Gharraf vs Naft• Iraqi League, Iraq

#160.8:1.616:00Today1.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20BVCX2.90BVC22.30B365Margin at best9.2%Books4Markets42Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	3.20	2.90	2.30	9.2%
Bet365	3.10	2.88	2.30	10.5%
1xBet	3.08	2.89	2.28	10.9%
Marathonbet	2.99	2.89	2.26	12.3%
Best of all books	3.20	2.90	2.30	9.2%
Average	3.09	2.89	2.28	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GharrafNaft

Last 10#16Table position#30.90Points per game2.104Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 50.836Attack rating6433Defence rating6725Form rating7550H2H rating5024Goals model7639Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 21:30 UTC

Gharraf

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

16 Oct	A	Karbala	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Al-Jolan SC	0-0	D
17 Sep	A	Al Zawra'a	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Diyala	1-3	L
8 Sep	H	Al Shorta	1-2	L
3 Sep	A	Al Kahrabaa	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Ghaz Al Shamal	0-1	L
26 Aug	A	Al Minaa Basra	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Newroz	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Duhok	1-1	D

Naft

6W 3D 1L · goals 13:5 · per match 1.3 for, 0.5 against

17 Oct	H	Zakho	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	Diyala	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Mosul	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	Karbala	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Al-Karma	0-3	L
5 Sep	A	Al Minaa Basra	3-0	W
31 Aug	A	Al Talaba	0-0	D
26 Aug	H	Duhok	1-1	D
20 Aug	A	Naft Maysan	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Al Karkh	2-0	W

Head to head

1Gharraf wins

0draws

1Naft wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Gharraf

9 Apr 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Naft1-0Gharraf
14 Jan 2026Iraqi League	Iraqi League	Gharraf2-0Naft

Iraqi League tableIraqi Leagueupdated 21 Oct 11:30 UTC

In the Iraqi League table, Gharraf sit 16th with 9 points from 10 games, while Naft are 3rd with 21 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	10	7	3	0	17:7	+10	24
2	Newroz	10	6	3	1	16:4	+12	21
3	Naft	10	6	3	1	13:5	+8	21
4	Al Zawra'a	10	5	3	2	15:7	+8	18
5	Erbil	10	5	3	2	13:5	+8	18
6	Al Shorta	10	4	5	1	10:5	+5	17
7	Al-Jolan SC	10	3	5	2	10:9	+1	14
8	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	10	2	6	2	14:12	+2	12
9	Duhok	10	2	6	2	14:13	+1	12
10	Diyala	10	3	3	4	15:16	-1	12
11	Al Minaa Basra	10	3	3	4	10:12	-2	12
12	Ghaz Al Shamal	10	2	5	3	5:7	-2	11
13	Al Talaba	10	2	5	3	10:14	-4	11
14	Mosul	10	3	2	5	10:15	-5	11
15	Zakho	10	2	3	5	7:13	-7	9
16	Gharraf	10	2	3	5	7:14	-7	9
17	Al Karkh	10	2	2	6	14:17	-3	8
18	Al Kahrabaa	10	1	5	4	6:11	-5	8
19	Naft Maysan	10	1	5	4	7:14	-7	8
20	Karbala	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.09X31%2.89240%2.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.43	1.44	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.43	1.44	10.6%
Best of all books	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Average	2.45	1.46	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.04	1.66	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.64	10.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.66	7.9%
Average	2.06	1.65	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gharraf 10%Draw 45%Naft 45%

The statistical model rates Gharraf at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Naft at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.09 | 2.89 | 2.28, which imply roughly 34.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Iraqi League table: Gharraf are 16th (9 pts, 7-14 goals), Naft 3rd (21 pts, 13-5).

Over their last five matches, Gharraf averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Naft averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Naft and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.09	2.89	2.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.29	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
2.20	1.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.06	1.65

1st half

1	X	2
3.92	1.88	3.11

2nd half

1	X	2
3.57	2.14	2.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.10	17.5	34.0
HT X	6.65	4.02	5.50
HT 2	37.5	17.5	3.83

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.34	6.20	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.40
1.5	1.48	2.43
2.5	2.45	1.46
3.5	4.80	1.12
4.5	9.20	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.75
1	1.10	5.05
1.25	1.28	3.09
1.75	1.60	2.11
2	1.84	1.80
2.25	2.16	1.58
2.75	2.92	1.31
3	3.98	1.17
3.25	4.30	1.18
4	7.30	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.84	1.18
-0.25	2.53	1.42
0	2.11	1.61
+0.25	1.75	1.94
+0.75	1.36	2.75
+1	1.18	3.92

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.20	1.03
-1.25	6.20	1.09
-1	6.05	1.06
+1.25	1.14	4.45
+1.5	1.11	4.95
+2	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.35	2.86
7	1.46	2.46
7.5	1.70	1.98
8	1.98	1.70
8.5	2.31	1.52
9	2.95	1.33

Next Iraqi League matches

22 Oct	Zakho – Erbil
22 Oct	Al Talaba – Al Quwa Al Jawiya

All Iraqi League fixtures and the table

Latest Iraqi League results

18 Oct	Ghaz Al Shamal 1-0 Al Zawra'a
17 Oct	Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al-Karma
16 Oct	Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Talaba
16 Oct	Diyala 2-0 Naft Maysan
16 Oct	Newroz 2-0 Al Minaa Basra
10 Oct	Al-Karma 3-2 Al Karkh