:14	-3	9
20	Inter Lagos	11	1	3	7	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X27%3.30223%4.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.85 → 1.81 -2.2%X3.31 → 3.30 -0.3%23.85 → 4.01 +4.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.81	7.6%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.85	2.8%
Average	1.96	1.76	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Betano	1.83	1.83	9.3%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.93	4.2%
Average	1.82	1.83	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Doma United 45%Draw 45%Ikorodu City 10%

The statistical model rated Doma United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ikorodu City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.30 | 4.01, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Doma United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Doma United are 12th (15 pts, 13-13 goals), Ikorodu City 13th (14 pts, 15-13).

Over their last five matches, Doma United averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ikorodu City averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Doma United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.30	4.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.82	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.05	4.57

2nd half

1	X	2
2.18	2.40	4.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.03	14.0	36.7
HT X	4.58	4.90	8.13
HT 2	24.3	14.8	6.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	8.50	2.61

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.15
1.5	1.30	3.05
2.5	1.96	1.76
3.5	3.24	1.27
4.5	6.30	1.09
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.95
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.34	2.82
2	1.45	2.45
2.25	1.68	2.00
2.75	2.15	1.60
3	2.57	1.41
3.25	2.85	1.33
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	5.45	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.80	1.34
-1	2.47	1.45
-0.75	1.98	1.72
-0.5	1.85	1.89
-0.25	1.54	2.22
0	1.31	2.97

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.43	1.06
-2	5.65	1.08
-1.75	3.99	1.17
-1.5	3.16	1.27
+0.25	1.23	3.43
+1	1.01	8.55

Next NPFL matches

4 Nov

Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance

All NPFL fixtures and the table

Latest NPFL results

1 Nov	Rivers United 1-1 Enugu Rangers
1 Nov	Shooting Stars 4-1 Abia Warriors
1 Nov	Inter Lagos 1-1 Ranchers Bees
1 Nov	Plateau United 1-1 Warri Wolves
30 Oct	Niger Tornadoes 0-0 Barau FC
25 Oct	Bendel Insurance 2-1 Rivers United