Plateau United vs Kano Pillars• NPFL, Nigeria

#31.6:1.24-0FT11/10 · Rwang Pam Stadium, Jos1.2:0.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX3.60BFR26.60DAFMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets39Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.56	3.50	6.60	7.8%
Betano	1.57	3.40	6.10	9.5%
Bet365	1.53	3.40	6.25	10.8%
1xBet	1.53	3.32	6.49	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.51	3.32	6.30	12.2%
Betfair	1.47	3.60	6.00	12.5%
Best of all books	1.57	3.60	6.60	6.6%
Average	1.53	3.42	6.29	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Plateau UnitedKano Pillars

Last 10#3Table position#101.75Points per game1.388Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.657Attack rating4333Defence rating6753Form rating4750H2H rating5072Goals model2853Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Plateau United

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.1 against

4 Oct	A	Enyimba	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Inter Lagos	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Doma United	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Shooting Stars	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	Niger Tornadoes	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Kwara United	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Rivers United	0-2	L
11 Jun	A	Nasarawa United	1-2	L
6 Jun	H	Basira	2-1	W
1 Jun	A	Kogi	1-0	W

Kano Pillars

3W 5D 2L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

7 Oct	A	Shooting Stars	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Sporting Lagos	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Enyimba	0-0	D
23 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Doma United	4-1	W
6 Sep	H	Niger Tornadoes	3-2	W
30 Aug	A	Kwara United	2-2	D
24 May	A	Plateau United	0-1	L
10 May	H	Warri Wolves	1-0	W
3 May	A	Kun Khalifat FC	1-2	L

Head to head

5Plateau United wins

6draws

7Kano Pillars wins

18 meetings · goals 12:14 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Plateau United

24 May 2026NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United1-0Kano Pillars
21 Dec 2025NPFL	NPFL	Kano Pillars2-1Plateau United
22 Mar 2025NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United2-1Kano Pillars
3 Nov 2024NPFL	NPFL	Kano Pillars2-1Plateau United
15 Jun 2024NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United1-1Kano Pillars
7 Jan 2024NPFL	NPFL	Kano Pillars2-1Plateau United
5 Jun 2022NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United1-0Kano Pillars
13 Feb 2022NPFL	NPFL	Kano Pillars0-1Plateau United
30 May 2021NPFL	NPFL	Plateau United0-0Kano Pillars
13 Jan 2021NPFL	NPFL	Kano Pillars1-0Plateau United

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 13:10 UTC

In the NPFL table, Plateau United sit 3rd with 14 points from 8 games, while Kano Pillars are 10th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
5	Doma United	8	4	1	3	10:10	0	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
12	Kwara United	8	3	1	4	9:9	0	10
13	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
14	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
15	Abia Warriors	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
16	Ranchers Bees	8	2	2	4	9:10	-1	8
17	Shooting Stars	8	2	2	4	7:11	-4	8
18	Kun Khalifat FC	8	2	2	4	7:14	-7	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.50X26%3.43214%6.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.53 → 1.53 0.0%X3.46 → 3.42 -1.2%26.42 → 6.29 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Betano	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.28	1.55	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.51	9.9%
Best of all books	2.29	1.55	8.2%
Average	2.28	1.53	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Plateau United 35%Draw 35%Kano Pillars 30%

The statistical model rated Plateau United at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kano Pillars at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 3.43 | 6.59, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Plateau United win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Plateau United are 3rd (14 pts, 13-8 goals), Kano Pillars 10th (11 pts, 11-11).

Over their last five matches, Plateau United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Kano Pillars averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Plateau United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.53	3.42	6.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.27	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.28	1.53

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	1.97	6.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.43	6.80	3.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.30
1.5	1.40	2.60
2.5	2.29	1.55
3.5	4.13	1.17
4.5	7.80	1.07

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.65
1.25	1.23	3.42
1.75	1.49	2.30
2	1.69	1.97
2.25	1.97	1.70
2.75	2.62	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.84	1.18
4	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.28	1.25
-1.5	2.66	1.37
-1.25	2.31	1.50
-1	1.98	1.74
-0.75	1.69	1.95
-0.25	1.32	2.88

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2	4.60	1.13
0	1.12	4.70
+0.25	1.08	5.45