Nasarawa United vs Doma United• NPFL, Nigeria

#110.8:1.02-0FT11/10 · Lafia Township Stadium, Lafia1.4:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX3.65DAF25.901XBMargin at best6.8%Books6Markets37Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 07:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.59	3.65	5.60	8.1%
Betano	1.60	3.55	5.40	9.2%
1xBet	1.54	3.45	5.90	10.9%
Betfair	1.53	3.60	5.50	11.3%
Bet365	1.55	3.40	5.50	12.1%
Marathonbet	1.52	3.45	5.75	12.2%
Best of all books	1.60	3.65	5.90	6.8%
Average	1.55	3.52	5.61	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nasarawa UnitedDoma United

Last 10#11Table position#51.38Points per game1.635Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.636Attack rating6462Defence rating3842Form rating580H2H rating072Goals model2853Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 14:11 UTC

Nasarawa United

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	A	Shooting Stars	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Niger Tornadoes	1-0	W
23 Sep	A	Kwara United	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Rivers United	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Enugu Rangers	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Bendel Insurance	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Barau FC	1-3	L
17 Jun	H	Ikorodu City	1-1	D
11 Jun	H	Plateau United	2-1	W
6 Jun	A	Rivers United	2-2	D

Doma United

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	H	Warri Wolves	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Katsina United	1-2	L
23 Sep	H	Plateau United	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Kano Pillars	1-4	L
12 Sep	H	Enyimba	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inter Lagos	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	Sporting Lagos	2-0	W
23 Jun	H	Abia Warriors	1-1	D
19 Jun	H	Sunshine Stars	0-1	L
15 Jun	A	Katsina United	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Nasarawa United and Doma United on record.

NPFL tablePremier Leagueupdated 16 Oct 13:10 UTC

In the NPFL table, Nasarawa United sit 11th with 11 points from 8 games, while Doma United are 5th with 13 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	8	5	2	1	14:9	+5	17
2	Rivers United	8	4	4	0	13:2	+11	16
3	Plateau United	8	4	2	2	13:8	+5	14
4	Barau FC	8	3	4	1	12:9	+3	13
5	Doma United	8	4	1	3	10:10	0	13
6	Ikorodu City	8	3	3	2	10:7	+3	12
7	Bendel Insurance	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
8	Sporting Lagos	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
9	Katsina United	8	3	3	2	10:11	-1	12
10	Kano Pillars	8	2	5	1	11:11	0	11
11	Nasarawa United	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
12	Kwara United	8	3	1	4	9:9	0	10
13	Warri Wolves	8	3	1	4	6:7	-1	10
14	Niger Tornadoes	8	2	3	3	6:7	-1	9
15	Abia Warriors	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
16	Ranchers Bees	8	2	2	4	9:10	-1	8
17	Shooting Stars	8	2	2	4	7:11	-4	8
18	Kun Khalifat FC	8	2	2	4	7:14	-7	8
19	Enyimba	8	2	1	5	11:14	-3	7
20	Inter Lagos	8	1	2	5	5:13	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.51X23%3.96217%5.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.56 → 1.56 0.0%X3.52 → 3.52 0.0%25.53 → 5.61 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betano	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.15	1.63	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	2.12	1.62	8.9%
1xBet	2.11	1.62	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.60	9.9%
Best of all books	2.12	1.62	8.9%
Average	2.11	1.61	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nasarawa United 45%Draw 45%Doma United 10%

The statistical model rated Nasarawa United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Doma United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 3.96 | 5.26, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Nasarawa United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the NPFL table: Nasarawa United are 11th (11 pts, 8-8 goals), Doma United 5th (13 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Nasarawa United averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Doma United averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nasarawa United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.56	3.52	5.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.21	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.11	1.61

1st half

1	X	2
2.15	2.05	6.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	7.25	3.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.23
1.5	1.35	2.76
2.5	2.15	1.63
3.5	3.72	1.20
4.5	7.10	1.08

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.20	3.70
1.75	1.43	2.46
2	1.58	2.12
2.25	1.84	1.80
2.75	2.43	1.44
3	3.08	1.28
3.25	3.42	1.23
4	6.75	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	3.20	1.26
-1.5	2.62	1.38
-1.25	2.31	1.50
-1	2.01	1.72
-0.75	1.70	1.94
-0.25	1.34	2.78

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.50	1.13
0	1.15	4.25
+0.25	1.11	4.85